Game story
In Week 11 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-11-20, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Kansas City Chiefs, pulling away with a 19–17 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +18.42 total EPA, and +4.8% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.42 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-35.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (12:20) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 17-C.Conley INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Conte (93-G.McCoy) at TB -5. 23-C.Conte pushed ob at TB 48 for 53 yards (80-J.O'Shaughnessy).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 19 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +18.42 total EPA · 46 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
- 2 A. Smith · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +8.93 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
- 3 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +6.06 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
- 4 C. Shorts · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.08 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
- 5 R. Shepard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.64 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.16 EPA/play
- 6 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.21 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
- 7 C. West · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.81 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play
- 8 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.97 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
J. Winston — TB · Passing
J. Winston posted the highest total EPA (+18.42) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 46 counted snaps, they averaged +0.40 EPA per play.
The signature play (-7.50 EPA) came from Kansas City Chiefs: (12:20) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 17-C.Conley INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Conte (93-G.McCoy) at TB -5. 23-C.Conte pushed ob at TB 48 for 53 yards (80-J.O'Shaughnessy).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Kansas City Chiefs — A. Smith
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — A. Cross (J. Winston pass)
- Kansas City Chiefs — A. Wilson (A. Smith pass)
Field goals
- Kansas City Chiefs — C. Santos
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Aguayo
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 3–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the TB 4 (Q1 52:10) — (7:10) 5-C.Santos 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..
The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 9–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the KC 12 (Q2 39:49) — (9:49) 19-R.Aguayo 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the KC 3 (Q2 34:22) — (4:22) 19-R.Aguayo 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 11 (Q2 31:20) — (1:20) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith scrambles up the middle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 31:13) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the KC 23 (Q2 30:11) — (:11) 19-R.Aguayo 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger..
The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the KC 18 (Q3 25:04) — (10:04) 19-R.Aguayo 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger..
The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the KC 3 (Q4 6:30) — (6:30) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 45-A.Cross for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 6:26) — 19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q4 2:29) — (2:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 12-A.Wilson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the TB 20 (Q4 2:27) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 12:20) — (12:20) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 17-C.Conley INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Conte (93-G.McCoy) at TB -5. 23-C.Conte pushed ob at TB 48 for 53 yards (80-J.O'Shaughnessy).
- Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 0:03) — (:03) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 12-A.Wilson to KC 38 for 4 yards. Lateral to 10-T.Hill to KC 32 for -6 yards. Lateral to 72-E.Fisher to KC 32 for no gain (54-L.David). FUMBLES (54-L.Da
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:25) — (1:25) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at KC 21 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by KC-20-S.Nelson at KC 21. 20-S.Nelson to KC 21 for no gain (3-J.Winston). KC team sack. No individual forced the fumble.
- Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 13:29) — (13:29) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right to 87-T.Kelce pushed ob at TB 10 for 44 yards (23-C.Conte).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 30:25) — (:25) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 11-A.Humphries to KC 29 for 18 yards (20-S.Nelson).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 12:20) — (12:20) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 17-C.Conley INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Conte (93-G.McCoy) at TB -5. 23-C.Conte pushed ob at TB 48 for 53 yards (80-J.O'Shaughnessy).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:25) — (1:25) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at KC 21 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by KC-20-S.Nelson at KC 21. 20-S.Nelson to KC 21 for no gain (3-J.Winston). KC team sack. No individual forced the fumble.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 35:53) — (5:53) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 13-M.Evans ran ob at KC 4 for 31 yards.
- Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 34:11) — (4:11) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right to 10-T.Hill pushed ob at TB 38 for 42 yards (21-A.Verner).
Quarterback report card
J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 46 dropbacks · 52.2% completion · +4.8% CPOE · +0.40 EPA/play · +18.42 total EPA
- A.Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) · 33 dropbacks · 72.7% completion · +12.4% CPOE · +0.27 EPA/play · +8.93 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Kansas City Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.106 | +0.063 |
| Offensive success rate | 48.9% | 50.0% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.400 | +0.271 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.207 | -0.109 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.063 | -0.106 |
| Defensive success rate | 50.0% | 51.1% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.11, Kansas City Chiefs +0.06) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Kansas City Chiefs: 10 drives, +4.30 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8 drives, +9.78 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- A. Smith (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q1 52:10 · TB 4 · Score 0-3
(7:10) 5-C.Santos 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 39:49 · KC 12 · Score 3-3
(9:49) 19-R.Aguayo 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 34:22 · KC 3 · Score 6-3
(4:22) 19-R.Aguayo 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 31:20 · TB 11 · Score 6-9
(1:20) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith scrambles up the middle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 31:13 · TB 15 · Score 6-10
5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:11 · KC 23 · Score 9-10
(:11) 19-R.Aguayo 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 25:04 · KC 18 · Score 12-10
(10:04) 19-R.Aguayo 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 6:30 · KC 3 · Score 18-10
(6:30) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 45-A.Cross for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 6:26 · KC 15 · Score 19-10
19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 2:29 · TB 3 · Score 19-16
(2:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 12-A.Wilson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 2:27 · TB 20 · Score 19-17
5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Kansas City Chiefs 19-17 in Week 11, 2016 on 2016-11-20.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs?
The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19, Kansas City Chiefs 17 (TB 19-17 KC) in Week 11, 2016 on 2016-11-20.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Kansas City Chiefs 3; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9, Kansas City Chiefs 7; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Kansas City Chiefs 0; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Kansas City Chiefs 7; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19, Kansas City Chiefs 17.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs?
Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — A. Smith (Q2 31:20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — A. Cross (J. Winston pass) (Q4 6:30) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — A. Wilson (A. Smith pass) (Q4 2:29) Kansas City Chiefs field goal — C. Santos (Q1 52:10, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q2 39:49, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q2 34:22, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q2 30:11, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Aguayo (Q3 25:04, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs?
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 52.2% completion, +4.8% CPOE, +0.40 EPA per dropback, +18.42 total passing EPA. A. Smith (Kansas City Chiefs), 72.7% completion, +12.4% CPOE, +0.27 EPA per dropback, +8.93 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs?
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +18.42 on passing plays. across 46 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.50 EPA): (12:20) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 17-C.Conley INTERCEPTED by 23-C.Conte (93-G.McCoy) at TB -5. 23-C.Conte pushed ob at TB 48 for 53 yards (80-J.O'Shaughnessy).. The biggest win-probability swing was -35.6%.
Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs a close game?
Yes — the margin was 2 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 19-17 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 4-5 Now 5-5 W
Kansas City Chiefs
Entered 7-2 Now 7-3 L
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