Game story
In Week 4 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-09-30, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 20–7 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
D. Carr (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -11.78 total EPA, and -15.1% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, D. Williams (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.44 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-7.7% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (11:46) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 19-I.Hilliard to CAR 23 for 3 yards (20-C.Gamble). FUMBLES (20-C.Gamble), RECOVERED by CAR-58-T.Davis at CAR 22. 58-T.Davis to CAR 22 for no gain (70-D.Penn).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q4 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 D. Williams · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +5.44 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.81 EPA/play
- 2 I. Hilliard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.17 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
- 3 J. Garcia · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +3.39 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
- 4 D. Carter · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +2.64 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play
- 5 M. Clayton · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.06 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.06 EPA/play
- 6 B. Hoover · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.68 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.84 EPA/play
- 7 K. Colbert · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.45 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
- 8 C. Williams · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +1.18 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
D. Williams — CAR · Receiving
D. Williams posted the highest total EPA (+5.44) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Carolina Panthers's efficiency. Across 3 counted snaps, they averaged +1.81 EPA per play.
The signature play (+5.16 EPA) came from Carolina Panthers: (:31) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 34-D.Williams for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Garcia
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — E. Graham
- Carolina Panthers — D. Williams (D. Carr pass)
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Bryant
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Bryant
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q1 53:50) — (8:50) 7-J.Garcia scrambles left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 53:43) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 1 (Q1 45:53) — (:53) 34-E.Graham left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 45:48) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..
The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 7 (Q2 36:44) — (6:44) 3-M.Bryant 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell..
The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 20 (Q4 10:24) — (10:24) 3-M.Bryant 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 24 (Q4 0:31) — (:31) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 34-D.Williams for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 0:23) — 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-7-J.Baker..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 41:46) — (11:46) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 19-I.Hilliard to CAR 23 for 3 yards (20-C.Gamble). FUMBLES (20-C.Gamble), RECOVERED by CAR-58-T.Davis at CAR 22. 58-T.Davis to CAR 22 for no gain (70-D.Penn).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 38:39) — (8:39) (No Huddle) 7-J.Garcia pass deep left to 19-I.Hilliard pushed ob at CAR 10 for 56 yards (58-T.Davis).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 57:42) — (12:42) (Shotgun) PENALTY on CAR-90-J.Peppers, Neutral Zone Infraction, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 30 - No Play.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 58:53) — (13:53) 7-J.Garcia pass short middle to 19-I.Hilliard to CAR 35 for 15 yards (52-J.Beason).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 55:57) — (10:57) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 19-I.Hilliard to CAR 15 for 9 yards (31-R.Marshall).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Carolina Panthers (Q4 0:31) — (:31) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 34-D.Williams for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 41:46) — (11:46) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 19-I.Hilliard to CAR 23 for 3 yards (20-C.Gamble). FUMBLES (20-C.Gamble), RECOVERED by CAR-58-T.Davis at CAR 22. 58-T.Davis to CAR 22 for no gain (70-D.Penn).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 38:39) — (8:39) (No Huddle) 7-J.Garcia pass deep left to 19-I.Hilliard pushed ob at CAR 10 for 56 yards (58-T.Davis).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 16:16) — (1:16) 34-E.Graham right guard to CAR 1 for no gain (99-M.Kemoeatu; 94-K.Moorehead).
Quarterback report card
D.Carr led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- D.Carr (Carolina Panthers) · 51 dropbacks · 37.3% completion · -15.1% CPOE · -0.23 EPA/play · -11.78 total EPA
- J.Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 27 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · -1.5% CPOE · +0.13 EPA/play · +3.39 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Carolina Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.030 | -0.226 |
| Offensive success rate | 45.7% | 32.2% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.125 | -0.231 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.074 | -0.315 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.226 | +0.030 |
| Defensive success rate | 67.8% | 54.3% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.03 vs -0.23), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Carolina Panthers: 12 drives, -19.66 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 13 drives, -2.42 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- D. Williams (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- D. Carr (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 53:50 · CAR 3 · Score 6-0
(8:50) 7-J.Garcia scrambles left end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 53:43 · CAR 2 · Score 7-0
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 45:53 · CAR 1 · Score 13-0
(:53) 34-E.Graham left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 45:48 · CAR 2 · Score 14-0
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 36:44 · CAR 7 · Score 17-0
(6:44) 3-M.Bryant 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 10:24 · CAR 20 · Score 20-0
(10:24) 3-M.Bryant 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 0:31 · TB 24 · Score 20-6
(:31) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 34-D.Williams for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 0:23 · TB 2 · Score 20-7
4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 20-7 in Week 4, 2007 on 2007-09-30.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20, Carolina Panthers 7 (TB 20-7 CAR) in Week 4, 2007 on 2007-09-30.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, Carolina Panthers 0; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Carolina Panthers 0; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Carolina Panthers 7; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20, Carolina Panthers 7.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Garcia (Q1 53:50) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — E. Graham (Q1 45:53) Carolina Panthers touchdown — D. Williams (D. Carr pass) (Q4 0:31) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 36:44, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 10:24, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
D. Carr (Carolina Panthers), 37.3% completion, -15.1% CPOE, -0.23 EPA per dropback, -11.78 total passing EPA. J. Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 55.6% completion, -1.5% CPOE, +0.13 EPA per dropback, +3.39 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers?
D. Williams (Carolina Panthers) led the game in total EPA with +5.44 on receiving plays. across 3 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+5.16 EPA): (:31) 8-D.Carr pass short left to 34-D.Williams for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -7.7%.
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W
Carolina Panthers
Entered 2-1 Now 2-2 L
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