San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals: 2008 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-11-10, the Arizona Cardinals took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 29–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Warner (Arizona Cardinals) paced the passing game, with +14.62 total EPA, and +11.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Warner (Arizona Cardinals) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.62 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-44.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (:03) 24-M.Robinson up the middle to ARI 1 for 1 yard (53-C.Haggans).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 K. Warner · Arizona Cardinals · Passing · +14.62 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Boldin · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +10.72 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.53 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Hill · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +7.75 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
4. 4 S. Breaston · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +6.47 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Morgan · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +6.43 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.61 EPA/play
6. 6 L. Fitzgerald · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +4.69 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Urban · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +4.01 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
8. 8 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.90 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.90 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — A. Rossum (Q1 60:00)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Morgan (S. Hill pass) (Q2 44:19)
• Arizona Cardinals — A. Boldin (K. Warner pass) (Q2 41:56)
• San Francisco 49ers — V. Davis (S. Hill pass) (Q2 30:36)
• Arizona Cardinals — L. Fitzgerald (K. Warner pass) (Q3 26:41)
• Arizona Cardinals — A. Boldin (K. Warner pass) (Q4 4:21)

Field goals

• Arizona Cardinals — N. Rackers (Q1 54:50)
• Arizona Cardinals — N. Rackers (Q2 34:45)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Nedney (Q3 22:05)
• Arizona Cardinals — N. Rackers (Q4 14:37)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the ARI 30 (Q1 60:00) — 1-N.Rackers kicks 74 yards from ARI 30 to SF -4. 20-A.Rossum for 104 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q1 59:48) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the SF 10 (Q1 54:50) — (9:50) 1-N.Rackers 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–10. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the ARI 31 (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) 13-S.Hill pass deep right to 84-J.Morgan for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ARI-26-R.Hood, Defensive Holding, declined.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q2 44:13) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the SF 13 (Q2 41:56) — (11:56) (Shotgun) 13-K.Warner pass short left to 81-A.Boldin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 41:48) — 1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the SF 15 (Q2 34:45) — (4:45) 1-N.Rackers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the ARI 18 (Q2 30:36); San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q2 30:29) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The third quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 7–3. Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the SF 5 (Q3 26:41) — (11:41) 13-K.Warner pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 26:37) — 1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the ARI 24 (Q3 22:05) — (7:05) 6-J.Nedney 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 9–0. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the SF 5 (Q4 14:37) — (14:37) 1-N.Rackers 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the SF 4 (Q4 4:21) — (4:21) (Shotgun) 13-K.Warner pass short right to 81-A.Boldin for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 0:03) — (:03) 24-M.Robinson up the middle to ARI 1 for 1 yard (53-C.Haggans). [WPA -44.0% · EPA -2.95]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 5:18) — (5:18) 13-S.Hill pass short middle intended for 88-I.Bruce INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Dansby at SF 39. 58-K.Dansby to SF 5 for 34 yards (74-J.Staley). Penalty on SF-88-I.Bruce, Offensive Pass Interference, d [WPA -34.7% · EPA -5.45]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 2:34) — (2:34) 13-S.Hill pass short right intended for 21-F.Gore INTERCEPTED by 24-A.Wilson at ARI 12. 24-A.Wilson to ARI 21 for 9 yards (85-V.Davis). PENALTY on ARI-94-A.Smith, Unnecessary Roughness, 11 yard [WPA -28.1% · EPA -4.08]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 60:00) — 1-N.Rackers kicks 74 yards from ARI 30 to SF -4. 20-A.Rossum for 104 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +25.3% · EPA +6.79]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 15:44) — (:44) 13-S.Hill FUMBLES (Aborted) at SF 18, touched at SF 18, RECOVERED by ARI-53-C.Haggans at SF 10. 53-C.Haggans to SF 10 for no gain (64-D.Baas). [WPA -23.4% · EPA -5.58]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 60:00) — 1-N.Rackers kicks 74 yards from ARI 30 to SF -4. 20-A.Rossum for 104 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +25.3% · EPA +6.79]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 15:44) — (:44) 13-S.Hill FUMBLES (Aborted) at SF 18, touched at SF 18, RECOVERED by ARI-53-C.Haggans at SF 10. 53-C.Haggans to SF 10 for no gain (64-D.Baas). [WPA -23.4% · EPA -5.58]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 5:18) — (5:18) 13-S.Hill pass short middle intended for 88-I.Bruce INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Dansby at SF 39. 58-K.Dansby to SF 5 for 34 yards (74-J.Staley). Penalty on SF-88-I.Bruce, Offensive Pass Interference, d [WPA -34.7% · EPA -5.45]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 2:34) — (2:34) 13-S.Hill pass short right intended for 21-F.Gore INTERCEPTED by 24-A.Wilson at ARI 12. 24-A.Wilson to ARI 21 for 9 yards (85-V.Davis). PENALTY on ARI-94-A.Smith, Unnecessary Roughness, 11 yard [WPA -28.1% · EPA -4.08]

Quarterback report card

K.Warner led all passers in efficiency for Arizona Cardinals, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• K.Warner (Arizona Cardinals) · 45 dropbacks · 71.1% completion · +11.4% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +14.62 total EPA
• S.Hill (San Francisco 49ers) · 42 dropbacks · 45.2% completion · -13.0% CPOE · +0.02 EPA/play · +0.84 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Arizona Cardinals held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs +0.00), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Arizona Cardinals: 12 drives, +4.74 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 12 drives, +0.15 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Arizona Cardinals leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• K. Warner (Arizona Cardinals) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• K. Warner (ARI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• S. Hill (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 60:00 · ARI 30 · Score 6-0
   1-N.Rackers kicks 74 yards from ARI 30 to SF -4. 20-A.Rossum for 104 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 59:48 · ARI 2 · Score 7-0
   6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
3. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q1 54:50 · SF 10 · Score 7-3
   (9:50) 1-N.Rackers 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson.
4. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 44:19 · ARI 31 · Score 13-3
   (14:19) 13-S.Hill pass deep right to 84-J.Morgan for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ARI-26-R.Hood, Defensive Holding, declined.
5. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 44:13 · ARI 2 · Score 14-3
   6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
6. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 41:56 · SF 13 · Score 14-9
   (11:56) (Shotgun) 13-K.Warner pass short left to 81-A.Boldin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q2 41:48 · SF 2 · Score 14-10
   1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson.
8. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q2 34:45 · SF 15 · Score 14-13
   (4:45) 1-N.Rackers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson.
9. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 30:36 · ARI 18 · Score 20-13
   (:36) 13-S.Hill pass deep middle to 85-V.Davis for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN [54-G.Hayes]. PENALTY on SF-85-V.Davis, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced betwe
10. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 30:29 · ARI 2 · Score 21-13
    6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
11. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q3 26:41 · SF 5 · Score 21-19
    (11:41) 13-K.Warner pass short right to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q3 26:37 · SF 2 · Score 21-20
    1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson.
13. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 22:05 · ARI 24 · Score 24-20
    (7:05) 6-J.Nedney 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
14. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q4 14:37 · SF 5 · Score 24-23
    (14:37) 1-N.Rackers 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-9-D.Johnson.
15. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q4 4:21 · SF 4 · Score 24-29
    (4:21) (Shotgun) 13-K.Warner pass short right to 81-A.Boldin for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.