Game story
In Week 18 of the 2021 NFL season on 2022-01-09, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 27–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with +6.03 total EPA, and -8.9% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, K. Cole (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.17 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+15.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (3:59) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short middle to 88-K.Cole for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Jets | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 27 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 K. Cole · New York Jets · Receiving · +6.17 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.06 EPA/play
- 2 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +6.03 total EPA · 52 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
- 3 D. Singletary · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.11 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.06 EPA/play
- 4 S. Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.08 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
- 5 D. Knox · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.23 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
- 6 I. McKenzie · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.76 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.76 EPA/play
- 7 M. Trubisky · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +1.37 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
- 8 J. Kumerow · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.37 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
K. Cole — NYJ · Receiving
K. Cole posted the highest total EPA (+6.17) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New York Jets's efficiency. Across 3 counted snaps, they averaged +2.06 EPA per play.
The signature play (+6.39 EPA) came from New York Jets: (3:59) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short middle to 88-K.Cole for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Buffalo Bills — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass)
- New York Jets — K. Cole (Z. Wilson pass)
- Buffalo Bills — D. Singletary
- Buffalo Bills — D. Singletary (J. Allen pass)
Field goals
- Buffalo Bills — T. Bass
- Buffalo Bills — T. Bass
- New York Jets — E. Pineiro
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 10–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 10 (Q1 55:50); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 55:42) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 23 (Q1 47:36) — (2:36) 2-T.Bass 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack..
The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 40 (Q2 33:59) — (3:59) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short middle to 88-K.Cole for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 33:51) — 15-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 3 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 2-T.Bass 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack..
The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 3–0. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the BUF 31 (Q3 19:00) — (4:00) 15-E.Pineiro 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann..
The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q4 8:24) — (8:24) 26-D.Singletary left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 8:21) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 5 (Q4 3:58) — (3:58) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-D.Singletary for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 3:53) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- New York Jets (Q2 33:59) — (3:59) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short middle to 88-K.Cole for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Buffalo Bills (Q1 57:51) — (12:51) 26-D.Singletary up the middle pushed ob at NYJ 10 for 40 yards (41-J.Pinnock).
- New York Jets (Q3 19:40) — (4:40) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson sacked ob at BUF 31 for -10 yards (97-M.Addison).
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 20:38) — (5:38) Fumbled snap. 3-M.Haack to BUF 9 for -13 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at BUF 11. 3-M.Haack punts 7 yards to BUF 29. 9-J.White to BUF 27 for 2 yards (9-A.Smith; 46-J.Johnson). PENALTY on BUF-53-
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 17:44) — (2:44) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 88-D.Knox to NYJ 42 for 28 yards (30-M.Carter) [57-C.Mosley].
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- New York Jets (Q2 33:59) — (3:59) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short middle to 88-K.Cole for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- New York Jets (Q1 45:22) — (:22) 7-B.Mann punt is BLOCKED by 47-C.Lewis, Center-42-T.Hennessy, RECOVERED by BUF-46-J.Johnson at NYJ 35. 46-J.Johnson to NYJ 35 for no gain (81-T.Kroft).
- Buffalo Bills (Q2 43:30) — (13:30) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete short right to 13-G.Davis.
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 17:44) — (2:44) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 88-D.Knox to NYJ 42 for 28 yards (30-M.Carter) [57-C.Mosley].
Quarterback report card
J.Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 52 dropbacks · 46.2% completion · -8.9% CPOE · +0.12 EPA/play · +6.03 total EPA
- Z.Wilson (New York Jets) · 30 dropbacks · 23.3% completion · -31.2% CPOE · -0.54 EPA/play · -16.27 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | New York Jets | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.365 | -0.054 |
| Offensive success rate | 25.8% | 41.4% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.568 | +0.140 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.416 | -0.190 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.054 | +0.365 |
| Defensive success rate | 58.6% | 74.2% |
By the numbers
Buffalo Bills held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.05 vs -0.36), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Buffalo Bills: 14 drives, -5.32 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
- New York Jets: 13 drives, -24.10 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- K. Cole (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Allen (BUF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- Z. Wilson (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 55:50 · NYJ 10 · Score 0-6
(10:50) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-Qu.Williams]. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, a - Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 55:42 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-7
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 47:36 · NYJ 23 · Score 0-10
(2:36) 2-T.Bass 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack. - New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 33:59 · BUF 40 · Score 6-10
(3:59) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short middle to 88-K.Cole for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 33:51 · BUF 15 · Score 7-10
15-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · NYJ 3 · Score 7-13
(:04) 2-T.Bass 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack. - New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 19:00 · BUF 31 · Score 10-13
(4:00) 15-E.Pineiro 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann. - Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 8:24 · NYJ 1 · Score 10-19
(8:24) 26-D.Singletary left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 8:21 · NYJ 15 · Score 10-20
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack. - Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 3:58 · NYJ 5 · Score 10-26
(3:58) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 26-D.Singletary for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 3:53 · NYJ 15 · Score 10-27
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
Frequently asked questions
Who won New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?
The Buffalo Bills beat the New York Jets 27-10 in Week 18, 2021 on 2022-01-09.
What was the final score of New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?
The final score was New York Jets 10, Buffalo Bills 27 (NYJ 10-27 BUF) in Week 18, 2021 on 2022-01-09.
What was the score by quarter in New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?
Q1: New York Jets 0, Buffalo Bills 10; Q2: New York Jets 7, Buffalo Bills 3; Q3: New York Jets 3, Buffalo Bills 0; Q4: New York Jets 0, Buffalo Bills 14; Final: New York Jets 10, Buffalo Bills 27.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?
Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q1 55:50) New York Jets touchdown — K. Cole (Z. Wilson pass) (Q2 33:59) Buffalo Bills touchdown — D. Singletary (Q4 8:24) Buffalo Bills touchdown — D. Singletary (J. Allen pass) (Q4 3:58) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q1 47:36, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q2 30:04, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — E. Pineiro (Q3 19:00, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?
J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 46.2% completion, -8.9% CPOE, +0.12 EPA per dropback, +6.03 total passing EPA. Z. Wilson (New York Jets), 23.3% completion, -31.2% CPOE, -0.54 EPA per dropback, -16.27 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills?
K. Cole (New York Jets) led the game in total EPA with +6.17 on receiving plays. across 3 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.39 EPA): (3:59) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short middle to 88-K.Cole for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +15.3%.
Season records after this game
New York Jets
Entered 4-12 Now 4-13 L
Buffalo Bills
Entered 10-6 Now 11-6 W
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