New England Patriots vs. New York Giants: 2015 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-11-15, the New England Patriots took care of business against the New York Giants, pulling away with a 27–26 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

E. Manning (New York Giants) paced the passing game, with +10.57 total EPA, and -6.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, E. Manning (New York Giants) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.57 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+35.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (:06) 3-S.Gostkowski 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 E. Manning · New York Giants · Passing · +10.57 total EPA · 53 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Harris · New York Giants · Receiving · +7.86 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +7.59 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Gronkowski · New England Patriots · Receiving · +6.00 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Edelman · New England Patriots · Receiving · +5.22 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Randle · New York Giants · Receiving · +2.83 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Amendola · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.78 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
8. 8 W. Tye · New York Giants · Receiving · +2.32 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — S. Chandler (T. Brady pass) (Q1 51:48)
• New York Giants — O. Beckham (E. Manning pass) (Q1 51:03)
• New York Giants — D. Harris (E. Manning pass) (Q2 30:18)
• New England Patriots — L. Blount (Q3 19:52)
• New England Patriots — R. Gronkowski (T. Brady pass) (Q4 11:51)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 43:02)
• New York Giants — J. Brown (Q2 33:47)
• New York Giants — J. Brown (Q3 24:37)
• New York Giants — J. Brown (Q3 15:54)
• New York Giants — J. Brown (Q4 1:50)
• New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q4 0:06)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYG 1 (Q1 51:48) — (6:48) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 88-S.Chandler for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q1 51:40) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New York Giants found the end zone from the NE 87 (Q1 51:03) — (6:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep right to 13-O.Beckham Jr. for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q1 50:49) — 3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing..

The second quarter: New York Giants won the period 10–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYG 13 (Q2 43:02) — (13:02) 3-S.Gostkowski 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New York Giants connected on a field goal from the NE 19 (Q2 33:47) — (3:47) 3-J.Brown 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.; New York Giants found the end zone from the NE 1 (Q2 30:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 17-D.Harris for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 30:13) — 3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–6. New York Giants connected on a field goal from the NE 20 (Q3 24:37) — (9:37) 3-J.Brown 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYG 1 (Q3 19:52) — (4:52) 29-L.Blount left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q3 19:46) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New York Giants connected on a field goal from the NE 35 (Q3 15:54) — (:54) 3-J.Brown 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYG 76 (Q4 11:51) — (11:51) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q4 11:33) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New York Giants connected on a field goal from the NE 11 (Q4 1:50) — (1:50) 3-J.Brown 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYG 36 (Q4 0:06) — (:06) 3-S.Gostkowski 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New England Patriots (Q4 0:06) — (:06) 3-S.Gostkowski 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen. [WPA +35.2% · EPA +1.36]
• New England Patriots (Q4 6:10) — (6:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 19-B.LaFell INTERCEPTED by 38-T.McBride at NYG 1. 38-T.McBride to NYG 3 for 2 yards (66-B.Stork). [WPA -27.0% · EPA -4.99]
• New England Patriots (Q4 11:51) — (11:51) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +25.3% · EPA +6.37]
• New York Giants (Q4 0:01) — 3-S.Gostkowski kicks 21 yards from NE 35 to NYG 44. 34-S.Vereen (didn't try to advance) to NYG 33 for -11 yards. Lateral to 23-R.Jennings to NYG 33 for no gain (38-B.Bolden). FUMBLES (38-B.Bolden), to [WPA -23.5% · EPA +0.02]
• New York Giants (Q4 2:34) — (2:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 17-D.Harris to NE 28 for 30 yards (30-D.Harmon, 24-R.Melvin). [WPA +19.9% · EPA +2.38]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Giants (Q1 51:03) — (6:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep right to 13-O.Beckham Jr. for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.5% · EPA +7.06]
• New England Patriots (Q4 11:51) — (11:51) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +25.3% · EPA +6.37]
• New York Giants (Q3 21:36) — (6:36) 9-B.Wing punts 42 yards to NE 11, Center-51-Z.DeOssie. 80-D.Amendola to NYG 7 for 82 yards (51-Z.DeOssie). [WPA -11.5% · EPA -5.41]
• New England Patriots (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 34 for -4 yards (53-J.Brinkley). FUMBLES (53-J.Brinkley) [53-J.Brinkley], RECOVERED by NYG-78-M.Kuhn at NE 39. 78-M.Kuhn to NE 31 for 8 yards (71-C.Fleming). Officially [WPA -8.5% · EPA -5.15]

Quarterback report card

E.Manning led all passers in efficiency for New York Giants, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• E.Manning (New York Giants) · 53 dropbacks · 45.3% completion · -6.3% CPOE · +0.20 EPA/play · +10.57 total EPA
• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 48 dropbacks · 54.2% completion · +1.1% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +7.59 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (New England Patriots +0.07, New York Giants +0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• New England Patriots: 12 drives, +6.78 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• New York Giants: 12 drives, +3.37 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• E. Manning (New York Giants) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• E. Manning (NYG) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 51:48 · NYG 1 · Score 6-0
   (6:48) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 88-S.Chandler for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 51:40 · NYG 15 · Score 7-0
   3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
3. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q1 51:03 · NE 87 · Score 7-6
   (6:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep right to 13-O.Beckham Jr. for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q1 50:49 · NE 15 · Score 7-7
   3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
5. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 43:02 · NYG 13 · Score 10-7
   (13:02) 3-S.Gostkowski 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
6. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q2 33:47 · NE 19 · Score 10-10
   (3:47) 3-J.Brown 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
7. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q2 30:18 · NE 1 · Score 10-16
   (:18) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 17-D.Harris for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q2 30:13 · NE 15 · Score 10-17
   3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
9. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q3 24:37 · NE 20 · Score 10-20
   (9:37) 3-J.Brown 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
10. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 19:52 · NYG 1 · Score 16-20
    (4:52) 29-L.Blount left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
11. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 19:46 · NYG 15 · Score 17-20
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
12. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q3 15:54 · NE 35 · Score 17-23
    (:54) 3-J.Brown 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
13. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 11:51 · NYG 76 · Score 23-23
    (11:51) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 11:33 · NYG 15 · Score 24-23
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
15. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q4 1:50 · NE 11 · Score 24-26
    (1:50) 3-J.Brown 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
16. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 0:06 · NYG 36 · Score 27-26
    (:06) 3-S.Gostkowski 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.