FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 5 · October 11, 2021 · 11 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens: 2021 Week 5 Recap

Ravens defeat Colts 31–25 in Week 5

Lucky Jackson led Fantasy Impact as Ravens prevailed in a 25–31 Week 5 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 25 1–4
Final 25–31
Baltimore Ravens 31 4–1 Winner
Winner
Baltimore Ravens
Final score
25–31
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 10–3 Baltimore Ravens
Top passer
Lucky Jackson
FantasyHQ MVP
Lucky Jackson
Game date
October 11, 2021

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Carson Wentz
    Carson Wentz 25/44 · 394 YDS · 2 TD +16.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Jawaan Taylor
    Jawaan Taylor 3 REC · 116 YDS · 1 TD +9.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Mo Alie-Cox
    Mo Alie-Cox 3 REC · 50 YDS +4.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Ravens

  • Lucky Jackson
    Lucky Jackson 37/54 · 488 YDS · 4 TD +36.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Mark Andrews
    Mark Andrews 11 REC · 147 YDS · 2 TD +13.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Montaric Brown
    Montaric Brown 9 REC · 125 YDS · 2 TD +10.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Baltimore Ravens defeated the Indianapolis Colts 31–25 in Week 5 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-10-11, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+36.9% win probability) came in overtime when Baltimore Ravens swung the momentum.

In Week 5 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-10-11, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the Indianapolis Colts, pulling away with a 31–25 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 19 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with +36.41 total EPA, and +17.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +36.41 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+36.9% win probability) landed in overtime when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (5:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 5-M.Brown for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Indianapolis Colts73123025
Baltimore Ravens03616631

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 L. Jackson · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +36.41 total EPA · 54 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Wentz · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +16.92 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Andrews · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +13.54 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Brown · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +10.24 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Taylor · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +9.19 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.84 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Duvernay · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +4.61 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.15 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Alie-Cox · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.28 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
  8. 8 P. Campbell · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.87 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

L. Jackson — BAL · Passing

L. Jackson posted the highest total EPA (+36.41) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Baltimore Ravens's efficiency. Across 54 counted snaps, they averaged +0.67 EPA per play.

The signature play (+8.14 EPA) came from Indianapolis Colts: (13:11) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 28-J.Taylor for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Indianapolis Colts — J. Taylor (C. Wentz pass) (Q1 58:11)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Pittman (C. Wentz pass) (Q3 29:07)
  • Indianapolis Colts — J. Taylor (Q3 18:11)
  • Baltimore Ravens — M. Brown (L. Jackson pass) (Q3 16:02)
  • Baltimore Ravens — M. Andrews (L. Jackson pass) (Q4 9:44)
  • Baltimore Ravens — M. Andrews (L. Jackson pass) (Q4 0:46)
  • Baltimore Ravens — M. Brown (L. Jackson pass) (OT 5:29)

Field goals

  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q2 31:39)
  • Indianapolis Colts — R. Blankenship (Q2 30:00)
  • Indianapolis Colts — R. Blankenship (Q4 12:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BAL 76 (Q1 58:11) — (13:11) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 28-J.Taylor for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q1 57:59) — 3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the IND 5 (Q2 31:39) — (1:39) 9-J.Tucker 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BAL 19 (Q2 30:00) — (:00) 3-R.Blankenship 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 12–6. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BAL 42 (Q3 29:07); Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BAL 4 (Q3 18:11) — (3:11) 28-J.Taylor right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the IND 43 (Q3 16:02) — (1:02) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 5-M.Brown for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 16–3. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BAL 25 (Q4 12:04) — (12:04) 3-R.Blankenship 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the IND 5 (Q4 9:44); Baltimore Ravens registered a safety from the IND 2 (Q4 9:38) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 89-M.Andrews is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the IND 4 (Q4 0:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens registered a safety from the IND 2 (Q4 0:39) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 89-M.Andrews is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Overtime: Baltimore Ravens won the period 6–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the IND 5 (OT 5:29) — (5:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 5-M.Brown for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Baltimore Ravens (OT 5:29) — (5:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 5-M.Brown for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +36.9% · EPA +2.01]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 58:11) — (13:11) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 28-J.Taylor for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +22.7% · EPA +8.14]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 0:39) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 89-M.Andrews is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. [WPA +19.5% · EPA +1.05]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 3-R.Blankenship 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez. [WPA -19.4% · EPA -2.17]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q3 21:49) — (6:49) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end to IND 2 for -1 yards (32-J.Blackmon). FUMBLES (32-J.Blackmon), RECOVERED by IND-53-D.Leonard at IND 3. 53-D.Leonard to IND 25 for 22 yards. Lateral to 34-I.Rodg [WPA -16.4% · EPA -6.90]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 58:11) — (13:11) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 28-J.Taylor for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +22.7% · EPA +8.14]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q3 21:49) — (6:49) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end to IND 2 for -1 yards (32-J.Blackmon). FUMBLES (32-J.Blackmon), RECOVERED by IND-53-D.Leonard at IND 3. 53-D.Leonard to IND 25 for 22 yards. Lateral to 34-I.Rodg [WPA -16.4% · EPA -6.90]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 48:47) — (3:47) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz sacked at BAL 20 for -6 yards (99-O.Oweh). FUMBLES (99-O.Oweh) [99-O.Oweh], RECOVERED by BAL-98-B.Williams at BAL 19. [WPA -11.0% · EPA -5.60]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 29:07) — (14:07) 2-C.Wentz pass deep left to 11-M.Pittman for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN [6-P.Queen]. Penalty on BAL-23-A.Averett, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +8.5% · EPA +3.99]

Quarterback report card

L.Jackson led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • L.Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) · 54 dropbacks · 68.5% completion · +17.8% CPOE · +0.67 EPA/play · +36.41 total EPA
  • C.Wentz (Indianapolis Colts) · 44 dropbacks · 56.8% completion · +4.2% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +16.92 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsBaltimore Ravens
Offensive EPA/play+0.186+0.220
Offensive success rate47.7%57.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.385+0.674
Rush EPA/play+0.145-0.800
Defensive EPA/play-0.220-0.186
Defensive success rate42.4%52.3%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Indianapolis Colts +0.19, Baltimore Ravens +0.22) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Baltimore Ravens: 10 drives, +18.66 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +15.97 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • L. Jackson (BAL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • C. Wentz (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 58:11 · BAL 76 · Score 6-0
    (13:11) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 28-J.Taylor for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 57:59 · BAL 15 · Score 7-0
    3-R.Blankenship extra point is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  3. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 31:39 · IND 5 · Score 7-3
    (1:39) 9-J.Tucker 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  4. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:00 · BAL 19 · Score 10-3
    (:00) 3-R.Blankenship 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  5. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 29:07 · BAL 42 · Score 16-3
    (14:07) 2-C.Wentz pass deep left to 11-M.Pittman for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN [6-P.Queen]. Penalty on BAL-23-A.Averett, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
  6. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 18:11 · BAL 4 · Score 22-3
    (3:11) 28-J.Taylor right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 16:02 · IND 43 · Score 22-9
    (1:02) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 5-M.Brown for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 12:04 · BAL 25 · Score 25-9
    (12:04) 3-R.Blankenship 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-8-R.Sanchez.
  9. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 9:44 · IND 5 · Score 25-15
    (9:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 89-M.Andrews for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on IND-47-A.Chesley, Defensive Holding, declined.
  10. Baltimore Ravens Safety (+2) — Q4 9:38 · IND 2 · Score 25-17
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 89-M.Andrews is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  11. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 0:46 · IND 4 · Score 25-23
    (:46) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 89-M.Andrews for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Baltimore Ravens Safety (+2) — Q4 0:39 · IND 2 · Score 25-25
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass to 89-M.Andrews is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  13. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — OT 5:29 · IND 5 · Score 25-31
    (5:29) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right to 5-M.Brown for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

The Baltimore Ravens beat the Indianapolis Colts 31-25 in Week 5, 2021 on 2021-10-11.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 25, Baltimore Ravens 31 (IND 25-31 BAL) in Week 5, 2021 on 2021-10-11.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 7, Baltimore Ravens 0; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 3, Baltimore Ravens 3; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 12, Baltimore Ravens 6; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 3, Baltimore Ravens 16; Q5: Indianapolis Colts 0, Baltimore Ravens 6; Final: Indianapolis Colts 25, Baltimore Ravens 31.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Taylor (C. Wentz pass) (Q1 58:11) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Pittman (C. Wentz pass) (Q3 29:07) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Taylor (Q3 18:11) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — M. Brown (L. Jackson pass) (Q3 16:02) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — M. Andrews (L. Jackson pass) (Q4 9:44) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — M. Andrews (L. Jackson pass) (Q4 0:46) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — M. Brown (L. Jackson pass) (OT 5:29) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q2 31:39, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — R. Blankenship (Q2 30:00, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — R. Blankenship (Q4 12:04, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens), 68.5% completion, +17.8% CPOE, +0.67 EPA per dropback, +36.41 total passing EPA. C. Wentz (Indianapolis Colts), 56.8% completion, +4.2% CPOE, +0.38 EPA per dropback, +16.92 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) led the game in total EPA with +36.41 on passing plays. across 54 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+8.14 EPA): (13:11) (Shotgun) 2-C.Wentz pass short left to 28-J.Taylor for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +36.9%.

Was Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Baltimore Ravens won 31-25 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 1-3 Now 1-4 L

Baltimore Ravens

Entered 3-1 Now 4-1 W