Bills 27–24 Jaguars: Score, Stats & Recap | Wild Card, 2025

Q: How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 71.8% completion, +11.3% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +9.39 total passing EPA. T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 52.9% completion, -5.1% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +2.13 total passing EPA.

Q: Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +9.39 total EPA on Passing plays. across 39 snaps. Their top snap (+2.77 EPA): (7:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 0-K.Coleman pushed ob at JAX 8 for 36 yards (0-D.Lloyd)..

Quick answer

Winner: Buffalo Bills
Final score: Buffalo Bills 27–24 Jacksonville Jaguars
Halftime: Buffalo Bills 10–7 Jacksonville Jaguars at halftime
FantasyHQ MVP: Jonathan Allen
Top passer: Jonathan Allen
Biggest EPA play: (5:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 11-P.Washington INTERCEPTED …
Game date: 2026-01-11

Game summary

The Buffalo Bills beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 27–24 on 2026-01-11. Jonathan Allen posted a game-high +9.39 total EPA in the passing.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 34 combined points.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	—	T
Buffalo Bills	3	7	3	20	0	27
Jacksonville Jaguars	0	7	3	14	0	24

Scoring Map

Each pin marks where a score occurred on the field — yard line from play-by-play.

BUFBuffalo Bills

+3JAX 32

BUF 3

JAX 2

+3JAX 29

+3BUF 25

BUF 6

JAX 1

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

FantasyHQ Analytics

Scoring timeline

15 scores

Chronological scoring plays — scroll to follow the game.

BUFBuffalo Bills
Q1 3:00FG
Matt Prater
Points+3
Yard line
JAX 32
Score
3-0
(3:00) 15-M.Prater 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
Q2 14:18TD
Brandon Thomas
Points+6
Yard line
BUF 3
Score
3-6
(14:18) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 7-B.Thomas for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
Q2 14:14XP
Cam Little
Points+1
Yard line
BUF 15
Score
3-7
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q2 5:42TD
Jonathan Allen
Points+6
Yard line
JAX 2
Score
9-7
(5:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q2 5:37XP
Matt Prater
Points+1
Yard line
JAX 15
Score
10-7
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky. ** Injury Update: JAX-42-A.Wingard has returned to the game.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q3 8:16FG
Matt Prater
Points+3
Yard line
JAX 29
Score
13-7
(8:16) 15-M.Prater 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
Q3 5:52FG
Cam Little
Points+3
Yard line
BUF 25
Score
13-10
(5:52) 39-C.Little 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
Q4 13:01TD
Parker Washington
Points+6
Yard line
BUF 6
Score
13-16
(13:01) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. JAX-77-A.Harrison was injured during the play.
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
Q4 12:55XP
Cam Little
Points+1
Yard line
BUF 15
Score
13-17
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 9:01TD
Dalton Kincaid
Points+6
Yard line
JAX 15
Score
19-17
(9:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 8:56XP
Matt Prater
Points+1
Yard line
JAX 15
Score
20-17
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
Q4 4:10TD
Travis Etienne
Points+6
Yard line
BUF 14
Score
20-23
(4:10) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 1-T.Etienne for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
JAXJacksonville Jaguars
Q4 4:03XP
Cam Little
Points+1
Yard line
BUF 15
Score
20-24
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 1:05TD
Jonathan Allen
Points+6
Yard line
JAX 1
Score
26-24
(1:05) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 1:04TD
Matt Prater
Points+7
Yard line
JAX 15
Score
27-24
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).

1Jonathan Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +9.39 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
2Jonathan Allen · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +5.38 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
3Travis Etienne · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.64 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
4Brandin Cooks · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.29 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
5Brandon Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.27 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.63 EPA/play
6Bhayshul Tuten · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +3.18 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
7Keon Coleman · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.77 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.77 EPA/play
8Travis Etienne · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +2.68 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Jonathan Allen — BUF · Passing

Jonathan Allen posted the highest total EPA (+9.39) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Buffalo Bills. Across 39 counted snaps, they averaged +0.24 EPA per play.

Jonathan Allen's top snap (+2.77 EPA): (7:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 0-K.Coleman pushed ob at JAX 8 for 36 yards (0-D.Lloyd).

Biggest single play (-5.49 EPA): Trevor Lawrence — (5:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 11-P.Washington INTERCEPTED by 45-S.Thompson at BUF 48. 45-S.Thompson to JAX 33 for 19 yards (16-T.Lawrence).

Quarterback report card

Jonathan Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 39 dropbacks · 71.8% completion · +11.3% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +9.39 total EPA
Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 34 dropbacks · 52.9% completion · -5.1% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +2.13 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.

Stat	Buffalo Bills	Jacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play	+0.126	+0.065
Offensive success rate	48.8%	53.4%
Pass EPA/play	+0.241	+0.063
Rush EPA/play	+0.194	+0.040
Defensive EPA/play	-0.065	-0.126
Defensive success rate	46.6%	51.2%

Drive & efficiency notes

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.13 vs +0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):

Buffalo Bills: +0.13 EPA/play (75th percentile vs. 2025 team-game averages)
Jacksonville Jaguars: +0.07 EPA/play (61st percentile vs. 2025 team-game averages)

Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +10.07 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, +4.73 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

Jacksonville Jaguars — Brandon Thomas (Trevor Lawrence pass) (Q2 14:18)
Buffalo Bills — Jonathan Allen (Q2 5:42)
Jacksonville Jaguars — Parker Washington (Trevor Lawrence pass) (Q4 13:01)
Buffalo Bills — Dalton Kincaid (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q4 9:01)
Jacksonville Jaguars — Travis Etienne (Trevor Lawrence pass) (Q4 4:10)
Buffalo Bills — Jonathan Allen (Q4 1:05)

Field goals

Buffalo Bills — Matt Prater (Q1 3:00)
Buffalo Bills — Matt Prater (Q3 8:16)
Jacksonville Jaguars — Cam Little (Q3 5:52)

Quarter by quarter

Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the JAX 32 (Q1 3:00) — (3:00) 15-M.Prater 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 3 (Q2 14:18) — (14:18) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 7-B.Thomas for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 14:14) — 39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 2 (Q2 5:42) — (5:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 5:37) — 15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky. ** Injury Update: JAX-42-A.Wingard has returned to the game..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the JAX 29 (Q3 8:16) — (8:16) 15-M.Prater 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the BUF 25 (Q3 5:52) — (5:52) 39-C.Little 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 20–14. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 6 (Q4 13:01) — (13:01) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. JAX-77-A.Harrison was injured during the play.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 12:55) — 39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 15 (Q4 9:01) — (9:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 8:56) — 15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 14 (Q4 4:10) — (4:10) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 1-T.Etienne for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 4:03) — 39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 1:05) — (1:05) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 15 (Q4 1:04) — 15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most.

Buffalo Bills (Q4 1:10) — (1:10) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen up the middle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 70-A.Anderson [WPA +23.9% · EPA +2.65]
Buffalo Bills (Q4 2:27) — (2:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 18-B.Cooks to JAX 20 for 36 yards (26-An.Johnson). [WPA +20.5% · EPA +2.33]
Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:59) — (:59) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 3-J.Meyers INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Bishop (27-T.White) at JAX 37. 24-C.Bishop to JAX 35 for 2 yards. [WPA -19.3% · EPA -2.10]
Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 5:25) — (5:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 11-P.Washington INTERCEPTED by 45-S.Thompson at BUF 48. 45-S.Thompson to JAX 33 for 19 yards (16-T.Lawrence). [WPA -16.0% · EPA -5.49]
Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 7:05) — (7:05) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 11-P.Washington to BUF 25 for 31 yards (24-C.Bishop). [WPA +14.9% · EPA +2.30]

Impact plays

Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 5:25) — (5:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle intended for 11-P.Washington INTERCEPTED by 45-S.Thompson at BUF 48. 45-S.Thompson to JAX 33 for 19 yards (16-T.Lawrence). [WPA -16.0% · EPA -5.49]
Buffalo Bills (Q2 14:14) — 39-C.Little kicks 65 yards from JAX 35 to BUF 0. 22-R.Davis to BUF 34 for 34 yards (36-L.Allen; 30-M.Brown). FUMBLES (36-L.Allen), RECOVERED by JAX-0-D.Lloyd at BUF 36. BUF-22-R.Davis was injured duri [WPA -9.9% · EPA -4.55]
Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 11:21) — (11:21) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left end to BUF 7 for 2 yards (45-S.Thompson). (Virtual Measurement). Buffalo challenged the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence left [WPA -5.4% · EPA -3.10]
Buffalo Bills (Q2 7:47) — (7:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 0-K.Coleman pushed ob at JAX 8 for 36 yards (0-D.Lloyd). [WPA +8.5% · EPA +2.77]

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.

Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 3:00 · JAX 32 · Score 3-0
(3:00) 15-M.Prater 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 14:18 · BUF 3 · Score 3-6
(14:18) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 7-B.Thomas for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 14:14 · BUF 15 · Score 3-7
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 5:42 · JAX 2 · Score 9-7
(5:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 5:37 · JAX 15 · Score 10-7
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky. ** Injury Update: JAX-42-A.Wingard has returned to the game.
Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 8:16 · JAX 29 · Score 13-7
(8:16) 15-M.Prater 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 5:52 · BUF 25 · Score 13-10
(5:52) 39-C.Little 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 13:01 · BUF 6 · Score 13-16
(13:01) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-P.Washington for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. JAX-77-A.Harrison was injured during the play.
Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 12:55 · BUF 15 · Score 13-17
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 9:01 · JAX 15 · Score 19-17
(9:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 8:56 · JAX 15 · Score 20-17
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 4:10 · BUF 14 · Score 20-23
(4:10) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 1-T.Etienne for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 4:03 · BUF 15 · Score 20-24
39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 1:05 · JAX 1 · Score 26-24
(1:05) 70-A.Anderson reported in as eligible. 17-J.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills TD (+7) — Q4 1:04 · JAX 15 · Score 27-24
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.

Buffalo Bills earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
One-score margin — verify garbage-time stats before drawing fantasy conclusions.
Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
Jonathan Allen (BUF) finished above expected through the air (positive CPOE).

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars on 2026-01-11?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-24 in Wild Card, 2025.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q2: Buffalo Bills 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q3: Buffalo Bills 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q4: Buffalo Bills 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 14; Final: Buffalo Bills 27, Jacksonville Jaguars 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — B. Thomas (T. Lawrence pass) (Q2 14:18) Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Allen (Q2 5:42) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — P. Washington (T. Lawrence pass) (Q4 13:01) Buffalo Bills touchdown — D. Kincaid (J. Allen pass) (Q4 9:01) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — T. Etienne (T. Lawrence pass) (Q4 4:10) Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Allen (Q4 1:05) Buffalo Bills field goal — M. Prater (Q1 3:00, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — M. Prater (Q3 8:16, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — C. Little (Q3 5:52, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills), 71.8% completion, +11.3% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +9.39 total passing EPA. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 52.9% completion, -5.1% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +2.13 total passing EPA.

Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +9.39 total EPA on Passing plays. across 39 snaps. Their top snap (+2.77 EPA): (7:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 0-K.Coleman pushed ob at JAX 8 for 36 yards (0-D.Lloyd)..

Was Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Buffalo Bills won 27-24 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 12-5 Now 13-5 W

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 13-4 Now 13-5 L

Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2025 Wild Card Recap

Top fantasy performers · Bills

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

Quick answer

Game summary