Patriots 23–20 Bills: Score, Stats & Recap | Week 5, 2025

Q: How did the quarterbacks play in New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 51.2% completion, +5.9% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +9.11 total passing EPA. D. Maye (New England Patriots), 55.0% completion, +13.8% CPOE, +0.17 EPA per dropback, +6.94 total passing EPA.

Q: Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

D. Kincaid (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +10.17 total EPA on Receiving plays. across 6 snaps. Their top snap (+2.25 EPA): (9:12) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 86-D.Kincaid to NE 47 for 20 yards (21-J.Hawkins)..

Quick answer

Winner: New England Patriots
Final score: New England Patriots 23–20 Buffalo Bills
Halftime: New England Patriots 6–3 Buffalo Bills at halftime
FantasyHQ MVP: Dalton Kincaid
Top passer: Jonathan Allen
Biggest EPA play: (8:25) 17-J.Allen FUMBLES (Aborted) at 50, RECOVERED by NE-92-J.Farmer at BUF 47.
Game date: 2025-10-05

Game summary

The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 23–20 on 2025-10-05. Dalton Kincaid posted a game-high +10.17 total EPA in the receiving.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 23 combined points.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	—	T
New England Patriots	3	3	7	13	0	23
Buffalo Bills	0	3	7	10	0	20

Scoring Map

Each pin marks where a score occurred on the field — yard line from play-by-play.

NENew England Patriots

NE 6

NE 2

+3NE 27

+3BUF 34

+3NE 35

BUFBuffalo Bills

FantasyHQ Analytics

Scoring timeline

14 scores

Chronological scoring plays — scroll to follow the game.

NENew England Patriots
Q1 0:59FG
Andy Borregales
Points+3
Yard line
BUF 12
Score
3-0
(:59) 36-A.Borregales 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q2 9:37FG
Matt Prater
Points+3
Yard line
NE 13
Score
3-3
(9:37) 15-M.Prater 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
NENew England Patriots
Q2 0:01FG
Andy Borregales
Points+3
Yard line
BUF 1
Score
6-3
(:01) 36-A.Borregales 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q3 9:24TD
Curtis Samuel
Points+6
Yard line
NE 6
Score
6-9
(9:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 1-C.Samuel for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q3 9:21XP
Matt Prater
Points+1
Yard line
NE 15
Score
6-10
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
NENew England Patriots
Q3 6:38TD
Rhamondre Stevenson
Points+6
Yard line
BUF 4
Score
12-10
(6:38) 38-R.Stevenson left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-97-J.Bosa, Defensive Offside, declined.
NENew England Patriots
Q3 6:34XP
Andy Borregales
Points+1
Yard line
BUF 15
Score
13-10
36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
NENew England Patriots
Q4 12:14TD
Rhamondre Stevenson
Points+6
Yard line
BUF 7
Score
19-10
(12:14) 38-R.Stevenson left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
NENew England Patriots
Q4 12:10XP
Andy Borregales
Points+1
Yard line
BUF 15
Score
20-10
36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 7:40TD
Keon Coleman
Points+6
Yard line
NE 2
Score
20-16
(7:40) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 0-K.Coleman for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 7:37XP
Matt Prater
Points+1
Yard line
NE 15
Score
20-17
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
BUFBuffalo Bills
Q4 2:21FG
Matt Prater
Points+3
Yard line
NE 27
Score
20-20
(2:21) 15-M.Prater 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
NENew England Patriots
Q4 0:20FG
Andy Borregales
Points+3
Yard line
BUF 34
Score
23-20
(:20) 36-A.Borregales 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
NENew England Patriots
Q4 0:15FG
Andy Borregales
Points+3
Yard line
NE 35
Score
23-20
36-A.Borregales kicks 63 yards from NE 35 to BUF 2. 1-C.Samuel to BUF 28 for 26 yards (23-K.Dugger). PENALTY on BUF-44-J.Andreessen, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 28.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).

1Dalton Kincaid · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +10.17 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.69 EPA/play
2Stefon Diggs · New England Patriots · Receiving · +10.05 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.84 EPA/play
3Jonathan Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +9.11 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
4Drake Maye · New England Patriots · Passing · +6.94 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
5Kayshon Boutte · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.65 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.55 EPA/play
6Curtis Samuel · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.92 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play
7Josh Palmer · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.81 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
8Hunter Henry · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.48 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Dalton Kincaid — BUF · Receiving

Dalton Kincaid posted the highest total EPA (+10.17) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Buffalo Bills. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +1.69 EPA per play.

Dalton Kincaid's top snap (+2.25 EPA): (9:12) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 86-D.Kincaid to NE 47 for 20 yards (21-J.Hawkins).

Biggest single play (-5.99 EPA): Jonathan Allen — (8:25) 17-J.Allen FUMBLES (Aborted) at 50, RECOVERED by NE-92-J.Farmer at BUF 47.

Quarterback report card

Jonathan Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 43 dropbacks · 51.2% completion · +5.9% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +9.11 total EPA
Drake Maye (New England Patriots) · 40 dropbacks · 55.0% completion · +13.8% CPOE · +0.17 EPA/play · +6.94 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.

Stat	New England Patriots	Buffalo Bills
Offensive EPA/play	+0.069	+0.020
Offensive success rate	51.9%	51.2%
Pass EPA/play	+0.173	+0.212
Rush EPA/play	-0.151	-0.358
Defensive EPA/play	-0.020	-0.069
Defensive success rate	48.8%	48.1%

Drive & efficiency notes

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (New England Patriots +0.07, Buffalo Bills +0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):

New England Patriots: +0.07 EPA/play (62nd percentile vs. 2025 team-game averages)
Buffalo Bills: +0.02 EPA/play (51st percentile vs. 2025 team-game averages)

Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +1.61 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
New England Patriots: 10 drives, +5.30 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

Buffalo Bills — Curtis Samuel (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q3 9:24)
New England Patriots — Rhamondre Stevenson (Q3 6:38)
New England Patriots — Rhamondre Stevenson (Q4 12:14)
Buffalo Bills — Keon Coleman (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q4 7:40)

Field goals

New England Patriots — Andy Borregales (Q1 0:59)
Buffalo Bills — Matt Prater (Q2 9:37)
New England Patriots — Andy Borregales (Q2 0:01)
Buffalo Bills — Matt Prater (Q4 2:21)
New England Patriots — Andy Borregales (Q4 0:20)
New England Patriots — Andy Borregales (Q4 0:15)

Quarter by quarter

Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 3–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 12 (Q1 0:59) — (:59) 36-A.Borregales 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NE 13 (Q2 9:37) — (9:37) 15-M.Prater 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 1 (Q2 0:01) — (:01) 36-A.Borregales 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 6 (Q3 9:24) — (9:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 1-C.Samuel for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q3 9:21) — 15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the BUF 4 (Q3 6:38) — (6:38) 38-R.Stevenson left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-97-J.Bosa, Defensive Offside, declined.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q3 6:34) — 36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 13–10. New England Patriots found the end zone from the BUF 7 (Q4 12:14) — (12:14) 38-R.Stevenson left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 12:10) — 36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 2 (Q4 7:40) — (7:40) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 0-K.Coleman for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q4 7:37) — 15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NE 27 (Q4 2:21) — (2:21) 15-M.Prater 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 34 (Q4 0:20) — (:20) 36-A.Borregales 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NE 35 (Q4 0:15).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most.

New England Patriots (Q4 0:20) — (:20) 36-A.Borregales 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer. [WPA +29.2% · EPA +1.31]
Buffalo Bills (Q3 2:58) — (2:58) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 10-K.Shakir INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones at NE 10. 25-M.Jones to NE 10 for no gain (10-K.Shakir). [WPA -17.1% · EPA -3.72]
Buffalo Bills (Q1 1:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 0-K.Coleman to BUF 10 for 3 yards (14-R.Spillane). FUMBLES (14-R.Spillane), touched at BUF 9, RECOVERED by NE-21-J.Hawkins at BUF 11. [WPA -15.9% · EPA -4.59]
New England Patriots (Q4 1:25) — (1:25) (Shotgun) 10-D.Maye pass deep right to 9-K.Boutte to BUF 39 for 19 yards (24-C.Bishop) [50-G.Rousseau]. [WPA +14.0% · EPA +1.60]
Buffalo Bills (Q1 8:25) — (8:25) 17-J.Allen FUMBLES (Aborted) at 50, RECOVERED by NE-92-J.Farmer at BUF 47. [WPA -13.2% · EPA -5.99]

Impact plays

Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.

Buffalo Bills (Q1 8:25) — (8:25) 17-J.Allen FUMBLES (Aborted) at 50, RECOVERED by NE-92-J.Farmer at BUF 47. [WPA -13.2% · EPA -5.99]
New England Patriots (Q1 8:21) — (8:21) 10-D.Maye pass short middle to 38-R.Stevenson to BUF 40 for 7 yards (45-S.Thompson; 58-M.Milano). FUMBLES (45-S.Thompson), RECOVERED by BUF-8-T.Bernard at BUF 38. [WPA -12.1% · EPA -5.02]
Buffalo Bills (Q1 1:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 0-K.Coleman to BUF 10 for 3 yards (14-R.Spillane). FUMBLES (14-R.Spillane), touched at BUF 9, RECOVERED by NE-21-J.Hawkins at BUF 11. [WPA -15.9% · EPA -4.59]
Buffalo Bills (Q3 2:58) — (2:58) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 10-K.Shakir INTERCEPTED by 25-M.Jones at NE 10. 25-M.Jones to NE 10 for no gain (10-K.Shakir). [WPA -17.1% · EPA -3.72]

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.

New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 0:59 · BUF 12 · Score 3-0
(:59) 36-A.Borregales 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 9:37 · NE 13 · Score 3-3
(9:37) 15-M.Prater 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 0:01 · BUF 1 · Score 6-3
(:01) 36-A.Borregales 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 9:24 · NE 6 · Score 6-9
(9:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 1-C.Samuel for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 9:21 · NE 15 · Score 6-10
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 6:38 · BUF 4 · Score 12-10
(6:38) 38-R.Stevenson left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-97-J.Bosa, Defensive Offside, declined.
New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 6:34 · BUF 15 · Score 13-10
36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 12:14 · BUF 7 · Score 19-10
(12:14) 38-R.Stevenson left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 12:10 · BUF 15 · Score 20-10
36-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 7:40 · NE 2 · Score 20-16
(7:40) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 0-K.Coleman for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 7:37 · NE 15 · Score 20-17
15-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 2:21 · NE 27 · Score 20-20
(2:21) 15-M.Prater 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 0:20 · BUF 34 · Score 23-20
(:20) 36-A.Borregales 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 0:15 · NE 35 · Score 23-20
36-A.Borregales kicks 63 yards from NE 35 to BUF 2. 1-C.Samuel to BUF 28 for 26 yards (23-K.Dugger). PENALTY on BUF-44-J.Andreessen, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 28.

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.

New England Patriots earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
One-score margin — verify garbage-time stats before drawing fantasy conclusions.
Dalton Kincaid (Buffalo Bills) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
Jonathan Allen (BUF) finished above expected through the air (positive CPOE).

Frequently asked questions

Who won New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills on 2025-10-05?

The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 23-20 in Week 5, 2025.

What was the score by quarter in New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

Q1: New England Patriots 3, Buffalo Bills 0; Q2: New England Patriots 3, Buffalo Bills 3; Q3: New England Patriots 7, Buffalo Bills 7; Q4: New England Patriots 13, Buffalo Bills 10; Final: New England Patriots 23, Buffalo Bills 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — C. Samuel (J. Allen pass) (Q3 9:24) New England Patriots touchdown — R. Stevenson (Q3 6:38) New England Patriots touchdown — R. Stevenson (Q4 12:14) Buffalo Bills touchdown — K. Coleman (J. Allen pass) (Q4 7:40) New England Patriots field goal — A. Borregales (Q1 0:59, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — M. Prater (Q2 9:37, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — A. Borregales (Q2 0:01, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — M. Prater (Q4 2:21, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — A. Borregales (Q4 0:20, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — A. Borregales (Q4 0:15, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills), 51.2% completion, +5.9% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +9.11 total passing EPA. Drake Maye (New England Patriots), 55.0% completion, +13.8% CPOE, +0.17 EPA per dropback, +6.94 total passing EPA.

Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

Dalton Kincaid (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +10.17 total EPA on Receiving plays. across 6 snaps. Their top snap (+2.25 EPA): (9:12) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 86-D.Kincaid to NE 47 for 20 yards (21-J.Hawkins)..

Was New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. New England Patriots won 23-20 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

New England Patriots

Entered 2-2 Now 3-2 W

Buffalo Bills

Entered 4-0 Now 4-1 L

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills: 2025 Week 5 Recap

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

Top fantasy performers · Bills

Quick answer

Game summary