FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 28, 2020 · 12 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots: 2020 Week 16 Recap

Bills defeat Patriots 38–9 in Week 16

Jonathan Allen led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 38–9 Week 16 finish.

Buffalo Bills 38 12–3 Winner
Final 38–9
New England Patriots 9 6–9
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
38–9
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 24–9 New England Patriots
Top passer
Jonathan Allen
FantasyHQ MVP
Jonathan Allen
Game date
December 28, 2020

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Jonathan Allen
    Jonathan Allen 27/39 · 331 YDS · 4 TD +21.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Stefon Diggs
    Stefon Diggs 9 REC · 145 YDS · 3 TD +11.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Dawson Knox
    Dawson Knox 3 REC · 51 YDS +5.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • Jordan White
    Jordan White 3 REC · 23 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Sony Michel
    Sony Michel 10 CAR · 69 YDS +1.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Jakobi Meyers
    Jakobi Meyers 4 REC · 45 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact

Quick answer

Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
Buffalo Bills 38–9 New England Patriots
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 24–9 New England Patriots at halftime
FantasyHQ MVP
Jonathan Allen
Top passer
Jonathan Allen
Biggest EPA play
(4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Game date
2020-12-28

Game summary

The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots 38–9 on 2020-12-28. Jonathan Allen posted a game-high +21.04 total EPA in the passing.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 27 combined points.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Buffalo Bills32177038
New England Patriots360009

Scoring Map

Each pin marks where a score occurred on the field — yard line from play-by-play.

BUFBuffalo Bills
NENew England Patriots

FantasyHQ Analytics

Scoring timeline

13 scores

Chronological scoring plays — scroll to follow the game.

  1. NENew England Patriots
    Q1 12:49FG
    Nick Folk

    Points+3

    Yard line
    BUF 27
    Score
    0-3

    (12:49) 6-N.Folk 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.

  2. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q1 6:46FG
    Tyler Bass

    Points+3

    Yard line
    NE 4
    Score
    3-3

    (6:46) 2-T.Bass 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

  3. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 14:56TD
    Zack Moss

    Points+6

    Yard line
    NE 5
    Score
    9-3

    (14:56) (Shotgun) 20-Z.Moss up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  4. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 14:50XP
    Tyler Bass

    Points+1

    Yard line
    NE 15
    Score
    10-3

    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

  5. NENew England Patriots
    Q2 10:50TD
    CNC. Newton

    Points+6

    Yard line
    BUF 9
    Score
    10-9

    (10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-1 Newton 12th rush TD of season, ties franchise record for rush TD by a QB in a season (Grogan, 1976). NE-1 Newton 70th career rush TD, extends NFL record for rush TD by a QB (Young 54).

  6. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 5:37TD
    Lecitus Smith

    Points+6

    Yard line
    NE 4
    Score
    16-9

    (5:37) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 85-L.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  7. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 5:32XP
    Tyler Bass

    Points+1

    Yard line
    NE 15
    Score
    17-9

    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

  8. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 4:05TD
    Stefon Diggs

    Points+6

    Yard line
    NE 50
    Score
    23-9

    (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  9. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 3:55XP
    Tyler Bass

    Points+1

    Yard line
    NE 15
    Score
    24-9

    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

  10. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q3 11:35TD
    Stefon Diggs

    Points+6

    Yard line
    NE 18
    Score
    30-9

    (11:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 14-S.Diggs for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  11. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q3 11:28XP
    Tyler Bass

    Points+1

    Yard line
    NE 15
    Score
    31-9

    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

  12. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q4 13:24TD
    Stefon Diggs

    Points+6

    Yard line
    NE 8
    Score
    37-9

    (13:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  13. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q4 13:16XP
    Tyler Bass

    Points+1

    Yard line
    NE 15
    Score
    38-9

    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).

  1. 1Jonathan AllenJonathan Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +21.04 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
  2. 2Stefon DiggsStefon Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +11.44 total EPA · 11 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play
  3. 3Dawson KnoxDawson Knox · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.15 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.29 EPA/play
  4. 4Jonathan AllenJonathan Allen · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +3.57 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play
  5. 5Josh JohnsonJosh Johnson · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +3.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.12 EPA/play
  6. 6Siran NealSiran Neal · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.12 EPA/play
  7. 7Lecitus SmithLecitus Smith · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.99 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
  8. 8Zack MossZack Moss · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.62 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

Jonathan Allen

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Jonathan Allen — BUF · Passing

Jonathan Allen posted the highest total EPA (+21.04) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Buffalo Bills. Across 39 counted snaps, they averaged +0.54 EPA per play.

Jonathan Allen's top snap (+4.71 EPA): (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Quarterback report card

Jonathan Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • Jonathan AllenJonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 39 dropbacks · 69.2% completion · +17.2% CPOE · +0.54 EPA/play · +21.04 total EPA
  • C. Newton (New England Patriots) · 15 dropbacks · 33.3% completion · -18.2% CPOE · -0.19 EPA/play · -2.80 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.

StatBuffalo BillsNew England Patriots
Offensive EPA/play+0.360-0.052
Offensive success rate52.9%34.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.563-0.157
Rush EPA/play+0.137+0.004
Defensive EPA/play+0.052-0.360
Defensive success rate65.2%47.1%

Drive & efficiency notes

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.36 vs -0.05), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):

  • Buffalo Bills: +0.36 EPA/play (99th percentile vs. 2020 team-game averages)
  • New England Patriots: -0.05 EPA/play (30th percentile vs. 2020 team-game averages)
  • Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +31.34 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • New England Patriots: 9 drives, -3.44 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Zack MossBuffalo Bills — Zack Moss (Q2 14:56)
  • New England Patriots — C. Newton (Q2 10:50)
  • Lecitus SmithBuffalo Bills — Lecitus Smith (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q2 5:37)
  • Stefon DiggsBuffalo Bills — Stefon Diggs (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q2 4:05)
  • Stefon DiggsBuffalo Bills — Stefon Diggs (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q3 11:35)
  • Stefon DiggsBuffalo Bills — Stefon Diggs (Jonathan Allen pass) (Q4 13:24)

Field goals

  • Nick FolkNew England Patriots — Nick Folk (Q1 12:49)
  • Tyler BassBuffalo Bills — Tyler Bass (Q1 6:46)
Quarter by quarter

Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 27 (Q1 12:49) — (12:49) 6-N.Folk 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NE 4 (Q1 6:46) — (6:46) 2-T.Bass 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 21–6. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 5 (Q2 14:56) — (14:56) (Shotgun) 20-Z.Moss up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 14:50) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the BUF 9 (Q2 10:50); Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 4 (Q2 5:37) — (5:37) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 85-L.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 5:32) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 50 (Q2 4:05) — (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 3:55) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 18 (Q3 11:35) — (11:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 14-S.Diggs for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q3 11:28) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 8 (Q4 13:24) — (13:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q4 13:16) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 0:51) — (:51) 17-J.Allen right end pushed ob at NE 21 for 22 yards (30-J.McCourty). Penalty on NE-70-A.Butler, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +13.1% · EPA +3.82]
  • New England Patriots (Q2 10:50) — (10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-1 Newton 12th rush TD of season, ties franchise record for rush TD by a QB in a season (Grogan, 1976). NE-1 New [WPA +8.4% · EPA +2.26]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 3:55) — (3:55) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 46-J.Johnson. 46-J.Johnson pass short right to 33-S.Neal to BUF 48 for 13 yards (31-J.Jones). [WPA +8.3% · EPA +3.12]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 8:32) — (8:32) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to NE 31 for 12 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +7.6% · EPA +3.03]
  • New England Patriots (Q2 10:39) — 6-N.Folk extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey. [WPA -7.6% · EPA -0.93]
Impact plays

Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 4:05) — (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +4.3% · EPA +4.71]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 0:51) — (:51) 17-J.Allen right end pushed ob at NE 21 for 22 yards (30-J.McCourty). Penalty on NE-70-A.Butler, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +13.1% · EPA +3.82]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 3:55) — (3:55) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 46-J.Johnson. 46-J.Johnson pass short right to 33-S.Neal to BUF 48 for 13 yards (31-J.Jones). [WPA +8.3% · EPA +3.12]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 8:32) — (8:32) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to NE 31 for 12 yards (32-D.McCourty). [WPA +7.6% · EPA +3.03]
Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.

  1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 12:49 · BUF 27 · Score 0-3
    (12:49) 6-N.Folk 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
  2. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 6:46 · NE 4 · Score 3-3
    (6:46) 2-T.Bass 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
  3. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 14:56 · NE 5 · Score 9-3
    (14:56) (Shotgun) 20-Z.Moss up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 14:50 · NE 15 · Score 10-3
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
  5. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 10:50 · BUF 9 · Score 10-9
    (10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-1 Newton 12th rush TD of season, ties franchise record for rush TD by a QB in a season (Grogan, 1976). NE-1 New
  6. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 5:37 · NE 4 · Score 16-9
    (5:37) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 85-L.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 5:32 · NE 15 · Score 17-9
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
  8. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 4:05 · NE 50 · Score 23-9
    (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 3:55 · NE 15 · Score 24-9
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
  10. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 11:35 · NE 18 · Score 30-9
    (11:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 14-S.Diggs for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 11:28 · NE 15 · Score 31-9
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
  12. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 13:24 · NE 8 · Score 37-9
    (13:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 13:16 · NE 15 · Score 38-9
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
  • Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
  • Jonathan Allen (BUF) finished above expected through the air (positive CPOE).
  • C. Newton (NE) finished below expected efficiency despite volume.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots on 2020-12-28?

The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots 38-9 in Week 16, 2020.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 3, New England Patriots 3; Q2: Buffalo Bills 21, New England Patriots 6; Q3: Buffalo Bills 7, New England Patriots 0; Q4: Buffalo Bills 7, New England Patriots 0; Final: Buffalo Bills 38, New England Patriots 9.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — Z. Moss (Q2 14:56) New England Patriots touchdown — C. Newton (Q2 10:50) Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. Smith (J. Allen pass) (Q2 5:37) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q2 4:05) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q3 11:35) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q4 13:24) New England Patriots field goal — N. Folk (Q1 12:49, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q1 6:46, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills), 69.2% completion, +17.2% CPOE, +0.54 EPA per dropback, +21.04 total passing EPA. C. Newton (New England Patriots), 33.3% completion, -18.2% CPOE, -0.19 EPA per dropback, -2.80 total passing EPA.

Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +21.04 total EPA on Passing plays. across 39 snaps. Their top snap (+4.71 EPA): (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 11-3 Now 12-3 W

New England Patriots

Entered 6-8 Now 6-9 L