Quick answer
- Winner
- Buffalo Bills
- Final score
- Buffalo Bills 38–9 New England Patriots
- Halftime
- Buffalo Bills 24–9 New England Patriots at halftime
- FantasyHQ MVP
- Jonathan Allen
- Top passer
- Jonathan Allen
- Biggest EPA play
- (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Game date
- 2020-12-28
Game summary
The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots 38–9 on 2020-12-28. Jonathan Allen posted a game-high +21.04 total EPA in the passing.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 27 combined points.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 38 | |
| 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).
- 1

Jonathan Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +21.04 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play - 2

Stefon Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +11.44 total EPA · 11 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play - 3

Dawson Knox · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.15 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.29 EPA/play - 4

Jonathan Allen · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +3.57 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.19 EPA/play - 5

Josh Johnson · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +3.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.12 EPA/play - 6

Siran Neal · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.12 EPA/play - 7

Lecitus Smith · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.99 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play - 8

Zack Moss · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.62 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
FantasyHQ Game MVP
Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

FantasyHQ Game MVP
Jonathan Allen — BUF · Passing
Jonathan Allen posted the highest total EPA (+21.04) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Buffalo Bills. Across 39 counted snaps, they averaged +0.54 EPA per play.
Jonathan Allen's top snap (+4.71 EPA): (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
Jonathan Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 39 dropbacks · 69.2% completion · +17.2% CPOE · +0.54 EPA/play · +21.04 total EPA
C. Newton (New England Patriots) · 15 dropbacks · 33.3% completion · -18.2% CPOE · -0.19 EPA/play · -2.80 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.360 | -0.052 |
| Offensive success rate | 52.9% | 34.8% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.563 | -0.157 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.137 | +0.004 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.052 | -0.360 |
| Defensive success rate | 65.2% | 47.1% |
Drive & efficiency notes
Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.36 vs -0.05), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):
- Buffalo Bills: +0.36 EPA/play (99th percentile vs. 2020 team-game averages)
- New England Patriots: -0.05 EPA/play (30th percentile vs. 2020 team-game averages)
- Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +31.34 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
- New England Patriots: 9 drives, -3.44 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.
Touchdowns

Buffalo Bills — Zack Moss
New England Patriots — C. Newton 
Buffalo Bills — Lecitus Smith (Jonathan Allen pass) 
Buffalo Bills — Stefon Diggs (Jonathan Allen pass) 
Buffalo Bills — Stefon Diggs (Jonathan Allen pass) 
Buffalo Bills — Stefon Diggs (Jonathan Allen pass)
Field goals

New England Patriots — Nick Folk 
Buffalo Bills — Tyler Bass
Quarter by quarter
Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.
The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 27 (Q1 12:49) — (12:49) 6-N.Folk 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NE 4 (Q1 6:46) — (6:46) 2-T.Bass 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..
The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 21–6. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 5 (Q2 14:56) — (14:56) (Shotgun) 20-Z.Moss up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 14:50) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the BUF 9 (Q2 10:50); Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 4 (Q2 5:37) — (5:37) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 85-L.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 5:32) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 50 (Q2 4:05) — (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q2 3:55) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..
The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 18 (Q3 11:35) — (11:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 14-S.Diggs for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q3 11:28) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..
The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 8 (Q4 13:24) — (13:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q4 13:16) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most.
- Buffalo Bills (Q1 0:51) — (:51) 17-J.Allen right end pushed ob at NE 21 for 22 yards (30-J.McCourty). Penalty on NE-70-A.Butler, Defensive Offside, declined.
- New England Patriots (Q2 10:50) — (10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-1 Newton 12th rush TD of season, ties franchise record for rush TD by a QB in a season (Grogan, 1976). NE-1 New
- Buffalo Bills (Q1 3:55) — (3:55) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 46-J.Johnson. 46-J.Johnson pass short right to 33-S.Neal to BUF 48 for 13 yards (31-J.Jones).
- Buffalo Bills (Q2 8:32) — (8:32) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to NE 31 for 12 yards (32-D.McCourty).
- New England Patriots (Q2 10:39) — 6-N.Folk extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
Impact plays
Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.
- Buffalo Bills (Q2 4:05) — (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Buffalo Bills (Q1 0:51) — (:51) 17-J.Allen right end pushed ob at NE 21 for 22 yards (30-J.McCourty). Penalty on NE-70-A.Butler, Defensive Offside, declined.
- Buffalo Bills (Q1 3:55) — (3:55) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 46-J.Johnson. 46-J.Johnson pass short right to 33-S.Neal to BUF 48 for 13 yards (31-J.Jones).
- Buffalo Bills (Q2 8:32) — (8:32) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to NE 31 for 12 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.
New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 12:49 · BUF 27 · Score 0-3
(12:49) 6-N.Folk 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.
Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 6:46 · NE 4 · Score 3-3
(6:46) 2-T.Bass 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 14:56 · NE 5 · Score 9-3
(14:56) (Shotgun) 20-Z.Moss up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 14:50 · NE 15 · Score 10-3
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 10:50 · BUF 9 · Score 10-9
(10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles left tackle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-1 Newton 12th rush TD of season, ties franchise record for rush TD by a QB in a season (Grogan, 1976). NE-1 New
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 5:37 · NE 4 · Score 16-9
(5:37) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 85-L.Smith for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 5:32 · NE 15 · Score 17-9
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 4:05 · NE 50 · Score 23-9
(4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 3:55 · NE 15 · Score 24-9
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 11:35 · NE 18 · Score 30-9
(11:35) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 14-S.Diggs for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 11:28 · NE 15 · Score 31-9
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 13:24 · NE 8 · Score 37-9
(13:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 13:16 · NE 15 · Score 38-9
2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.
- Buffalo Bills earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
- Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
- Jonathan Allen (BUF) finished above expected through the air (positive CPOE).
- C. Newton (NE) finished below expected efficiency despite volume.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots on 2020-12-28?
The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots 38-9 in Week 16, 2020.
What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
Q1: Buffalo Bills 3, New England Patriots 3; Q2: Buffalo Bills 21, New England Patriots 6; Q3: Buffalo Bills 7, New England Patriots 0; Q4: Buffalo Bills 7, New England Patriots 0; Final: Buffalo Bills 38, New England Patriots 9.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
Buffalo Bills touchdown — Z. Moss (Q2 14:56) New England Patriots touchdown — C. Newton (Q2 10:50) Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. Smith (J. Allen pass) (Q2 5:37) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q2 4:05) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q3 11:35) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q4 13:24) New England Patriots field goal — N. Folk (Q1 12:49, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q1 6:46, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills), 69.2% completion, +17.2% CPOE, +0.54 EPA per dropback, +21.04 total passing EPA. C. Newton (New England Patriots), 33.3% completion, -18.2% CPOE, -0.19 EPA per dropback, -2.80 total passing EPA.
Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
Jonathan Allen (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +21.04 total EPA on Passing plays. across 39 snaps. Their top snap (+4.71 EPA): (4:05) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 14-S.Diggs for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN..
Season records after this game
Buffalo Bills
Entered 11-3 Now 12-3 W
New England Patriots
Entered 6-8 Now 6-9 L