FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 3, 2016 · 12 min read

Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2015 Week 17 Recap

49ers defeat Rams 19–16 in Week 17

Case Keenum led Fantasy Impact as 49ers prevailed in a 16–19 Week 17 finish.

Los Angeles Rams 16 7–9
Final 16–19
San Francisco 49ers 19 5–11 Winner
Winner
San Francisco 49ers
Final score
16–19
Halftime
Los Angeles Rams 16–10 San Francisco 49ers
Top passer
Blaine Gabbert
FantasyHQ MVP
Case Keenum
Game date
January 3, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • Case Keenum
    Case Keenum 22/38 · 231 YDS +6.8 Fantasy Impact
  • K.J. Britt
    K.J. Britt 3 REC · 81 YDS +4.8 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Cunningham 3 REC · 34 YDS +2.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · 49ers

  • Demone Harris
    Demone Harris 8 REC · 86 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Ellington 1 REC · 44 YDS +3.2 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Boldin 5 REC · 71 YDS · 1 TD +2.3 Fantasy Impact

Quick answer

Winner
San Francisco 49ers
Final score
San Francisco 49ers 19–16 LA
Halftime
LA 16–10 San Francisco 49ers at halftime
FantasyHQ MVP
Case Keenum
Top passer
Blaine Gabbert
Biggest EPA play
(2:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 22-M.Davis INTERCEPTED by 97-E.S…
Game date
2016-01-03

Game summary

The San Francisco 49ers beat the LA 19–16 on 2016-01-03, overcoming LA's 16–10 halftime lead. Case Keenum posted a game-high +6.82 total EPA in the passing.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 23 combined points.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
LA31300016
San Francisco 49ers01033319

Scoring Map

Each pin marks where a score occurred on the field — yard line from play-by-play.

LALA
SFSan Francisco 49ers

FantasyHQ Analytics

Scoring timeline

11 scores

Chronological scoring plays — scroll to follow the game.

  1. LALA
    Q1 8:16FG
    Greg Zuerlein

    Points+3

    Yard line
    SF 15
    Score
    3-0

    (8:16) 4-G.Zuerlein 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.

  2. SFSan Francisco 49ers
    Q2 15:00TD
    ABA. Boldin

    Points+6

    Yard line
    LA 33
    Score
    3-6

    (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass deep left to 81-A.Boldin for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LA 15. 15-yds YAC

  3. SFSan Francisco 49ers
    Q2 14:52XP
    PDP. Dawson

    Points+1

    Yard line
    LA 15
    Score
    3-7

    9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.

  4. SFSan Francisco 49ers
    Q2 9:08FG
    PDP. Dawson

    Points+3

    Yard line
    LA 8
    Score
    3-10

    (9:08) 9-P.Dawson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.

  5. LALA
    Q2 2:48FG
    Greg Zuerlein

    Points+3

    Yard line
    SF 14
    Score
    6-10

    (2:48) 4-G.Zuerlein 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.

  6. LALA
    Q2 1:37TD
    TMT. Mason

    Points+6

    Yard line
    SF 4
    Score
    12-10

    (1:37) 27-T.Mason right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  7. LALA
    Q2 1:31XP
    Greg Zuerlein

    Points+1

    Yard line
    SF 15
    Score
    13-10

    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.

  8. LALA
    Q2 0:09FG
    Greg Zuerlein

    Points+3

    Yard line
    SF 26
    Score
    16-10

    (:09) 4-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.

  9. SFSan Francisco 49ers
    Q3 9:41FG
    PDP. Dawson

    Points+3

    Yard line
    LA 10
    Score
    16-13

    (9:41) 9-P.Dawson 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.

  10. SFSan Francisco 49ers
    Q4 4:33FG
    PDP. Dawson

    Points+3

    Yard line
    LA 20
    Score
    16-16

    (4:33) 9-P.Dawson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.

  11. SFSan Francisco 49ers
    OT 3:31FG
    PDP. Dawson

    Points+3

    Yard line
    LA 5
    Score
    16-19

    (3:31) 9-P.Dawson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).

  1. 1Case KeenumCase Keenum · LA · Passing · +6.82 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  2. 2K.J. BrittK.J. Britt · LA · Receiving · +4.80 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
  3. 3Demone HarrisDemone Harris · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.12 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  4. 4B. Ellington · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.23 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.23 EPA/play
  5. 5B. Cunningham · LA · Receiving · +2.57 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
  6. 6A. Boldin · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.27 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  7. 7L. Kendricks · LA · Receiving · +2.14 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
  8. 8V. McDonald · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.64 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

Case Keenum

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Case Keenum — LA · Passing

Case Keenum posted the highest total EPA (+6.82) in the game, the strongest overall impact for LA. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.18 EPA per play.

Case Keenum's top snap (+3.88 EPA): (10:26) 17-C.Keenum pass deep right to 18-K.Britt to SF 33 for 54 yards (26-T.Brock). Caught at SF 39. 6-yds YAC

Biggest single play (-8.67 EPA): Blaine Gabbert — (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 22-M.Davis INTERCEPTED by 97-E.Sims (99-A.Donald) at SF 45. 97-E.Sims to SF 3 for 42 yards (22-M.Davis).

Quarterback report card

Blaine Gabbert led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • Blaine GabbertBlaine Gabbert (San Francisco 49ers) · 48 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · -1.9% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.68 total EPA
  • Case KeenumCase Keenum (LA) · 38 dropbacks · 57.9% completion · -4.1% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +6.82 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.

StatLASan Francisco 49ers
Offensive EPA/play-0.080-0.064
Offensive success rate44.0%35.9%
Pass EPA/play+0.091+0.014
Rush EPA/play-0.106-0.261
Defensive EPA/play+0.064+0.080
Defensive success rate64.1%56.0%

Drive & efficiency notes

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (LA -0.08, San Francisco 49ers -0.06) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):

  • LA: -0.08 EPA/play (32nd percentile vs. 2015 team-game averages)
  • San Francisco 49ers: -0.06 EPA/play (37th percentile vs. 2015 team-game averages)
  • LA: 12 drives, -7.31 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • San Francisco 49ers: 14 drives, -6.58 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • San Francisco 49ers — A. Boldin (Blaine Gabbert pass) (Q2 15:00)
  • LA — T. Mason (Q2 1:37)

Field goals

  • Greg ZuerleinLA — Greg Zuerlein (Q1 8:16)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 9:08)
  • Greg ZuerleinLA — Greg Zuerlein (Q2 2:48)
  • Greg ZuerleinLA — Greg Zuerlein (Q2 0:09)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q3 9:41)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q4 4:33)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (OT 3:31)
Quarter by quarter

Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.

The opening quarter: LA won the period 3–0. LA connected on a field goal from the SF 15 (Q1 8:16) — (8:16) 4-G.Zuerlein 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The second quarter: LA won the period 13–10. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the LA 33 (Q2 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass deep left to 81-A.Boldin for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LA 15. 15-yds YAC; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q2 14:52) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LA 8 (Q2 9:08) — (9:08) 9-P.Dawson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; LA connected on a field goal from the SF 14 (Q2 2:48) — (2:48) 4-G.Zuerlein 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; LA found the end zone from the SF 4 (Q2 1:37) — (1:37) 27-T.Mason right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; LA added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 1:31) — 4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; LA connected on a field goal from the SF 26 (Q2 0:09) — (:09) 4-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LA 10 (Q3 9:41) — (9:41) 9-P.Dawson 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LA 20 (Q4 4:33) — (4:33) 9-P.Dawson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

Overtime: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LA 5 (OT 3:31) — (3:31) 9-P.Dawson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most.

  • San Francisco 49ers (OT 4:14) — (4:14) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short right to 11-Q.Patton to LA 5 for 33 yards (97-E.Sims). Caught at LA 40. 35-yds YAC [WPA +32.6% · EPA +0.09]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q2 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 22-M.Davis INTERCEPTED by 97-E.Sims (99-A.Donald) at SF 45. 97-E.Sims to SF 3 for 42 yards (22-M.Davis). [WPA -27.4% · EPA -8.67]
  • San Francisco 49ers (OT 13:58) — (13:58) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left to 89-V.McDonald to 50 for 24 yards (23-R.McLeod). Caught at SF 26. 24-yds YAC [WPA +24.9% · EPA +2.53]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q4 4:43) — (4:43) 2-B.Gabbert FUMBLES (Aborted) at LA 8, recovered by SF-32-D.Harris at LA 20. 32-D.Harris to LA 20 for no gain (97-E.Sims). Penalty on LA-21-J.Jenkins, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting. Penalty [WPA -20.0% · EPA -2.52]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q4 1:39) — (1:39) 5-B.Pinion punts 37 yards to end zone, Center-86-K.Nelson, Touchback. [WPA -19.0% · EPA -1.86]
Impact plays

Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.

  • San Francisco 49ers (Q2 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 22-M.Davis INTERCEPTED by 97-E.Sims (99-A.Donald) at SF 45. 97-E.Sims to SF 3 for 42 yards (22-M.Davis). [WPA -27.4% · EPA -8.67]
  • LA (Q1 10:26) — (10:26) 17-C.Keenum pass deep right to 18-K.Britt to SF 33 for 54 yards (26-T.Brock). Caught at SF 39. 6-yds YAC [WPA +11.4% · EPA +3.88]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q2 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass deep left to 81-A.Boldin for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LA 15. 15-yds YAC [WPA +10.8% · EPA +3.77]
  • LA (Q3 1:18) — (1:18) 4-G.Zuerlein 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker. [WPA -7.2% · EPA -3.55]
Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.

  1. LA FG (+3) — Q1 8:16 · SF 15 · Score 3-0
    (8:16) 4-G.Zuerlein 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  2. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 15:00 · LA 33 · Score 3-6
    (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-B.Gabbert pass deep left to 81-A.Boldin for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at LA 15. 15-yds YAC
  3. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 14:52 · LA 15 · Score 3-7
    9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
  4. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 9:08 · LA 8 · Score 3-10
    (9:08) 9-P.Dawson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
  5. LA FG (+3) — Q2 2:48 · SF 14 · Score 6-10
    (2:48) 4-G.Zuerlein 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  6. LA TD (+6) — Q2 1:37 · SF 4 · Score 12-10
    (1:37) 27-T.Mason right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. LA XP (+1) — Q2 1:31 · SF 15 · Score 13-10
    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  8. LA FG (+3) — Q2 0:09 · SF 26 · Score 16-10
    (:09) 4-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  9. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 9:41 · LA 10 · Score 16-13
    (9:41) 9-P.Dawson 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
  10. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 4:33 · LA 20 · Score 16-16
    (4:33) 9-P.Dawson 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
  11. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — OT 3:31 · LA 5 · Score 16-19
    (3:31) 9-P.Dawson 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.

  • San Francisco 49ers earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
  • One-score margin — verify garbage-time stats before drawing fantasy conclusions.
  • Case Keenum (LA) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
  • Case Keenum (LA) finished below expected efficiency despite volume.

Frequently asked questions

Who won LA vs San Francisco 49ers on 2016-01-03?

The San Francisco 49ers beat the LA 19-16 in Week 17, 2015.

What was the score by quarter in LA vs San Francisco 49ers?

Q1: LA 3, San Francisco 49ers 0; Q2: LA 13, San Francisco 49ers 10; Q3: LA 0, San Francisco 49ers 3; Q4: LA 0, San Francisco 49ers 3; Q5: LA 0, San Francisco 49ers 3; Final: LA 16, San Francisco 49ers 19.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in LA vs San Francisco 49ers?

San Francisco 49ers touchdown — A. Boldin (B. Gabbert pass) (Q2 15:00) LA touchdown — T. Mason (Q2 1:37) LA field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q1 8:16, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (Q2 9:08, 3 pts) LA field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q2 2:48, 3 pts) LA field goal — G. Zuerlein (Q2 0:09, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (Q3 9:41, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (Q4 4:33, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (OT 3:31, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in LA vs San Francisco 49ers?

Blaine Gabbert (San Francisco 49ers), 58.3% completion, -1.9% CPOE, +0.01 EPA per dropback, +0.68 total passing EPA. Case Keenum (LA), 57.9% completion, -4.1% CPOE, +0.18 EPA per dropback, +6.82 total passing EPA.

Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in LA vs San Francisco 49ers?

Case Keenum (LA) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +6.82 total EPA on Passing plays. across 38 snaps. Their top snap (+3.88 EPA): (10:26) 17-C.Keenum pass deep right to 18-K.Britt to SF 33 for 54 yards (26-T.Brock). Caught at SF 39. 6-yds YAC.

Was LA vs San Francisco 49ers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. San Francisco 49ers won 19-16 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 7-8 Now 7-9 L

San Francisco 49ers

Entered 4-11 Now 5-11 W