Quick answer
- Winner
- Indianapolis Colts
- Final score
- Indianapolis Colts 33–14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Halftime
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7–16 Indianapolis Colts at halftime
- FantasyHQ MVP
- Paul Manning
- Top passer
- Paul Manning
- Biggest EPA play
- (11:45) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 84-J.Galloway ran ob at IND 24 for 27 yard…
- Game date
- 2007-10-07
Game summary
The Indianapolis Colts beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33–14 on 2007-10-07. Paul Manning posted a game-high +16.18 total EPA in the passing.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 33 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).
- 1
Paul Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +16.18 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play - 2
R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +8.23 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.18 EPA/play - 3
J. Garcia · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +7.32 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play - 4
J. Galloway · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.84 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play - 5
A. Gonzalez · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.90 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play - 6

Dean Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.17 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play - 7

Arian Smith · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.15 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.57 EPA/play - 8
I. Hilliard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.01 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
FantasyHQ Game MVP
Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.
FantasyHQ Game MVP
Paul Manning — IND · Passing
Paul Manning posted the highest total EPA (+16.18) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Indianapolis Colts. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.43 EPA per play.
Paul Manning's top snap (+3.03 EPA): (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Biggest single play (+3.04 EPA): J. Garcia — (11:45) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 84-J.Galloway ran ob at IND 24 for 27 yards (43-M.Giordano).
Quarterback report card
Paul Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
Paul Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 38 dropbacks · 76.3% completion · +13.7% CPOE · +0.43 EPA/play · +16.18 total EPA
J. Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 25 dropbacks · 72.0% completion · +9.8% CPOE · +0.29 EPA/play · +7.32 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.018 | +0.191 |
| Offensive success rate | 48.1% | 50.0% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.212 | +0.426 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.588 | +0.021 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.191 | +0.018 |
| Defensive success rate | 50.0% | 51.9% |
Drive & efficiency notes
Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.19 vs -0.02), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -0.02 EPA/play (50th percentile vs. 2007 team-game averages)
- Indianapolis Colts: +0.19 EPA/play (88th percentile vs. 2007 team-game averages)
- Indianapolis Colts: 9 drives, +17.58 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8 drives, -0.97 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.
Touchdowns

Indianapolis Colts — Dean Clark (Paul Manning pass)
Indianapolis Colts — K. Keith 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Arian Smith (J. Garcia pass)
Indianapolis Colts — K. Keith
Indianapolis Colts — R. Wayne (Paul Manning pass) 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Arian Smith (J. Garcia pass)
Field goals
Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
Quarter by quarter
Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.
The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 10 (Q1 10:27) — (10:27) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 10:19) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 9–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 14:57) — (14:57) 36-K.Keith left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q2 6:47) — (6:47) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 6:43) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 9 (Q2 0:05) — (:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 7 (Q3 7:24); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q3 7:23) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 9 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 14:57) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q4 9:24) — (9:24) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 9:21) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 17 (Q4 2:57) — (2:57) 4-A.Vinatieri 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 13:08) — (13:08) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark to TB 33 for 9 yards (55-D.Brooks).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 13:41) — (13:41) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia sacked at TB 23 for -5 yards (sack split by 79-R.Brock and 93-D.Freeney).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 6:47) — (6:47) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 6:43) — 3-M.Bryant kicks 61 yards from TB 30 to IND 9. 15-C.Thorpe pushed ob at IND 44 for 35 yards (85-M.Stovall).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 2:52) — (2:52) 36-K.Keith right guard to TB 34 for 2 yards (91-G.White, 71-J.Haye). TB-91-G.White was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
Impact plays
Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 11:45) — (11:45) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 84-J.Galloway ran ob at IND 24 for 27 yards (43-M.Giordano).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 12:30) — (12:30) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 28-T.Jackson at TB 28. 28-T.Jackson to IND 24 for 48 yards (73-J.Scott, 71-R.Diem). PENALTY on TB-54-P.Chukwurah,
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:32) — (1:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Gradkowski pass deep right intended for 84-J.Galloway INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND 26. 41-A.Bethea to IND 37 for 11 yards.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 10:27 · TB 10 · Score 0-6
(10:27) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 10:19 · TB 2 · Score 0-7
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 14:57 · TB 1 · Score 0-13
(14:57) 36-K.Keith left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 6:47 · IND 3 · Score 6-13
(6:47) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 6:43 · IND 2 · Score 7-13
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.
Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 0:05 · TB 9 · Score 7-16
(:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 7:24 · TB 7 · Score 7-22
(7:24) 36-K.Keith right guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB, Defensive 12 On-field, declined. Penalty on TB-95-C.Hovan, Defensive Offside, declined.
Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 7:23 · TB 2 · Score 7-23
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · TB 9 · Score 7-29
(15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 14:57 · TB 2 · Score 7-30
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 9:24 · IND 3 · Score 13-30
(9:24) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 9:21 · IND 2 · Score 14-30
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.
Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 2:57 · TB 17 · Score 14-33
(2:57) 4-A.Vinatieri 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.
- Indianapolis Colts earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
- Paul Manning (Indianapolis Colts) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
- Paul Manning (IND) finished above expected through the air (positive CPOE).
- J. Garcia (TB) finished above expected through the air (positive CPOE).
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts on 2007-10-07?
The Indianapolis Colts beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33-14 in Week 5, 2007.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Indianapolis Colts 9; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Indianapolis Colts 10; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, Indianapolis Colts 33.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Clark (P. Manning pass) (Q1 10:27) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — K. Keith (Q2 14:57) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — A. Smith (J. Garcia pass) (Q2 6:47) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — K. Keith (Q3 7:24) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q4 15:00) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — A. Smith (J. Garcia pass) (Q4 9:24) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 0:05, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 2:57, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
Paul Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 76.3% completion, +13.7% CPOE, +0.43 EPA per dropback, +16.18 total passing EPA. J. Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 72.0% completion, +9.8% CPOE, +0.29 EPA per dropback, +7.32 total passing EPA.
Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
Paul Manning (Indianapolis Colts) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +16.18 total EPA on Passing plays. across 38 snaps. Their top snap (+3.03 EPA): (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN..
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 3-1 Now 3-2 L
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 4-0 Now 5-0 W