Quick answer
- Winner
- Indianapolis Colts
- Final score
- Indianapolis Colts 17–16 Buffalo Bills
- Halftime
- Tied 10–10 at halftime
- FantasyHQ MVP
- L. Evans
- Top passer
- Paul Manning
- Biggest EPA play
- (:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Cr…
- Game date
- 2006-11-12
Game summary
The Indianapolis Colts beat the Buffalo Bills 17–16 on 2006-11-12. L. Evans posted a game-high +9.89 total EPA in the receiving.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| 0 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).
- 1
L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +9.89 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.98 EPA/play - 2
R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +5.01 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play - 3
J. Addai · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +2.46 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play - 4
B. Moorman · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +2.41 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.41 EPA/play - 5
J. Addai · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +2.33 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play - 6
P. Price · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play - 7
J. Losman · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +1.35 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play - 8

Dean Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.03 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
FantasyHQ Game MVP
Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.
FantasyHQ Game MVP
L. Evans — BUF · Receiving
L. Evans posted the highest total EPA (+9.89) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Buffalo Bills. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +1.98 EPA per play.
L. Evans's top snap (+3.19 EPA): (10:07) 7-J.Losman pass deep middle to 83-L.Evans to IND 10 for 24 yards (28-M.Jackson).
Biggest single play (-9.31 EPA): Paul Manning — (:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell). FUMBLES (55-A.Crowell), touched at BUF 32, RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 32. 24-T.McGee for 68 ya
Quarterback report card
Paul Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
Paul Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 40 dropbacks · 67.5% completion · -3.5% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -5.90 total EPA
J. Losman (Buffalo Bills) · 18 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +18.0% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +1.35 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.032 | -0.049 |
| Offensive success rate | 41.5% | 57.6% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.075 | -0.147 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.217 | -0.052 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.049 | +0.032 |
| Defensive success rate | 42.4% | 58.5% |
Drive & efficiency notes
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Buffalo Bills -0.03, Indianapolis Colts -0.05) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):
- Buffalo Bills: -0.03 EPA/play (47th percentile vs. 2006 team-game averages)
- Indianapolis Colts: -0.05 EPA/play (42nd percentile vs. 2006 team-game averages)
- Buffalo Bills: 9 drives, -2.10 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
- Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, -4.14 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
Indianapolis Colts — R. Wayne (Paul Manning pass)
Buffalo Bills — B. Utecht (Paul Manning pass)
Indianapolis Colts — J. Addai
Field goals
Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell
Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell
Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell
Quarter by quarter
Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.
The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the IND 4 (Q1 6:54) — (6:54) 9-R.Lindell 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman. Penalty on IND, Defensive 12 On-field, declined..
The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q2 11:14) — (11:14) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 11:09) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BUF 13 (Q2 2:48) — (2:48) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 43 (Q2 0:46); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 0:31) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..
The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–3. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BUF 5 (Q3 10:35) — (10:35) 29-J.Addai up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 10:30) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the IND 12 (Q3 8:50) — (8:50) 9-R.Lindell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..
The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the IND 25 (Q4 10:40) — (10:40) 9-R.Lindell 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 9:08) — (9:08) 33-D.Rhodes right end to IND 49 for 4 yards (94-A.Schobel). FUMBLES (94-A.Schobel), touched at IND 49, RECOVERED by BUF-22-N.Clements at IND 49. 22-N.Clements to IND 41 for 8 yards (63-J.Saturd
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 0:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell). FUMBLES (55-A.Crowell), touched at BUF 32, RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 32. 24-T.McGee for 68 ya
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 6:27) — (6:27) 9-R.Lindell 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 12:38) — (12:38) 7-J.Losman pass short right to 83-L.Evans ran ob at IND 22 for 24 yards (28-M.Jackson).
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 11:54) — (11:54) 7-J.Losman sacked at IND 33 for -12 yards (98-R.Mathis).
Impact plays
Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 0:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell). FUMBLES (55-A.Crowell), touched at BUF 32, RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 32. 24-T.McGee for 68 ya
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 9:08) — (9:08) 33-D.Rhodes right end to IND 49 for 4 yards (94-A.Schobel). FUMBLES (94-A.Schobel), touched at IND 49, RECOVERED by BUF-22-N.Clements at IND 49. 22-N.Clements to IND 41 for 8 yards (63-J.Saturd
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 10:30) — 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 70 yards from IND 30 to BUF 0. 24-T.McGee to IND 12 for 88 yards (41-A.Bethea).
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 6:27) — (6:27) 9-R.Lindell 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.
Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 6:54 · IND 4 · Score 3-0
(6:54) 9-R.Lindell 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman. Penalty on IND, Defensive 12 On-field, declined.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 11:14 · BUF 1 · Score 3-6
(11:14) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-R.Wayne for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 11:09 · BUF 2 · Score 3-7
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 2:48 · BUF 13 · Score 3-10
(2:48) 4-A.Vinatieri 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 0:46 · BUF 43 · Score 9-10
(:46) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 86-B.Utecht to BUF 34 for 9 yards (55-A.Crowell). FUMBLES (55-A.Crowell), touched at BUF 32, RECOVERED by BUF-24-T.McGee at BUF 32. 24-T.McGee for 68 ya
Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 0:31 · IND 2 · Score 10-10
9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 10:35 · BUF 5 · Score 10-16
(10:35) 29-J.Addai up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 10:30 · BUF 2 · Score 10-17
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 8:50 · IND 12 · Score 13-17
(8:50) 9-R.Lindell 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 10:40 · IND 25 · Score 16-17
(10:40) 9-R.Lindell 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.
- Indianapolis Colts earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
- One-score margin — verify garbage-time stats before drawing fantasy conclusions.
- L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
- Paul Manning (IND) finished below expected efficiency despite volume.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts on 2006-11-12?
The Indianapolis Colts beat the Buffalo Bills 17-16 in Week 10, 2006.
What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
Q1: Buffalo Bills 3, Indianapolis Colts 0; Q2: Buffalo Bills 7, Indianapolis Colts 10; Q3: Buffalo Bills 3, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q4: Buffalo Bills 3, Indianapolis Colts 0; Final: Buffalo Bills 16, Indianapolis Colts 17.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
Indianapolis Colts touchdown — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q2 11:14) Buffalo Bills touchdown — B. Utecht (P. Manning pass) (Q2 0:46) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Addai (Q3 10:35) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q1 6:54, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 2:48, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q3 8:50, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q4 10:40, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
Paul Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 67.5% completion, -3.5% CPOE, -0.15 EPA per dropback, -5.90 total passing EPA. J. Losman (Buffalo Bills), 50.0% completion, +18.0% CPOE, +0.07 EPA per dropback, +1.35 total passing EPA.
Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts?
L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +9.89 total EPA on Receiving plays. across 5 snaps. Their top snap (+3.19 EPA): (10:07) 7-J.Losman pass deep middle to 83-L.Evans to IND 10 for 24 yards (28-M.Jackson)..
Was Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts a close game?
Yes — the margin was 1 points. Indianapolis Colts won 17-16 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Buffalo Bills
Entered 3-5 Now 3-6 L
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 8-0 Now 9-0 W