FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 1 · September 10, 2006 · 12 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots: 2006 Week 1 Recap

Patriots defeat Bills 19–17 in Week 1

Blake Watson led Fantasy Impact as Patriots prevailed in a 17–19 Week 1 finish.

Buffalo Bills 17 0–1
Final 17–19
New England Patriots 19 1–0 Winner
Winner
New England Patriots
Final score
17–19
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 17–7 New England Patriots
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
Blake Watson
Game date
September 10, 2006

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Joe Reed
    Joe Reed 3 REC · 40 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Azareye'h Thomas
    Azareye'h Thomas 3 CAR · 29 YDS · 1 TD +3.7 Fantasy Impact
  • L.Evans 2 REC · 25 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • Blake Watson
    Blake Watson 3 REC · 50 YDS +5.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Keldric Faulk 1 REC · 17 YDS · 1 TD +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Trent Brown
    Trent Brown 2 REC · 18 YDS · 1 TD +3.2 Fantasy Impact

Quick answer

Winner
New England Patriots
Final score
New England Patriots 19–17 Buffalo Bills
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 17–7 New England Patriots at halftime
FantasyHQ MVP
Blake Watson
Top passer
T. Brady
Biggest EPA play
(14:55) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 11 for -10 yards (51-T.Spikes). FUMBLES (51-T.Spikes), REC…
Game date
2006-09-10

Game summary

The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 19–17 on 2006-09-10, overcoming Buffalo Bills's 17–7 halftime lead. Blake Watson posted a game-high +5.22 total EPA in the receiving.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 17 combined points.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Buffalo Bills10700017
New England Patriots7075019

Scoring Map

Each pin marks where a score occurred on the field — yard line from play-by-play.

BUFBuffalo Bills
NENew England Patriots

FantasyHQ Analytics

Scoring timeline

11 scores

Chronological scoring plays — scroll to follow the game.

  1. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q1 14:55TD
    LFL. Fletcher-Baker

    Points+6

    Yard line
    BUF 79
    Score
    6-0

    (14:55) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 11 for -10 yards (51-T.Spikes). FUMBLES (51-T.Spikes), RECOVERED by BUF-59-L.Fletcher-Baker at NE 5. 59-L.Fletcher-Baker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  2. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q1 14:48XP
    RLR. Lindell

    Points+1

    Yard line
    NE 2
    Score
    7-0

    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

  3. NENew England Patriots
    Q1 10:47TD
    Trent Brown

    Points+6

    Yard line
    BUF 9
    Score
    7-6

    (10:47) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-T.Brown for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  4. NENew England Patriots
    Q1 10:43XP
    SGS. Gostkowski

    Points+1

    Yard line
    BUF 2
    Score
    7-7

    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.

  5. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q1 4:25FG
    RLR. Lindell

    Points+3

    Yard line
    NE 34
    Score
    10-7

    (4:25) 9-R.Lindell 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

  6. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 11:45TD
    Azareye'h Thomas

    Points+6

    Yard line
    NE 18
    Score
    16-7

    (11:45) 28-A.Thomas left guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

  7. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 11:40XP
    RLR. Lindell

    Points+1

    Yard line
    NE 2
    Score
    17-7

    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

  8. NENew England Patriots
    Q3 2:56TD
    KFKeldric Faulk

    Points+6

    Yard line
    BUF 17
    Score
    17-13

    (2:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 33-K.Faulk for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-33-K.Faulk was injured during the play.

  9. NENew England Patriots
    Q3 2:52XP
    SGS. Gostkowski

    Points+1

    Yard line
    BUF 2
    Score
    17-14

    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.

  10. NENew England Patriots
    Q4 9:37FG
    SGS. Gostkowski

    Points+3

    Yard line
    BUF 14
    Score
    17-17

    (9:37) 3-S.Gostkowski 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.

  11. NENew England Patriots
    Q4 8:55Safety
    JLJ. Losman

    Points+2

    Yard line
    NE 92
    Score
    17-19

    (8:55) 7-J.Losman sacked in End Zone for -8 yards, SAFETY (94-T.Warren).

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).

  1. 1Blake WatsonBlake Watson · New England Patriots · Receiving · +5.22 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.74 EPA/play
  2. 2Joe ReedJoe Reed · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.13 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.38 EPA/play
  3. 3Azareye'h ThomasAzareye'h Thomas · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +3.67 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.22 EPA/play
  4. 4Keldric Faulk · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.35 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.35 EPA/play
  5. 5Trent BrownTrent Brown · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.16 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.58 EPA/play
  6. 6R. Caldwell · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.55 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.27 EPA/play
  7. 7L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.05 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.03 EPA/play
  8. 8Derrick GrahamDerrick Graham · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.93 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.93 EPA/play

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

Blake Watson

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Blake Watson — NE · Receiving

Blake Watson posted the highest total EPA (+5.22) in the game, the strongest overall impact for New England Patriots. Across 3 counted snaps, they averaged +1.74 EPA per play.

Blake Watson's top snap (+3.52 EPA): (6:48) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 84-B.Watson to BUF 46 for 34 yards (20-D.Whitner).

Biggest single play (-7.83 EPA): T. Brady — (14:55) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 11 for -10 yards (51-T.Spikes). FUMBLES (51-T.Spikes), RECOVERED by BUF-59-L.Fletcher-Baker at NE 5. 59-L.Fletcher-Baker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Quarterback report card

T. Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T. Brady (New England Patriots) · 26 dropbacks · 42.3% completion · -6.2% CPOE · -0.16 EPA/play · -4.26 total EPA
  • J. Losman (Buffalo Bills) · 26 dropbacks · 57.7% completion · +14.7% CPOE · +0.03 EPA/play · +0.72 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.

StatBuffalo BillsNew England Patriots
Offensive EPA/play-0.043-0.044
Offensive success rate34.8%47.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.028-0.164
Rush EPA/play-0.172+0.075
Defensive EPA/play+0.044+0.043
Defensive success rate52.4%65.2%

Drive & efficiency notes

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Buffalo Bills -0.04, New England Patriots -0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):

  • Buffalo Bills: -0.04 EPA/play (43rd percentile vs. 2006 team-game averages)
  • New England Patriots: -0.04 EPA/play (43rd percentile vs. 2006 team-game averages)
  • Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, -2.81 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • New England Patriots: 11 drives, -3.64 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — L. Fletcher-Baker (Q1 14:55)
  • Trent BrownNew England Patriots — Trent Brown (T. Brady pass) (Q1 10:47)
  • Azareye'h ThomasBuffalo Bills — Azareye'h Thomas (Q2 11:45)
  • New England Patriots — Keldric Faulk (T. Brady pass) (Q3 2:56)

Field goals

  • Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q1 4:25)
  • New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q4 9:37)
Quarter by quarter

Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 10–7. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 79 (Q1 14:55); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q1 14:48) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the BUF 9 (Q1 10:47) — (10:47) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-T.Brown for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q1 10:43) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NE 34 (Q1 4:25) — (4:25) 9-R.Lindell 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 18 (Q2 11:45) — (11:45) 28-A.Thomas left guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q2 11:40) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the BUF 17 (Q3 2:56) — (2:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 33-K.Faulk for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-33-K.Faulk was injured during the play.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 2:52) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 5–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 14 (Q4 9:37) — (9:37) 3-S.Gostkowski 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.; New England Patriots registered a safety from the NE 92 (Q4 8:55) — (8:55) 7-J.Losman sacked in End Zone for -8 yards, SAFETY (94-T.Warren)..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most.

  • New England Patriots (Q1 14:55) — (14:55) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 11 for -10 yards (51-T.Spikes). FUMBLES (51-T.Spikes), RECOVERED by BUF-59-L.Fletcher-Baker at NE 5. 59-L.Fletcher-Baker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -21.5% · EPA -7.83]
  • New England Patriots (Q4 8:26) — (8:26) 12-T.Brady pass deep left intended for 84-B.Watson INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Whitner at BUF 44. 20-D.Whitner to NE 46 for 10 yards. PENALTY on BUF-22-N.Clements, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yar [WPA -19.4% · EPA -3.29]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 6:28) — (6:28) 7-J.Losman sacked at BUF 46 for -6 yards (93-R.Seymour). [WPA -12.1% · EPA -2.14]
  • New England Patriots (Q3 2:56) — (2:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 33-K.Faulk for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-33-K.Faulk was injured during the play. [WPA +10.8% · EPA +3.35]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 7:40) — (7:40) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right to 82-J.Reed to NE 37 for 14 yards (26-E.Wilson, 25-A.Hawkins) [59-R.Colvin]. [WPA +9.4% · EPA +2.27]
Impact plays

Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.

  • New England Patriots (Q1 14:55) — (14:55) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 11 for -10 yards (51-T.Spikes). FUMBLES (51-T.Spikes), RECOVERED by BUF-59-L.Fletcher-Baker at NE 5. 59-L.Fletcher-Baker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -21.5% · EPA -7.83]
  • New England Patriots (Q3 6:48) — (6:48) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 84-B.Watson to BUF 46 for 34 yards (20-D.Whitner). [WPA +7.6% · EPA +3.52]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 9:30) — (9:30) 21-W.McGahee right tackle to NE 7 for no gain (51-D.Davis). [WPA -8.6% · EPA -3.48]
  • New England Patriots (Q3 2:56) — (2:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 33-K.Faulk for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-33-K.Faulk was injured during the play. [WPA +10.8% · EPA +3.35]
Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.

  1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 14:55 · BUF 79 · Score 6-0
    (14:55) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 11 for -10 yards (51-T.Spikes). FUMBLES (51-T.Spikes), RECOVERED by BUF-59-L.Fletcher-Baker at NE 5. 59-L.Fletcher-Baker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 14:48 · NE 2 · Score 7-0
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  3. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 10:47 · BUF 9 · Score 7-6
    (10:47) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-T.Brown for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 10:43 · BUF 2 · Score 7-7
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.
  5. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 4:25 · NE 34 · Score 10-7
    (4:25) 9-R.Lindell 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  6. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 11:45 · NE 18 · Score 16-7
    (11:45) 28-A.Thomas left guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 11:40 · NE 2 · Score 17-7
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  8. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 2:56 · BUF 17 · Score 17-13
    (2:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 33-K.Faulk for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-33-K.Faulk was injured during the play.
  9. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 2:52 · BUF 2 · Score 17-14
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.
  10. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 9:37 · BUF 14 · Score 17-17
    (9:37) 3-S.Gostkowski 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-J.Miller.
  11. New England Patriots Safety (+2) — Q4 8:55 · NE 92 · Score 17-19
    (8:55) 7-J.Losman sacked in End Zone for -8 yards, SAFETY (94-T.Warren).

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.

  • New England Patriots earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
  • One-score margin — verify garbage-time stats before drawing fantasy conclusions.
  • Blake Watson (New England Patriots) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
  • T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency despite volume.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots on 2006-09-10?

The New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 19-17 in Week 1, 2006.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 10, New England Patriots 7; Q2: Buffalo Bills 7, New England Patriots 0; Q3: Buffalo Bills 0, New England Patriots 7; Q4: Buffalo Bills 0, New England Patriots 5; Final: Buffalo Bills 17, New England Patriots 19.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. Fletcher-Baker (Q1 14:55) New England Patriots touchdown — T. Brown (T. Brady pass) (Q1 10:47) Buffalo Bills touchdown — A. Thomas (Q2 11:45) New England Patriots touchdown — K. Faulk (T. Brady pass) (Q3 2:56) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q1 4:25, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q4 9:37, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?

T. Brady (New England Patriots), 42.3% completion, -6.2% CPOE, -0.16 EPA per dropback, -4.26 total passing EPA. J. Losman (Buffalo Bills), 57.7% completion, +14.7% CPOE, +0.03 EPA per dropback, +0.72 total passing EPA.

Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?

Blake Watson (New England Patriots) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +5.22 total EPA on Receiving plays. across 3 snaps. Their top snap (+3.52 EPA): (6:48) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 84-B.Watson to BUF 46 for 34 yards (20-D.Whitner)..

Was Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots a close game?

Yes — the margin was 2 points. New England Patriots won 19-17 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Now 0-1 L

New England Patriots

Now 1-0 W