Quick answer
- Winner
- Indianapolis Colts
- Final score
- Indianapolis Colts 38–34 New England Patriots
- Halftime
- New England Patriots 21–6 Indianapolis Colts at halftime
- FantasyHQ MVP
- Dean Clark
- Top passer
- Paul Manning
- Biggest EPA play
- (9:34) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 2…
- Game date
- 2007-01-21
Game summary
The Indianapolis Colts beat the New England Patriots 38–34 on 2007-01-21, overcoming New England Patriots's 21–6 halftime lead. Dean Clark posted a game-high +9.95 total EPA in the receiving.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 23 combined points.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 34 | |
| 3 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 0 | 38 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).
- 1

Dean Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +9.95 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.66 EPA/play - 2
R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.79 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.36 EPA/play - 3
J. Gaffney · New England Patriots · Receiving · +5.73 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.91 EPA/play - 4

Trent Brown · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.36 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.18 EPA/play - 5

Malik Harrison · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.11 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play - 6
Paul Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +3.37 total EPA · 52 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play - 7
C. Dillon · New England Patriots · Rushing · +3.17 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play - 8

Blake Watson · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.06 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
FantasyHQ Game MVP
Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

FantasyHQ Game MVP
Dean Clark — IND · Receiving
Dean Clark posted the highest total EPA (+9.95) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Indianapolis Colts. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +1.66 EPA per play.
Dean Clark's top snap (+2.99 EPA): (7:35) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 44-D.Clark to NE 25 for 52 yards (36-J.Sanders) [94-T.Warren].
Biggest single play (-8.23 EPA): Paul Manning — (9:34) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at IND 39. 22-A.Samuel for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
Paul Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
Paul Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 52 dropbacks · 51.9% completion · -0.9% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +3.37 total EPA
T. Brady (New England Patriots) · 37 dropbacks · 56.8% completion · -2.4% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +2.22 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.
| Stat | ||
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.125 | +0.098 |
| Offensive success rate | 43.4% | 55.2% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.060 | +0.065 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.118 | +0.145 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.098 | -0.125 |
| Defensive success rate | 44.8% | 56.6% |
Drive & efficiency notes
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (New England Patriots +0.12, Indianapolis Colts +0.10) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):
- New England Patriots: +0.12 EPA/play (85th percentile vs. 2006 team-game averages)
- Indianapolis Colts: +0.10 EPA/play (81st percentile vs. 2006 team-game averages)
- Indianapolis Colts: 13 drives, +10.27 total EPA, 8 scoring drives
- New England Patriots: 13 drives, +10.34 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
New England Patriots — T. Brady
New England Patriots — C. Dillon 
New England Patriots — Asante Samuel Jr.
Indianapolis Colts — Paul Manning
Indianapolis Colts — D. Klecko (Paul Manning pass)
New England Patriots — J. Gaffney (T. Brady pass)
Indianapolis Colts — D. Rhodes
Indianapolis Colts — J. Addai
Field goals
Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski
Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski
Quarter by quarter
Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.
The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the IND 4 (Q1 7:36) — (7:36) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 4, touched at IND 2, recovered by NE-70-L.Mankins at IND 0. TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 7:24) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NE 24 (Q1 0:54) — (:54) 4-A.Vinatieri 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 14–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the IND 7 (Q2 10:24) — (10:24) 28-C.Dillon left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 10:18) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NE 69 (Q2 9:34); New England Patriots added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 9:25) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NE 8 (Q2 0:11) — (:11) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 15–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NE 1 (Q3 8:21) — (8:21) 18-P.Manning up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q3 8:13) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NE 1 (Q3 4:06) — (4:06) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 61-D.Klecko for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts registered a safety from the NE 2 (Q3 4:00) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the IND 6 (Q3 1:35); New England Patriots added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 1:25) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel..
The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 17–6. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NE 2 (Q4 13:34); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 13:24) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the IND 10 (Q4 7:45) — (7:45) 3-S.Gostkowski 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NE 18 (Q4 5:35) — (5:35) 4-A.Vinatieri 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the IND 25 (Q4 3:53) — (3:53) 3-S.Gostkowski 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NE 3 (Q4 1:02) — (1:02) 29-J.Addai up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q4 1:00) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most.
- New England Patriots (Q4 0:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 84-B.Watson INTERCEPTED by 28-M.Jackson at IND 35. 28-M.Jackson to IND 41 for 6 yards (77-N.Kaczur).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 2:08) — (2:08) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 81-B.Fletcher ran ob at NE 37 for 32 yards.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 7:35) — (7:35) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 44-D.Clark to NE 25 for 52 yards (36-J.Sanders) [94-T.Warren].
- New England Patriots (Q1 8:52) — (8:52) 28-C.Dillon right tackle pushed ob at IND 13 for 35 yards (41-A.Bethea).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 1:02) — (1:02) 29-J.Addai up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Impact plays
Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 9:34) — (9:34) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at IND 39. 22-A.Samuel for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- New England Patriots (Q1 8:52) — (8:52) 28-C.Dillon right tackle pushed ob at IND 13 for 35 yards (41-A.Bethea).
- New England Patriots (Q2 11:07) — (11:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-T.Brown to IND 7 for 27 yards (42-J.David).
- New England Patriots (Q3 4:00) — 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 71 yards from IND 30 to NE -1. 27-E.Hobbs pushed ob at IND 21 for 80 yards (43-M.Giordano).
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.
New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 7:36 · IND 4 · Score 6-0
(7:36) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 4, touched at IND 2, recovered by NE-70-L.Mankins at IND 0. TOUCHDOWN.
New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 7:24 · IND 2 · Score 7-0
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.
Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 0:54 · NE 24 · Score 7-3
(:54) 4-A.Vinatieri 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 10:24 · IND 7 · Score 13-3
(10:24) 28-C.Dillon left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 10:18 · IND 2 · Score 14-3
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.
New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 9:34 · NE 69 · Score 20-3
(9:34) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right intended for 88-M.Harrison INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at IND 39. 22-A.Samuel for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 9:25 · IND 2 · Score 21-3
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.
Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 0:11 · NE 8 · Score 21-6
(:11) 4-A.Vinatieri 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 8:21 · NE 1 · Score 21-12
(8:21) 18-P.Manning up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 8:13 · NE 2 · Score 21-13
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 4:06 · NE 1 · Score 21-19
(4:06) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 61-D.Klecko for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Indianapolis Colts Safety (+2) — Q3 4:00 · NE 2 · Score 21-21
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 18-P.Manning pass to 88-M.Harrison is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 1:35 · IND 6 · Score 27-21
(1:35) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 10-J.Gaffney for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-R.Mathis]. Play Challenged by IND and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by IND at 01:25.)
New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 1:25 · IND 2 · Score 28-21
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 13:34 · NE 2 · Score 28-27
(13:34) 33-D.Rhodes left tackle to NE 1 for 1 yard (52-E.Alexander). FUMBLES (52-E.Alexander), recovered by IND-63-J.Saturday at NE 0. TOUCHDOWN.
Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 13:24 · NE 2 · Score 28-28
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 7:45 · IND 10 · Score 31-28
(7:45) 3-S.Gostkowski 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.
Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 5:35 · NE 18 · Score 31-31
(5:35) 4-A.Vinatieri 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 3:53 · IND 25 · Score 34-31
(3:53) 3-S.Gostkowski 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-16-M.Cassel.
Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 1:02 · NE 3 · Score 34-37
(1:02) 29-J.Addai up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 1:00 · NE 2 · Score 34-38
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.
- Indianapolis Colts earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
- One-score margin — verify garbage-time stats before drawing fantasy conclusions.
- Dean Clark (Indianapolis Colts) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
Frequently asked questions
Who won New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts on 2007-01-21?
The Indianapolis Colts beat the New England Patriots 38-34 in Divisional, 2006.
What was the score by quarter in New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts?
Q1: New England Patriots 7, Indianapolis Colts 3; Q2: New England Patriots 14, Indianapolis Colts 3; Q3: New England Patriots 7, Indianapolis Colts 15; Q4: New England Patriots 6, Indianapolis Colts 17; Final: New England Patriots 34, Indianapolis Colts 38.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts?
New England Patriots touchdown — T. Brady (Q1 7:36) New England Patriots touchdown — C. Dillon (Q2 10:24) New England Patriots touchdown — A. Samuel (Q2 9:34) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — P. Manning (Q3 8:21) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Klecko (P. Manning pass) (Q3 4:06) New England Patriots touchdown — J. Gaffney (T. Brady pass) (Q3 1:35) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Rhodes (Q4 13:34) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — J. Addai (Q4 1:02) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q1 0:54, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 0:11, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q4 7:45, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 5:35, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q4 3:53, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts?
Paul Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 51.9% completion, -0.9% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +3.37 total passing EPA. T. Brady (New England Patriots), 56.8% completion, -2.4% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +2.22 total passing EPA.
Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts?
Dean Clark (Indianapolis Colts) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +9.95 total EPA on Receiving plays. across 6 snaps. Their top snap (+2.99 EPA): (7:35) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 44-D.Clark to NE 25 for 52 yards (36-J.Sanders) [94-T.Warren]..
Was New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts a close game?
Yes — the margin was 4 points. Indianapolis Colts won 38-34 in a game that stayed within one score into the fourth quarter.
Season records after this game
New England Patriots
Entered 14-4 Now 14-5 L
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 14-4 Now 15-4 W