San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers: 2021 Divisional Recap

Game story

In the Divisional of the 2021 NFL season on 2022-01-22, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 13–10 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with -6.68 total EPA, and +3.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Adams (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.40 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+26.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (:04) 9-R.Gould 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.40 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.64 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Samuel · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.17 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Lazard · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.26 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
5. 5 K. Juszczyk · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +1.07 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
6. 6 G. Kittle · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.04 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Dillon · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +0.50 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
8. 8 E. Mitchell · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · -0.10 total EPA · 4 snaps · -0.03 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — A. Dillon (Q1 54:30)
• San Francisco 49ers — T. Hufanga (Q4 4:50)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q3 23:18)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 11:30)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q4 0:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 6 (Q1 54:30) — (9:30) 28-A.Dillon up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q1 54:25) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-46-S.Wirtel, Holder-7-C.Bojorquez..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 11 (Q3 23:18) — (8:18) 9-R.Gould 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–3. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 15 (Q4 11:30) — (11:30) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Wirtel, Holder-7-C.Bojorquez.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SF 88 (Q4 4:50); San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 4:41) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 27 (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 9-R.Gould 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 9-R.Gould 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky. [WPA +26.0% · EPA +0.71]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 4:50) — (4:50) 7-C.Bojorquez punt is BLOCKED by 94-J.Willis, Center-46-S.Wirtel, RECOVERED by SF-29-T.Hufanga at GB 6. 29-T.Hufanga for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -24.7% · EPA -5.06]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 6:14) — (6:14) 71-T.Williams reported in as eligible. 25-E.Mitchell up the middle to GB 20 for -1 yards (52-R.Gary, 59-D.Campbell). [WPA -13.8% · EPA -3.58]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 49:00) — (4:00) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 89-M.Lewis to SF 41 for 1 yard (54-F.Warner). FUMBLES (54-F.Warner), RECOVERED by SF-57-D.Greenlaw at SF 42. 57-D.Greenlaw to SF 42 for no gain (89-M.Lewis). [WPA -11.9% · EPA -5.34]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 19-D.Samuel to GB 41 for 14 yards (41-H.Black). [WPA +11.7% · EPA +1.03]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 49:00) — (4:00) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 89-M.Lewis to SF 41 for 1 yard (54-F.Warner). FUMBLES (54-F.Warner), RECOVERED by SF-57-D.Greenlaw at SF 42. 57-D.Greenlaw to SF 42 for no gain (89-M.Lewis). [WPA -11.9% · EPA -5.34]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 4:50) — (4:50) 7-C.Bojorquez punt is BLOCKED by 94-J.Willis, Center-46-S.Wirtel, RECOVERED by SF-29-T.Hufanga at GB 6. 29-T.Hufanga for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -24.7% · EPA -5.06]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:40) — (:40) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 33-A.Jones to SF 14 for 75 yards (3-J.Tartt). [WPA +11.0% · EPA +4.36]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 6:14) — (6:14) 71-T.Williams reported in as eligible. 25-E.Mitchell up the middle to GB 20 for -1 yards (52-R.Gary, 59-D.Campbell). [WPA -13.8% · EPA -3.58]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 35 dropbacks · 57.1% completion · +3.4% CPOE · -0.19 EPA/play · -6.68 total EPA
• J.Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) · 24 dropbacks · 45.8% completion · -9.3% CPOE · -0.33 EPA/play · -7.91 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (San Francisco 49ers -0.17, Green Bay Packers -0.20) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Green Bay Packers: 11 drives, -14.76 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 10 drives, -11.06 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Adams (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• J. Garoppolo (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 54:30 · SF 6 · Score 0-6
   (9:30) 28-A.Dillon up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 54:25 · SF 15 · Score 0-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-46-S.Wirtel, Holder-7-C.Bojorquez.
3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 23:18 · GB 11 · Score 3-7
   (8:18) 9-R.Gould 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.
4. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 11:30 · SF 15 · Score 3-10
   (11:30) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Wirtel, Holder-7-C.Bojorquez.
5. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 4:50 · SF 88 · Score 9-10
   (4:50) 7-C.Bojorquez punt is BLOCKED by 94-J.Willis, Center-46-S.Wirtel, RECOVERED by SF-29-T.Hufanga at GB 6. 29-T.Hufanga for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 4:41 · GB 15 · Score 10-10
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.
7. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 0:04 · GB 27 · Score 13-10
   (:04) 9-R.Gould 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.