FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Wild Card · January 11, 2015 · 10 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos: 2014 Wild Card Recap

Colts defeat Broncos 24–13 in Wild Card

A.Luck led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 24–13 Wild Card finish.

Indianapolis Colts 24 13–5 Winner
Final 24–13
Denver Broncos 13 12–5
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
24–13
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 14–10 Denver Broncos
Top passer
Paul Manning
FantasyHQ MVP
A.Luck
Game date
January 11, 2015

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • A.Luck 27/48 · 286 YDS · 2 TD +11.1 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Hilton 4 REC · 72 YDS +4.7 Fantasy Impact
  • H.Nicks 2 REC · 24 YDS · 1 TD +4.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • Juanyeh Thomas
    Juanyeh Thomas 6 REC · 53 YDS +1.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Calvin Anderson
    Calvin Anderson 18 CAR · 80 YDS +0.1 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Hillman 2 CAR · 8 YDS -0.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Denver Broncos 24–13 in the Wild Card of the 2014 NFL season on 2015-01-11, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-11.7% win probability) came in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts swung the momentum.

In the Wild Card of the 2014 NFL season on 2015-01-11, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 24–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Manning (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with -14.47 total EPA, and -3.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.14 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-11.7% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (4:38) 4-A.Vinatieri 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts01473024
Denver Broncos7303013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. Luck · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +11.14 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Hilton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.71 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
  3. 3 H. Nicks · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.16 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.08 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Allen · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.22 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. Fleener · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.93 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.84 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  7. 7 Z. Tipton · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +1.22 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
  8. 8 Z. Tipton · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.89 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. Luck — IND · Passing

A. Luck posted the highest total EPA (+11.14) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 48 counted snaps, they averaged +0.23 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.35 EPA) came from Denver Broncos: (11:12) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at DEN 41 for -9 yards (91-J.Newsome). FUMBLES (91-J.Newsome), RECOVERED by IND-50-J.Freeman at DEN 41. 50-J.Freeman to DEN 41 for no gain (66-M.Ramirez).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Denver Broncos — D. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q1 55:04)
  • Indianapolis Colts — D. Herron (Q2 44:19)
  • Indianapolis Colts — D. Allen (A. Luck pass) (Q2 37:28)
  • Indianapolis Colts — H. Nicks (A. Luck pass) (Q3 23:29)

Field goals

  • Denver Broncos — C. Barth (Q2 30:07)
  • Denver Broncos — C. Barth (Q4 13:55)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 4:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q1 55:04) — (10:04) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 88-D.Thomas for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 55:00) — 1-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–3. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the DEN 6 (Q2 44:19) — (14:19) 36-D.Herron left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 44:14) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the DEN 3 (Q2 37:28) — (7:28) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 83-D.Allen for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 37:23) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the IND 26 (Q2 30:07) — (:07) 1-C.Barth 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the DEN 15 (Q3 23:29) — (8:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 14-H.Nicks for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q3 23:21) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the IND 23 (Q4 13:55) — (13:55) 1-C.Barth 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the DEN 12 (Q4 4:11) — (4:11) 4-A.Vinatieri 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:38) — (4:38) 4-A.Vinatieri 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee. [WPA -11.7% · EPA -3.74]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 25:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 80-C.Fleener to DEN 8 for 32 yards (30-D.Bruton). [WPA +10.0% · EPA +3.91]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 41:12) — (11:12) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at DEN 41 for -9 yards (91-J.Newsome). FUMBLES (91-J.Newsome), RECOVERED by IND-50-J.Freeman at DEN 41. 50-J.Freeman to DEN 41 for no gain (66-M.Ramirez). [WPA -9.5% · EPA -4.35]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 38:57) — (8:57) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 10-D.Moncrief to DEN 8 for 22 yards (25-C.Harris) [98-T.Knighton]. Penalty on DEN-25-C.Harris, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +8.3% · EPA +2.18]
  • Denver Broncos (Q3 15:38) — (:38) 22-C.Anderson right guard to IND 29 for 7 yards (21-V.Davis). [WPA +6.9% · EPA +1.89]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Denver Broncos (Q2 41:12) — (11:12) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at DEN 41 for -9 yards (91-J.Newsome). FUMBLES (91-J.Newsome), RECOVERED by IND-50-J.Freeman at DEN 41. 50-J.Freeman to DEN 41 for no gain (66-M.Ramirez). [WPA -9.5% · EPA -4.35]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 25:05) — (10:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep middle to 80-C.Fleener to DEN 8 for 32 yards (30-D.Bruton). [WPA +10.0% · EPA +3.91]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 34:38) — (4:38) 4-A.Vinatieri 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee. [WPA -11.7% · EPA -3.74]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q3 23:29) — (8:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 14-H.Nicks for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.3% · EPA +3.07]

Quarterback report card

P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 49 dropbacks · 53.1% completion · -3.9% CPOE · -0.30 EPA/play · -14.47 total EPA
  • A.Luck (Indianapolis Colts) · 48 dropbacks · 56.2% completion · -0.7% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +11.14 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsDenver Broncos
Offensive EPA/play+0.025-0.143
Offensive success rate40.7%37.9%
Pass EPA/play+0.232-0.295
Rush EPA/play-0.129+0.006
Defensive EPA/play+0.143-0.025
Defensive success rate62.1%59.3%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.14), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Denver Broncos: 12 drives, -12.41 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, +2.23 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • P. Manning (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 55:04 · IND 1 · Score 0-6
    (10:04) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 88-D.Thomas for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 55:00 · IND 2 · Score 0-7
    1-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 44:19 · DEN 6 · Score 6-7
    (14:19) 36-D.Herron left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 44:14 · DEN 2 · Score 7-7
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  5. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 37:28 · DEN 3 · Score 13-7
    (7:28) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short left to 83-D.Allen for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 37:23 · DEN 2 · Score 14-7
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  7. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:07 · IND 26 · Score 14-10
    (:07) 1-C.Barth 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  8. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 23:29 · DEN 15 · Score 20-10
    (8:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short right to 14-H.Nicks for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 23:21 · DEN 2 · Score 21-10
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  10. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 13:55 · IND 23 · Score 21-13
    (13:55) 1-C.Barth 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  11. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 4:11 · DEN 12 · Score 24-13
    (4:11) 4-A.Vinatieri 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Denver Broncos 24-13 in Wild Card, 2014 on 2015-01-11.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 24, Denver Broncos 13 (IND 24-13 DEN) in Wild Card, 2014 on 2015-01-11.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 0, Denver Broncos 7; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 14, Denver Broncos 3; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 7, Denver Broncos 0; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 3, Denver Broncos 3; Final: Indianapolis Colts 24, Denver Broncos 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos?

Denver Broncos touchdown — D. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q1 55:04) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Herron (Q2 44:19) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Allen (A. Luck pass) (Q2 37:28) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — H. Nicks (A. Luck pass) (Q3 23:29) Denver Broncos field goal — C. Barth (Q2 30:07, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — C. Barth (Q4 13:55, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 4:11, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos?

P. Manning (Denver Broncos), 53.1% completion, -3.9% CPOE, -0.30 EPA per dropback, -14.47 total passing EPA. A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts), 56.2% completion, -0.7% CPOE, +0.23 EPA per dropback, +11.14 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos?

A. Luck (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +11.14 on passing plays. across 48 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.35 EPA): (11:12) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at DEN 41 for -9 yards (91-J.Newsome). FUMBLES (91-J.Newsome), RECOVERED by IND-50-J.Freeman at DEN 41. 50-J.Freeman to DEN 41 for no gain (66. The biggest win-probability swing was -11.7%.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 12-5 Now 13-5 W

Denver Broncos

Entered 12-4 Now 12-5 L