FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Wild Card · January 13, 2007 · 10 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens: 2006 Wild Card Recap

Colts defeat Ravens 15–6 in Wild Card

Malik Harrison led Fantasy Impact as Colts prevailed in a 15–6 Wild Card finish.

Indianapolis Colts 15 14–4 Winner
Final 15–6
Baltimore Ravens 6 13–4
Winner
Indianapolis Colts
Final score
15–6
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 9–3 Baltimore Ravens
Top passer
S. McNair
FantasyHQ MVP
Malik Harrison
Game date
January 13, 2007

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Malik Harrison
    Malik Harrison 4 REC · 45 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Dean Clark
    Dean Clark 2 REC · 41 YDS +3.7 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Wayne 5 REC · 51 YDS +3.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Ravens

  • M.Clayton 6 REC · 73 YDS +2.4 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Wilcox 1 REC · 15 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Jourdan Lewis
    Jourdan Lewis 3 REC · 24 YDS +1.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Indianapolis Colts defeated the Baltimore Ravens 15–6 in the Wild Card of the 2006 NFL season on 2007-01-13, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-16.1% win probability) came in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens swung the momentum.

In the Wild Card of the 2006 NFL season on 2007-01-13, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens, pulling away with a 15–6 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 6 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

S. McNair (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with -16.41 total EPA, and +1.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Harrison (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.13 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-16.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (9:21) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass short middle intended for 86-T.Heap INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND 1. 41-A.Bethea to IND 1 for no gain (38-M.Anderson).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Indianapolis Colts6333015
Baltimore Ravens030306

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Harrison · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.13 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.03 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.71 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.86 EPA/play
  3. 3 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +3.21 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Clayton · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.37 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Wilcox · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.25 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Lewis · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +0.96 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Addai · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.92 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  8. 8 O. Mughelli · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +0.60 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Harrison — IND · Receiving

M. Harrison posted the highest total EPA (+4.13) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 4 counted snaps, they averaged +1.03 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.77 EPA) came from Baltimore Ravens: (7:21) 9-S.McNair pass short right to 86-T.Heap to BAL 29 for 3 yards (25-N.Harper). Play Challenged by IND and REVERSED. 9-S.McNair pass short right to 86-T.Heap to BAL 29 for 3 yards (25-N.Harper). FUMBLES (25-N.Harper

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Field goals

  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q1 53:43)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q1 50:41)
  • Baltimore Ravens — M. Stover (Q2 45:00)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q2 33:20)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q3 25:57)
  • Baltimore Ravens — M. Stover (Q4 14:30)
  • Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 0:26)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 6–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BAL 5 (Q1 53:43) — (8:43) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BAL 23 (Q1 50:41) — (5:41) 4-A.Vinatieri 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the IND 23 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BAL 34 (Q2 33:20).

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 3–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BAL 29 (Q3 25:57) — (10:57) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the IND 33 (Q4 14:30) — (14:30) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the BAL 17 (Q4 0:26) — (:26) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Baltimore Ravens (Q2 39:21) — (9:21) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass short middle intended for 86-T.Heap INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND 1. 41-A.Bethea to IND 1 for no gain (38-M.Anderson). [WPA -16.1% · EPA -3.05]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q1 52:21) — (7:21) 9-S.McNair pass short right to 86-T.Heap to BAL 29 for 3 yards (25-N.Harper). Play Challenged by IND and REVERSED. 9-S.McNair pass short right to 86-T.Heap to BAL 29 for 3 yards (25-N.Harper). [WPA -12.9% · EPA -4.77]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 11:53) — (11:53) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass deep middle to 89-M.Clayton to IND 40 for 21 yards (21-B.Sanders). [WPA +8.6% · EPA +2.33]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 55:57) — (10:57) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne to BAL 24 for 19 yards (22-S.Rolle). [WPA +6.9% · EPA +1.51]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 47:20) — (2:20) (Punt formation) 17-H.Smith punts 39 yards to BAL 40, Center-48-J.Snow. 40-C.Ross to IND 42 for 18 yards (36-De.Reid). [WPA -6.7% · EPA -0.98]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Baltimore Ravens (Q1 52:21) — (7:21) 9-S.McNair pass short right to 86-T.Heap to BAL 29 for 3 yards (25-N.Harper). Play Challenged by IND and REVERSED. 9-S.McNair pass short right to 86-T.Heap to BAL 29 for 3 yards (25-N.Harper). [WPA -12.9% · EPA -4.77]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 10:25) — (10:25) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass deep right intended for 87-D.Williams INTERCEPTED by 25-N.Harper at IND 23. 25-N.Harper to IND 32 for 9 yards (86-T.Heap). [WPA -6.3% · EPA -3.34]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q2 39:21) — (9:21) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass short middle intended for 86-T.Heap INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND 1. 41-A.Bethea to IND 1 for no gain (38-M.Anderson). [WPA -16.1% · EPA -3.05]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 11:53) — (11:53) (Shotgun) 9-S.McNair pass deep middle to 89-M.Clayton to IND 40 for 21 yards (21-B.Sanders). [WPA +8.6% · EPA +2.33]

Quarterback report card

S.McNair led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • S.McNair (Baltimore Ravens) · 35 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · +1.8% CPOE · -0.47 EPA/play · -16.41 total EPA
  • P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 33 dropbacks · 45.5% completion · -3.6% CPOE · -0.10 EPA/play · -3.16 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatIndianapolis ColtsBaltimore Ravens
Offensive EPA/play-0.065-0.244
Offensive success rate41.5%36.6%
Pass EPA/play-0.096-0.469
Rush EPA/play-0.150-0.057
Defensive EPA/play+0.244+0.065
Defensive success rate63.4%58.5%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.07 vs -0.24), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Baltimore Ravens: 12 drives, -17.36 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, -5.30 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Harrison (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • P. Manning (IND) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 53:43 · BAL 5 · Score 3-0
    (8:43) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  2. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 50:41 · BAL 23 · Score 6-0
    (5:41) 4-A.Vinatieri 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  3. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 45:00 · IND 23 · Score 6-3
    (15:00) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  4. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 33:20 · BAL 34 · Score 9-3
    (3:20) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. Ball hits crossbar and goes over.
  5. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 25:57 · BAL 29 · Score 12-3
    (10:57) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
  6. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 14:30 · IND 33 · Score 12-6
    (14:30) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  7. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 0:26 · BAL 17 · Score 15-6
    (:26) (Field Goal formation) 4-A.Vinatieri 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Baltimore Ravens 15-6 in Wild Card, 2006 on 2007-01-13.

What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

The final score was Indianapolis Colts 15, Baltimore Ravens 6 (IND 15-6 BAL) in Wild Card, 2006 on 2007-01-13.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 6, Baltimore Ravens 0; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 3, Baltimore Ravens 3; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 3, Baltimore Ravens 0; Q4: Indianapolis Colts 3, Baltimore Ravens 3; Final: Indianapolis Colts 15, Baltimore Ravens 6.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q1 53:43, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q1 50:41, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — M. Stover (Q2 45:00, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 33:20, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q3 25:57, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — M. Stover (Q4 14:30, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 0:26, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

S. McNair (Baltimore Ravens), 51.4% completion, +1.8% CPOE, -0.47 EPA per dropback, -16.41 total passing EPA. P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 45.5% completion, -3.6% CPOE, -0.10 EPA per dropback, -3.16 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Indianapolis Colts vs Baltimore Ravens?

M. Harrison (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +4.13 on receiving plays. across 4 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.77 EPA): (7:21) 9-S.McNair pass short right to 86-T.Heap to BAL 29 for 3 yards (25-N.Harper). Play Challenged by IND and REVERSED. 9-S.McNair pass short right to 86-T.Heap to BAL 29 for 3 y. The biggest win-probability swing was -16.1%.

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 13-4 Now 14-4 W

Baltimore Ravens

Entered 13-3 Now 13-4 L