FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Divisional · January 20, 2024 · 12 min read

Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2023 Divisional Recap

49ers defeat Packers 24–21 in Divisional

George Kittle led Fantasy Impact as 49ers prevailed in a 21–24 Divisional finish.

Green Bay Packers 21 10–9
Final 21–24
San Francisco 49ers 24 13–5 Winner
Winner
San Francisco 49ers
Final score
21–24
Halftime
Green Bay Packers 6–7 San Francisco 49ers
Top passer
Brock Purdy
FantasyHQ MVP
George Kittle
Game date
January 20, 2024

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Julian Love
    Julian Love 21/40 · 199 YDS · 2 TD +6.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Romeo Doubs
    Romeo Doubs 4 REC · 83 YDS +6.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Andre Jones Jr.
    Andre Jones Jr. 18 CAR · 108 YDS +2.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · 49ers

  • George Kittle
    George Kittle 4 REC · 81 YDS · 1 TD +6.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Brock Purdy
    Brock Purdy 23/41 · 255 YDS · 1 TD +6.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Jauan Jennings
    Jauan Jennings 5 REC · 61 YDS +4.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The San Francisco 49ers defeated the Green Bay Packers 24–21 in the Divisional of the 2023 NFL season on 2024-01-20, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-25.3% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Green Bay Packers swung the momentum.

In the Divisional of the 2023 NFL season on 2024-01-20, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 24–21 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Purdy (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with +6.52 total EPA, and -4.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, G. Kittle (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.58 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-25.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (:52) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle intended for 9-C.Watson INTERCEPTED by 57-D.Greenlaw [97-N.Bosa] at SF 42. 57-D.Greenlaw to GB 40 for 18 yards (11-J.Reed).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Green Bay Packers33150021
San Francisco 49ers07710024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 G. Kittle · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +6.58 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
  2. 2 B. Purdy · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +6.52 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Love · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +6.50 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
  4. 4 R. Doubs · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.44 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Jennings · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.47 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. McCaffrey · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +4.43 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.73 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  8. 8 B. Melton · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.44 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.44 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

G. Kittle — SF · Receiving

G. Kittle posted the highest total EPA (+6.58) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on San Francisco 49ers's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +0.94 EPA per play.

The signature play (+4.57 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (9:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep middle to 80-B.Melton. PENALTY on SF-20-A.Thomas, Defensive Pass Interference, 41 yards, enforced at GB 40 - No Play.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • San Francisco 49ers — G. Kittle (B. Purdy pass) (Q2 38:48)
  • Green Bay Packers — B. Melton (J. Love pass) (Q3 24:33)
  • San Francisco 49ers — C. McCaffrey (Q3 22:47)
  • Green Bay Packers — T. Kraft (J. Love pass) (Q3 20:26)
  • San Francisco 49ers — C. McCaffrey (Q4 1:11)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson (Q1 52:26)
  • Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson (Q2 34:13)
  • San Francisco 49ers — J. Moody (Q4 15:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 3–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 11 (Q1 52:26) — (7:26) 17-A.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 32 (Q2 38:48) — (8:48) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep right to 85-G.Kittle for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 38:42) — 4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 11 (Q2 34:13) — (4:13) 17-A.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 15–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 19 (Q3 24:33) — (9:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 80-B.Melton for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q3 24:27) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 39 (Q3 22:47) — (7:47) 23-C.McCaffrey right guard for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 22:39) — 4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 2 (Q3 20:26) — (5:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 85-T.Kraft for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers registered a safety from the SF 2 (Q3 20:23) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-J.Love pass to 33-A.Jones is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 34 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 4-J.Moody 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 6 (Q4 1:11) — (1:11) 23-C.McCaffrey right guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 1:07) — 4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 0:52) — (:52) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle intended for 9-C.Watson INTERCEPTED by 57-D.Greenlaw [97-N.Bosa] at SF 42. 57-D.Greenlaw to GB 40 for 18 yards (11-J.Reed). [WPA -25.3% · EPA -3.24]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 24:40) — (9:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep middle to 80-B.Melton. PENALTY on SF-20-A.Thomas, Defensive Pass Interference, 41 yards, enforced at GB 40 - No Play. [WPA +19.1% · EPA +4.57]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q3 22:47) — (7:47) 23-C.McCaffrey right guard for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.2% · EPA +3.33]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 6:21) — (6:21) 17-A.Carlson 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. [WPA -16.0% · EPA -3.70]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 22:39) — 4-J.Moody kicks 65 yards from SF 35 to GB 0. 25-K.Nixon to SF 27 for 73 yards (45-D.Flannigan-Fowles). FUMBLES (45-D.Flannigan-Fowles), recovered by GB-45-Er.Wilson at SF 20. [WPA +14.2% · EPA +3.67]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 24:40) — (9:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep middle to 80-B.Melton. PENALTY on SF-20-A.Thomas, Defensive Pass Interference, 41 yards, enforced at GB 40 - No Play. [WPA +19.1% · EPA +4.57]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q2 38:48) — (8:48) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep right to 85-G.Kittle for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.9% · EPA +4.06]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 17:18) — (2:18) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short middle intended for 85-T.Kraft INTERCEPTED by 57-D.Greenlaw at SF 45. 57-D.Greenlaw to GB 48 for 7 yards (27-P.Taylor). [WPA -8.7% · EPA -3.79]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q2 44:40) — (14:40) (No Huddle) 10-J.Love up the middle to SF 14 for no gain (57-D.Greenlaw; 91-A.Armstead). [WPA -8.5% · EPA -3.76]

Quarterback report card

B.Purdy led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Purdy (San Francisco 49ers) · 41 dropbacks · 56.1% completion · -4.8% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +6.52 total EPA
  • J.Love (Green Bay Packers) · 40 dropbacks · 52.5% completion · -1.5% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +6.50 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatGreen Bay PackersSan Francisco 49ers
Offensive EPA/play+0.070+0.082
Offensive success rate45.6%43.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.162+0.159
Rush EPA/play-0.066+0.187
Defensive EPA/play-0.082-0.070
Defensive success rate56.2%54.4%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Green Bay Packers +0.07, San Francisco 49ers +0.08) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, +5.52 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • San Francisco 49ers: 10 drives, +6.53 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • G. Kittle (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Purdy (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 52:26 · SF 11 · Score 3-0
    (7:26) 17-A.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  2. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 38:48 · GB 32 · Score 3-6
    (8:48) (Shotgun) 13-B.Purdy pass deep right to 85-G.Kittle for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 38:42 · GB 15 · Score 3-7
    4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.
  4. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 34:13 · SF 11 · Score 6-7
    (4:13) 17-A.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 24:33 · SF 19 · Score 12-7
    (9:33) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 80-B.Melton for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 24:27 · SF 15 · Score 13-7
    17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  7. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 22:47 · GB 39 · Score 13-13
    (7:47) 23-C.McCaffrey right guard for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 22:39 · GB 15 · Score 13-14
    4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.
  9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 20:26 · SF 2 · Score 19-14
    (5:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 85-T.Kraft for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Green Bay Packers Safety (+2) — Q3 20:23 · SF 2 · Score 21-14
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-J.Love pass to 33-A.Jones is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  11. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 15:00 · GB 34 · Score 21-17
    (15:00) 4-J.Moody 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.
  12. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 1:11 · GB 6 · Score 21-23
    (1:11) 23-C.McCaffrey right guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 1:07 · GB 15 · Score 21-24
    4-J.Moody extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-18-M.Wishnowsky.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers?

The San Francisco 49ers beat the Green Bay Packers 24-21 in Divisional, 2023 on 2024-01-20.

What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers?

The final score was Green Bay Packers 21, San Francisco 49ers 24 (GB 21-24 SF) in Divisional, 2023 on 2024-01-20.

What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers?

Q1: Green Bay Packers 3, San Francisco 49ers 0; Q2: Green Bay Packers 3, San Francisco 49ers 7; Q3: Green Bay Packers 15, San Francisco 49ers 7; Q4: Green Bay Packers 0, San Francisco 49ers 10; Final: Green Bay Packers 21, San Francisco 49ers 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers?

San Francisco 49ers touchdown — G. Kittle (B. Purdy pass) (Q2 38:48) Green Bay Packers touchdown — B. Melton (J. Love pass) (Q3 24:33) San Francisco 49ers touchdown — C. McCaffrey (Q3 22:47) Green Bay Packers touchdown — T. Kraft (J. Love pass) (Q3 20:26) San Francisco 49ers touchdown — C. McCaffrey (Q4 1:11) Green Bay Packers field goal — A. Carlson (Q1 52:26, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — A. Carlson (Q2 34:13, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — J. Moody (Q4 15:00, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers?

B. Purdy (San Francisco 49ers), 56.1% completion, -4.8% CPOE, +0.16 EPA per dropback, +6.52 total passing EPA. J. Love (Green Bay Packers), 52.5% completion, -1.5% CPOE, +0.16 EPA per dropback, +6.50 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers?

G. Kittle (San Francisco 49ers) led the game in total EPA with +6.58 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+4.57 EPA): (9:40) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete deep middle to 80-B.Melton. PENALTY on SF-20-A.Thomas, Defensive Pass Interference, 41 yards, enforced at GB 40 - No Play.. The biggest win-probability swing was -25.3%.

Was Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. San Francisco 49ers won 24-21 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Green Bay Packers

Entered 10-8 Now 10-9 L

San Francisco 49ers

Entered 12-5 Now 13-5 W