Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks: 2014 Divisional Recap

Game story

In the Divisional of the 2014 NFL season on 2015-01-18, the Seattle Seahawks took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 28–22 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with -5.31 total EPA, and -5.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Baldwin (Seattle Seahawks) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+34.7% win probability) landed in overtime when Seattle Seahawks changed the game: (12:36) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 89-D.Baldwin to GB 35 for 35 yards (29-C.Hayward).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Baldwin · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +5.55 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Lynch · Seattle Seahawks · Rushing · +4.90 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Ryan · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +4.43 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.43 EPA/play
4. 4 G. Gilliam · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +4.43 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.43 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Lockette · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +3.61 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.80 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.04 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.33 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Wilson · Seattle Seahawks · Rushing · +1.11 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 45:06)
• Seattle Seahawks — G. Gilliam (J. Ryan pass) (Q3 19:50)
• Seattle Seahawks — R. Wilson (Q4 2:13)
• Seattle Seahawks — M. Lynch (Q4 1:33)
• Seattle Seahawks — J. Kearse (R. Wilson pass) (OT 11:49)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q1 53:10)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q1 50:10)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 39:42)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 10:58)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 0:19)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 13–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SEA 1 (Q1 53:10) — (8:10) 2-M.Crosby 18 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SEA 1 (Q1 50:10) — (5:10) 2-M.Crosby 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SEA 13 (Q1 45:06); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SEA 2 (Q1 45:00) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 3–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SEA 22 (Q2 39:42) — (9:42) 2-M.Crosby 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The third quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 7–0. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the GB 19 (Q3 19:50) — (4:50) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Ryan pass deep left to 79-G.Gilliam for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q3 19:44) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The fourth quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 15–6. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SEA 30 (Q4 10:58) — (10:58) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q4 2:13) — (2:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q4 2:09) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the GB 24 (Q4 1:33) — (1:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-M.Lynch left tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks registered a safety from the GB 2 (Q4 1:25) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-R.Wilson pass to 82-L.Willson is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SEA 30 (Q4 0:19) — (:19) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

Overtime: Seattle Seahawks won the period 6–0. Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the GB 35 (OT 11:49) — (11:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 15-J.Kearse for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Seattle Seahawks (OT 12:36) — (12:36) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 89-D.Baldwin to GB 35 for 35 yards (29-C.Hayward). [WPA +34.7% · EPA +3.27]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:09) — (Onside Kick formation) 4-S.Hauschka kicks onside 15 yards from SEA 35 to 50, impetus ends at SEA 48. RECOVERED by SEA-13-C.Matthews. [WPA -18.9% · EPA -3.15]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q4 1:33) — (1:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-M.Lynch left tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.1% · EPA +3.20]
• Seattle Seahawks (OT 11:49) — (11:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 15-J.Kearse for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.1% · EPA +3.38]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 0:19) — (:19) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. [WPA +16.4% · EPA +1.00]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q2 38:29) — (8:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left intended for 18-R.Cobb INTERCEPTED by 41-B.Maxwell at SEA 26. 41-B.Maxwell to SEA 31 for 5 yards (18-R.Cobb). [WPA -2.8% · EPA -5.39]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q1 53:07) — 2-M.Crosby kicks 71 yards from GB 35 to SEA -6. 89-D.Baldwin to SEA 22 for 28 yards (59-B.Jones). FUMBLES (59-B.Jones), RECOVERED by GB-42-M.Burnett at SEA 23. 42-M.Burnett to SEA 23 for no gain (89-D [WPA -12.3% · EPA -5.23]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q4 5:13) — (5:13) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle intended for 15-J.Kearse INTERCEPTED by 42-M.Burnett at GB 39. 42-M.Burnett to GB 43 for 4 yards. Went down on his own. [WPA -3.0% · EPA -4.57]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q3 19:50) — (4:50) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Ryan pass deep left to 79-G.Gilliam for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.8% · EPA +4.43]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 40 dropbacks · 47.5% completion · -5.2% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -5.31 total EPA
• R.Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) · 38 dropbacks · 36.8% completion · -8.6% CPOE · -0.28 EPA/play · -10.58 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Green Bay Packers -0.15, Seattle Seahawks -0.13) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Green Bay Packers: 14 drives, -12.97 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Seattle Seahawks: 16 drives, -11.36 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Seattle Seahawks leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Baldwin (Seattle Seahawks) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• R. Wilson (SEA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 53:10 · SEA 1 · Score 3-0
   (8:10) 2-M.Crosby 18 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
2. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 50:10 · SEA 1 · Score 6-0
   (5:10) 2-M.Crosby 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 45:06 · SEA 13 · Score 12-0
   (:06) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-O.Schofield]. Penalty on SEA-72-M.Bennett, Defensive Offside, declined.
4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 45:00 · SEA 2 · Score 13-0
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
5. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 39:42 · SEA 22 · Score 16-0
   (9:42) 2-M.Crosby 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
6. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q3 19:50 · GB 19 · Score 16-6
   (4:50) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Ryan pass deep left to 79-G.Gilliam for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q3 19:44 · GB 2 · Score 16-7
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
8. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 10:58 · SEA 30 · Score 19-7
   (10:58) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
9. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 2:13 · GB 1 · Score 19-13
   (2:13) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 2:09 · GB 2 · Score 19-14
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-49-C.Gresham, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
11. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 1:33 · GB 24 · Score 19-20
    (1:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-M.Lynch left tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Seattle Seahawks Safety (+2) — Q4 1:25 · GB 2 · Score 19-22
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-R.Wilson pass to 82-L.Willson is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
13. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 0:19 · SEA 30 · Score 22-22
    (:19) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
14. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — OT 11:49 · GB 35 · Score 22-28
    (11:49) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 15-J.Kearse for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.