Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2010 Wild Card Recap

Game story

In the Wild Card of the 2010 NFL season on 2011-01-15, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 48–21 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 35 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +30.36 total EPA, and +18.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +30.36 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+17.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: 2-M.Crosby kicks 72 yards from GB 30 to ATL -2. 14-E.Weems for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +30.36 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +11.11 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +8.53 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.13 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Driver · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.20 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
5. 5 G. Jennings · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.89 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Kuhn · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.86 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Finneran · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.50 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
8. 8 O. Mughelli · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +1.41 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.41 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner (Q1 50:07)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 42:10)
• Atlanta Falcons — E. Weems (Q2 42:04)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Kuhn (Q2 36:10)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:48)
• Green Bay Packers — T. Williams (Q2 30:10)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Rodgers (Q3 23:42)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Kuhn (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 17:49)
• Atlanta Falcons — R. White (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 14:25)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 6:34)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 1:59)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 12 (Q1 50:07) — (5:07) 33-M.Turner right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 50:00) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 28–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 6 (Q2 42:10) — (12:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 87-J.Nelson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 42:04) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 30 (Q2 42:04) — 2-M.Crosby kicks 72 yards from GB 30 to ATL -2. 14-E.Weems for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 41:50) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q2 36:10) — (6:10) 30-J.Kuhn right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 36:06) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 20 (Q2 30:48) — (:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 30:42) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the GB 35 (Q2 30:10); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 30:00) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 7 (Q3 23:42) — (8:42) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles right end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 23:28) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 7 (Q3 17:49) — (2:49) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 30-J.Kuhn for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 17:41) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–6. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 6 (Q4 14:25) — (14:25) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 84-R.White for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q4 14:21) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 25 (Q4 6:34) — (6:34) 2-M.Crosby 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 14 (Q4 1:59) — (1:59) 2-M.Crosby 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 42:04) — 2-M.Crosby kicks 72 yards from GB 30 to ATL -2. 14-E.Weems for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.2% · EPA +5.93]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 30:10) — (:10) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Williams at GB 30. 38-T.Williams for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -16.6% · EPA -8.37]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:48) — (:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.00]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q1 53:15) — (8:15) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 12-M.Jenkins ran ob at GB 22 for 22 yards. [WPA +8.9% · EPA +1.81]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 45:09) — (:09) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 85-G.Jennings to ATL 23 for 18 yards (21-C.Owens) [71-K.Biermann]. [WPA +8.2% · EPA +2.57]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 30:10) — (:10) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Williams at GB 30. 38-T.Williams for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -16.6% · EPA -8.37]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 42:04) — 2-M.Crosby kicks 72 yards from GB 30 to ATL -2. 14-E.Weems for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +17.2% · EPA +5.93]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 11:43) — (11:43) 2-M.Ryan FUMBLES (Aborted) at ATL 45, RECOVERED by GB-52-C.Matthews at ATL 44. [WPA -1.2% · EPA -4.81]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 13:02) — (13:02) 2-M.Crosby 50 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. [WPA -1.2% · EPA -3.87]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 43 dropbacks · 72.1% completion · +18.9% CPOE · +0.71 EPA/play · +30.36 total EPA
• M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 40 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +5.6% CPOE · -0.23 EPA/play · -9.40 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.29 vs -0.11), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, -7.69 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 11 drives, +25.19 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 50:07 · GB 12 · Score 0-6
   (5:07) 33-M.Turner right tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 50:00 · GB 2 · Score 0-7
   3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 42:10 · ATL 6 · Score 6-7
   (12:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 87-J.Nelson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 42:04 · ATL 2 · Score 7-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
5. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 42:04 · GB 30 · Score 7-13
   2-M.Crosby kicks 72 yards from GB 30 to ATL -2. 14-E.Weems for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 41:50 · GB 2 · Score 7-14
   3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
7. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 36:10 · ATL 1 · Score 13-14
   (6:10) 30-J.Kuhn right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 36:06 · ATL 2 · Score 14-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 30:48 · ATL 20 · Score 20-14
   (:48) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 89-J.Jones for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 30:42 · ATL 2 · Score 21-14
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
11. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 30:10 · GB 35 · Score 27-14
    (:10) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Williams at GB 30. 38-T.Williams for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 30:00 · ATL 2 · Score 28-14
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
13. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 23:42 · ATL 7 · Score 34-14
    (8:42) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles right end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 23:28 · ATL 2 · Score 35-14
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
15. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 17:49 · ATL 7 · Score 41-14
    (2:49) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 30-J.Kuhn for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 17:41 · ATL 2 · Score 42-14
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
17. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 14:25 · GB 6 · Score 42-20
    (14:25) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 84-R.White for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 14:21 · GB 2 · Score 42-21
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
19. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 6:34 · ATL 25 · Score 45-21
    (6:34) 2-M.Crosby 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
20. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 1:59 · ATL 14 · Score 48-21
    (1:59) 2-M.Crosby 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.