FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 10 · November 11, 2018 · 9 min read

Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2018 Week 10 Recap

Commanders defeat Buccaneers 16–3 in Week 10

Chris Godwin led Fantasy Impact as Commanders prevailed in a 16–3 Week 10 finish.

Washington Commanders 16 6–3 Winner
Final 16–3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 3–6
Winner
Washington Commanders
Final score
16–3
Halftime
Washington Commanders 6–3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
R. Fitzpatrick
FantasyHQ MVP
Chris Godwin
Game date
November 11, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Commanders

  • J.Doctson 4 REC · 46 YDS · 1 TD +5.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Arian Smith
    Arian Smith 19/32 · 179 YDS · 1 TD +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Marcus Harris
    Marcus Harris 5 REC · 52 YDS +3.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Chris Godwin
    Chris Godwin 7 REC · 103 YDS +6.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Drake Jackson
    Drake Jackson 5 REC · 67 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Adam Humphries
    Adam Humphries 2 REC · 53 YDS +3.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Washington Commanders defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16–3 in Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-11, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-15.5% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-11, the Washington Commanders took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 16–3 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Fitzpatrick (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -3.00 total EPA, and +6.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.24 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.5% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (10:44) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left intended for 38-S.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Norman [98-M.Ioannidis] at WAS 0. 24-J.Norman to WAS 32 for 32 yards (12-C.Godwin).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Washington Commanders33100016
Tampa Bay Buccaneers030003

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.24 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Doctson · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +5.72 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Smith · Washington Commanders · Passing · +3.81 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Harris · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +3.70 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.46 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
  6. 6 K. Bibbs · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +3.20 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Humphries · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.17 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.62 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

C. Godwin — TB · Receiving

C. Godwin posted the highest total EPA (+6.24) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +0.89 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.61 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (14:07) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 80-O.Howard INTERCEPTED by 37-G.Stroman at TB 37. 37-G.Stroman to TB 14 for 23 yards (38-S.Wilson).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Washington Commanders — J. Doctson (A. Smith pass) (Q4 14:16)

Field goals

  • Washington Commanders — D. Hopkins (Q1 45:14)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Catanzaro (Q2 32:06)
  • Washington Commanders — D. Hopkins (Q2 30:24)
  • Washington Commanders — D. Hopkins (Q4 12:06)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 3–0. Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the TB 25 (Q1 45:14) — (:14) 3-D.Hopkins 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the WAS 15 (Q2 32:06) — (2:06) 7-C.Catanzaro 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the TB 25 (Q2 30:24) — (:24) 3-D.Hopkins 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way..

The fourth quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 10–0. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the TB 6 (Q4 14:16) — (14:16) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 18-J.Doctson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 14:07) — 3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.; Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the TB 8 (Q4 12:06) — (12:06) 3-D.Hopkins 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 55:44) — (10:44) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left intended for 38-S.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Norman [98-M.Ioannidis] at WAS 0. 24-J.Norman to WAS 32 for 32 yards (12-C.Godwin). [WPA -15.5% · EPA -5.88]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 19:55) — (4:55) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick Aborted. 66-R.Jensen FUMBLES at WAS 30, recovered by TB-14-R.Fitzpatrick at WAS 30. 14-R.Fitzpatrick to WAS 30 for no gain (58-C.McKinzy). [WPA -11.2% · EPA -2.62]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 38:35) — (8:35) 7-C.Catanzaro 30 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger. [WPA -11.1% · EPA -3.31]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 14:07) — (14:07) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 80-O.Howard INTERCEPTED by 37-G.Stroman at TB 37. 37-G.Stroman to TB 14 for 23 yards (38-S.Wilson). [WPA -10.4% · EPA -6.61]
  • Washington Commanders (Q3 17:33) — (2:33) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right to 13-M.Harris to TB 26 for 20 yards (21-J.Evans). [WPA +9.7% · EPA +2.93]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 14:07) — (14:07) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 80-O.Howard INTERCEPTED by 37-G.Stroman at TB 37. 37-G.Stroman to TB 14 for 23 yards (38-S.Wilson). [WPA -10.4% · EPA -6.61]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 55:44) — (10:44) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left intended for 38-S.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Norman [98-M.Ioannidis] at WAS 0. 24-J.Norman to WAS 32 for 32 yards (12-C.Godwin). [WPA -15.5% · EPA -5.88]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:36) — (3:36) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick sacked at WAS 7 for -5 yards (94-P.Smith). FUMBLES (94-P.Smith) [94-P.Smith], RECOVERED by WAS-91-R.Kerrigan at WAS 7. 91-R.Kerrigan to WAS 7 for no gain (76-D.Smith) [WPA -6.8% · EPA -5.60]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 10:56) — (10:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 32-J.Rodgers to WAS 19 for 9 yards (53-Z.Brown). FUMBLES (53-Z.Brown), RECOVERED by WAS-20-H.Clinton-Dix at WAS 0. Touchback (66-R.Je [WPA -7.5% · EPA -4.44]

Quarterback report card

R.Fitzpatrick led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • R.Fitzpatrick (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 50 dropbacks · 58.0% completion · +6.8% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -3.00 total EPA
  • A.Smith (Washington Commanders) · 32 dropbacks · 59.4% completion · +7.1% CPOE · +0.12 EPA/play · +3.81 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatWashington CommandersTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.052-0.173
Offensive success rate48.6%45.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.119-0.060
Rush EPA/play-0.023-0.254
Defensive EPA/play+0.173-0.052
Defensive success rate54.3%51.4%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Washington Commanders generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.05 vs -0.17), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, -14.05 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
  • Washington Commanders: 9 drives, +3.74 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Washington Commanders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • C. Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • R. Fitzpatrick (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • A. Smith (WAS) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q1 45:14 · TB 25 · Score 3-0
    (:14) 3-D.Hopkins 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 32:06 · WAS 15 · Score 3-3
    (2:06) 7-C.Catanzaro 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  3. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q2 30:24 · TB 25 · Score 6-3
    (:24) 3-D.Hopkins 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  4. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q4 14:16 · TB 6 · Score 12-3
    (14:16) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 18-J.Doctson for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q4 14:07 · TB 15 · Score 13-3
    3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  6. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q4 12:06 · TB 8 · Score 16-3
    (12:06) 3-D.Hopkins 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Washington Commanders beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-3 in Week 10, 2018 on 2018-11-11.

What was the final score of Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Washington Commanders 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 (WAS 16-3 TB) in Week 10, 2018 on 2018-11-11.

What was the score by quarter in Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Washington Commanders 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q2: Washington Commanders 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q4: Washington Commanders 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Final: Washington Commanders 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Washington Commanders touchdown — J. Doctson (A. Smith pass) (Q4 14:16) Washington Commanders field goal — D. Hopkins (Q1 45:14, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Catanzaro (Q2 32:06, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — D. Hopkins (Q2 30:24, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — D. Hopkins (Q4 12:06, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

R. Fitzpatrick (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 58.0% completion, +6.8% CPOE, -0.06 EPA per dropback, -3.00 total passing EPA. A. Smith (Washington Commanders), 59.4% completion, +7.1% CPOE, +0.12 EPA per dropback, +3.81 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

C. Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +6.24 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.61 EPA): (14:07) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 80-O.Howard INTERCEPTED by 37-G.Stroman at TB 37. 37-G.Stroman to TB 14 for 23 yards (38-S.Wilson).. The biggest win-probability swing was -15.5%.

Season records after this game

Washington Commanders

Entered 5-3 Now 6-3 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 3-5 Now 3-6 L