Game story
In Week 18 of the 2022 NFL season on 2023-01-07, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Tennessee Titans, pulling away with a 20–16 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Dobbs (Tennessee Titans) paced the passing game, with -0.80 total EPA, and +10.3% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, C. Kirk (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.51 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-47.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tennessee Titans changed the game: (3:01) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs sacked at TEN 27 for -8 yards (2-R.Jenkins). FUMBLES (2-R.Jenkins) [2-R.Jenkins], RECOVERED by JAX-41-J.Allen at TEN 37. 41-J.Allen for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 20 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 C. Kirk · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +8.51 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
- 2 A. Hooper · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +7.07 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.77 EPA/play
- 3 R. Woods · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +5.37 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
- 4 T. Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +4.83 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
- 5 C. Okonkwo · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +4.71 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.18 EPA/play
- 6 T. Etienne · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.50 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
- 7 E. Engram · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.62 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
- 8 D. Henry · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +1.28 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.28 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
C. Kirk — JAX · Receiving
C. Kirk posted the highest total EPA (+8.51) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Jacksonville Jaguars's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +1.06 EPA per play.
The signature play (-7.52 EPA) came from Tennessee Titans: (3:01) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs sacked at TEN 27 for -8 yards (2-R.Jenkins). FUMBLES (2-R.Jenkins) [2-R.Jenkins], RECOVERED by JAX-41-J.Allen at TEN 37. 41-J.Allen for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Tennessee Titans — C. Okonkwo (J. Dobbs pass)
- Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Kirk (T. Lawrence pass)
- Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Allen
Field goals
- Tennessee Titans — R. Bullock
- Tennessee Titans — R. Bullock
- Tennessee Titans — unlisted player
- Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Patterson
- Tennessee Titans — R. Bullock
- Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Patterson
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 3–0. Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the JAX 33 (Q1 46:26) — (1:26) 14-R.Bullock 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse..
The second quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 13–7. Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the JAX 21 (Q2 35:39) — (5:39) 11-J.Dobbs pass deep left to 85-C.Okonkwo for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN [44-T.Walker].; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 35:32) — 14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the TEN 25 (Q2 32:43) — (2:43) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 13-C.Kirk for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q2 32:36) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the JAX 21 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 14-R.Bullock 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal (Q2 30:00) — END QUARTER 2.
The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the TEN 8 (Q3 25:14) — (10:14) 10-R.Patterson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the JAX 23 (Q3 21:07) — (6:07) 14-R.Bullock 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse..
The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the TEN 18 (Q4 14:54) — (14:54) 10-R.Patterson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the JAX 65 (Q4 3:01); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q4 2:51) — 10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tennessee Titans (Q4 3:01) — (3:01) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs sacked at TEN 27 for -8 yards (2-R.Jenkins). FUMBLES (2-R.Jenkins) [2-R.Jenkins], RECOVERED by JAX-41-J.Allen at TEN 37. 41-J.Allen for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 39:30) — (9:30) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence FUMBLES (Aborted) at TEN 29, RECOVERED by TEN-99-R.Weaver at TEN 31.
- Tennessee Titans (Q4 1:37) — (1:37) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs pass short right to 25-H.Haskins to JAX 44 for 9 yards (23-F.Oluokun).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 41:37) — (11:37) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 13-C.Kirk to TEN 35 for 16 yards (37-A.Hooker).
- Tennessee Titans (Q3 15:53) — (:53) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs pass deep left intended for 16-T.Burks INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Campbell at JAX 46. 32-T.Campbell to TEN 25 for 29 yards (62-C.Levin).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tennessee Titans (Q4 3:01) — (3:01) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs sacked at TEN 27 for -8 yards (2-R.Jenkins). FUMBLES (2-R.Jenkins) [2-R.Jenkins], RECOVERED by JAX-41-J.Allen at TEN 37. 41-J.Allen for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 39:30) — (9:30) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence FUMBLES (Aborted) at TEN 29, RECOVERED by TEN-99-R.Weaver at TEN 31.
- Tennessee Titans (Q1 51:34) — (6:34) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs pass short right to 81-A.Hooper pushed ob at JAX 41 for 7 yards (2-R.Jenkins).
- Tennessee Titans (Q1 48:59) — (3:59) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs pass short left to 2-R.Woods pushed ob at JAX 25 for 9 yards (2-R.Jenkins).
Quarterback report card
J.Dobbs led all passers in efficiency for Tennessee Titans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Dobbs (Tennessee Titans) · 36 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · +10.3% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -0.80 total EPA
- T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 34 dropbacks · 58.8% completion · +3.8% CPOE · +0.14 EPA/play · +4.83 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tennessee Titans | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.067 | -0.042 |
| Offensive success rate | 44.9% | 46.2% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.002 | +0.142 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.225 | -0.761 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.042 | +0.067 |
| Defensive success rate | 53.8% | 55.1% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tennessee Titans -0.07, Jacksonville Jaguars -0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, -2.72 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
- Tennessee Titans: 10 drives, -6.00 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- C. Kirk (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Dobbs (TEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- T. Lawrence (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q1 46:26 · JAX 33 · Score 3-0
(1:26) 14-R.Bullock 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse. - Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 35:39 · JAX 21 · Score 9-0
(5:39) 11-J.Dobbs pass deep left to 85-C.Okonkwo for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN [44-T.Walker]. - Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 35:32 · JAX 15 · Score 10-0
14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 32:43 · TEN 25 · Score 10-6
(2:43) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 13-C.Kirk for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 32:36 · TEN 15 · Score 10-7
10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. - Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · JAX 21 · Score 13-7
(:03) 14-R.Bullock 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse. - Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q2 30:00 · Score 13-7
END QUARTER 2 - Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 25:14 · TEN 8 · Score 13-10
(10:14) 10-R.Patterson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. - Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q3 21:07 · JAX 23 · Score 16-10
(6:07) 14-R.Bullock 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-R.Stonehouse. - Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 14:54 · TEN 18 · Score 16-13
(14:54) 10-R.Patterson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 3:01 · JAX 65 · Score 16-19
(3:01) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs sacked at TEN 27 for -8 yards (2-R.Jenkins). FUMBLES (2-R.Jenkins) [2-R.Jenkins], RECOVERED by JAX-41-J.Allen at TEN 37. 41-J.Allen - Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 2:51 · TEN 15 · Score 16-20
10-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Tennessee Titans 20-16 in Week 18, 2022 on 2023-01-07.
What was the final score of Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The final score was Tennessee Titans 16, Jacksonville Jaguars 20 (TEN 16-20 JAX) in Week 18, 2022 on 2023-01-07.
What was the score by quarter in Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Q1: Tennessee Titans 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q2: Tennessee Titans 13, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q3: Tennessee Titans 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q4: Tennessee Titans 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 10; Final: Tennessee Titans 16, Jacksonville Jaguars 20.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Tennessee Titans touchdown — C. Okonkwo (J. Dobbs pass) (Q2 35:39) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — C. Kirk (T. Lawrence pass) (Q2 32:43) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — J. Allen (Q4 3:01) Tennessee Titans field goal — R. Bullock (Q1 46:26, 3 pts) Tennessee Titans field goal — R. Bullock (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Tennessee Titans field goal — unlisted player (Q2 30:00, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — R. Patterson (Q3 25:14, 3 pts) Tennessee Titans field goal — R. Bullock (Q3 21:07, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — R. Patterson (Q4 14:54, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
J. Dobbs (Tennessee Titans), 55.6% completion, +10.3% CPOE, -0.02 EPA per dropback, -0.80 total passing EPA. T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 58.8% completion, +3.8% CPOE, +0.14 EPA per dropback, +4.83 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
C. Kirk (Jacksonville Jaguars) led the game in total EPA with +8.51 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.52 EPA): (3:01) (Shotgun) 11-J.Dobbs sacked at TEN 27 for -8 yards (2-R.Jenkins). FUMBLES (2-R.Jenkins) [2-R.Jenkins], RECOVERED by JAX-41-J.Allen at TEN 37. 41-J.Allen for 37 yards, TOUCHD. The biggest win-probability swing was -47.7%.
Was Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars a close game?
Yes — the margin was 4 points. Jacksonville Jaguars won 20-16 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
Tennessee Titans
Entered 7-9 Now 7-10 L
Jacksonville Jaguars
Entered 8-8 Now 9-8 W
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