Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2012 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-25, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Tennessee Titans, pulling away with a 24–19 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Locker (Tennessee Titans) paced the passing game, with +6.21 total EPA, and -0.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Locker (Tennessee Titans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.21 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+19.6% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (8:49) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Locker · Tennessee Titans · Passing · +6.21 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Blackmon · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.73 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Johnson · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +4.09 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.36 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Shorts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.39 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Lewis · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.11 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Williams · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +2.39 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Stevens · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +2.16 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.16 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Shipley · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.37 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — R. Jennings (Q1 45:16)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Shorts (C. Henne pass) (Q3 23:49)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Blackmon (C. Henne pass) (Q4 6:57)
• Tennessee Titans — K. Britt (J. Locker pass) (Q4 4:57)

Field goals

• Tennessee Titans — R. Bironas (Q1 58:36)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Bironas (Q2 30:15)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Bironas (Q3 18:34)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Bironas (Q4 10:09)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q4 0:29)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the JAX 20 (Q1 58:36) — (13:36) 2-R.Bironas 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the TEN 1 (Q1 45:16) — (:16) 23-R.Jennings up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the TEN 2 (Q1 45:12) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger..

The second quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 3–0. Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the JAX 22 (Q2 30:15) — (:15) 2-R.Bironas 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the TEN 59 (Q3 23:49) — (8:49) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the TEN 2 (Q3 23:40) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the JAX 21 (Q3 18:34) — (3:34) 2-R.Bironas 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 10–10. Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the JAX 15 (Q4 10:09) — (10:09) 2-R.Bironas 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the TEN 7 (Q4 6:57) — (6:57) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short middle to 14-J.Blackmon for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the TEN 2 (Q4 6:50) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the JAX 6 (Q4 4:57) — (4:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker pass short left to 18-K.Britt for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 4:52) — 2-R.Bironas extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the TEN 23 (Q4 0:29) — (:29) 10-J.Scobee 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 23:49) — (8:49) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.6% · EPA +5.87]
• Tennessee Titans (Q4 2:53) — (2:53) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker pass deep middle intended for 89-J.Cook INTERCEPTED by 25-D.Lowery (50-R.Allen) at JAX 43. 25-D.Lowery to TEN 36 for 21 yards (10-J.Locker). [WPA -19.5% · EPA -3.71]
• Tennessee Titans (Q2 39:34) — (9:34) 2-R.Bironas 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern. [WPA -11.4% · EPA -3.43]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 8:43) — (8:43) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short right to 84-C.Shorts to TEN 46 for 23 yards (24-C.Sensabaugh) [33-M.Griffin]. PENALTY on TEN-33-M.Griffin, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at TEN 46. [WPA +10.0% · EPA +3.13]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-A.Verner (94-S.Marks) at JAX 28. 20-A.Verner to JAX 28 for no gain (63-B.Meester). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -5.43]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 23:49) — (8:49) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.6% · EPA +5.87]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short left intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 20-A.Verner (94-S.Marks) at JAX 28. 20-A.Verner to JAX 28 for no gain (63-B.Meester). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -5.43]
• Tennessee Titans (Q4 2:53) — (2:53) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker pass deep middle intended for 89-J.Cook INTERCEPTED by 25-D.Lowery (50-R.Allen) at JAX 43. 25-D.Lowery to TEN 36 for 21 yards (10-J.Locker). [WPA -19.5% · EPA -3.71]
• Tennessee Titans (Q2 39:34) — (9:34) 2-R.Bironas 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern. [WPA -11.4% · EPA -3.43]

Quarterback report card

J.Locker led all passers in efficiency for Tennessee Titans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Locker (Tennessee Titans) · 47 dropbacks · 48.9% completion · -0.8% CPOE · +0.13 EPA/play · +6.21 total EPA
• C.Henne (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 35 dropbacks · 48.6% completion · +6.6% CPOE · -0.03 EPA/play · -0.99 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tennessee Titans +0.02, Jacksonville Jaguars +0.07) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 13 drives, +5.76 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Tennessee Titans: 13 drives, +2.05 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Locker (Tennessee Titans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• C. Henne (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q1 58:36 · JAX 20 · Score 3-0
   (13:36) 2-R.Bironas 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 45:16 · TEN 1 · Score 3-6
   (:16) 23-R.Jennings up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 45:12 · TEN 2 · Score 3-7
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.
4. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q2 30:15 · JAX 22 · Score 6-7
   (:15) 2-R.Bironas 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 23:49 · TEN 59 · Score 6-13
   (8:49) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep right to 84-C.Shorts for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 23:40 · TEN 2 · Score 6-14
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.
7. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q3 18:34 · JAX 21 · Score 9-14
   (3:34) 2-R.Bironas 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
8. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q4 10:09 · JAX 15 · Score 12-14
   (10:09) 2-R.Bironas 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 6:57 · TEN 7 · Score 12-20
   (6:57) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass short middle to 14-J.Blackmon for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 6:50 · TEN 2 · Score 12-21
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.
11. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 4:57 · JAX 6 · Score 18-21
    (4:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker pass short left to 18-K.Britt for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q4 4:52 · JAX 2 · Score 19-21
    2-R.Bironas extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
13. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 0:29 · TEN 23 · Score 19-24
    (:29) 10-J.Scobee 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.