FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 9, 2022 · 11 min read

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans: 2021 Week 18 Recap

Titans defeat Texans 28–25 in Week 18

Ryan Tannehill led Fantasy Impact as Titans prevailed in a 28–25 Week 18 finish.

Tennessee Titans 28 12–5 Winner
Final 28–25
Houston Texans 25 4–13
Winner
Tennessee Titans
Final score
28–25
Halftime
Tennessee Titans 21–0 Houston Texans
Top passer
Davis Mills
FantasyHQ MVP
Ryan Tannehill
Game date
January 9, 2022

Top fantasy performers · Titans

  • Ryan Tannehill
    Ryan Tannehill 23/35 · 281 YDS · 4 TD +22.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
    Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 4 REC · 78 YDS · 1 TD +8.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Anthony Firkser
    Anthony Firkser 4 REC · 56 YDS · 1 TD +7.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Texans

  • D.Amendola 7 REC · 113 YDS · 2 TD +9.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Davis Mills
    Davis Mills 23/39 · 305 YDS · 3 TD +9.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Chris Moore
    Chris Moore 3 REC · 38 YDS · 1 TD +2.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tennessee Titans defeated the Houston Texans 28–25 in Week 18 of the 2021 NFL season on 2022-01-09, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+13.0% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Houston Texans swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2021 NFL season on 2022-01-09, the Tennessee Titans took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 28–25 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Mills (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with +9.27 total EPA, and +6.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Tannehill (Tennessee Titans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +22.44 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (4:08) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep right to 89-D.Amendola for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q3Q4T
Tennessee Titans21070028
Houston Texans010150025

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 R. Tannehill · Tennessee Titans · Passing · +22.44 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Amendola · Houston Texans · Receiving · +9.43 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Mills · Houston Texans · Passing · +9.27 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  4. 4 N. Westbrook-Ikhine · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +8.48 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.70 EPA/play
  5. 5 A. Firkser · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +7.25 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.81 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Brown · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +4.93 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
  7. 7 C. Moore · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.54 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. Burkhead · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.03 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

R. Tannehill — TEN · Passing

R. Tannehill posted the highest total EPA (+22.44) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tennessee Titans's efficiency. Across 35 counted snaps, they averaged +0.64 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.25 EPA) came from Tennessee Titans: (1:26) 14-R.Bullock 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tennessee Titans — A. Firkser (R. Tannehill pass) (Q2 37:45)
  • Tennessee Titans — A. Brown (R. Tannehill pass) (Q2 31:40)
  • Tennessee Titans — N. Westbrook-Ikhine (R. Tannehill pass) (Q2 30:15)
  • Houston Texans — C. Moore (D. Mills pass) (Q3 24:54)
  • Houston Texans — D. Amendola (D. Mills pass) (Q4 11:48)
  • Tennessee Titans — J. Jones (R. Tannehill pass) (Q4 7:04)
  • Houston Texans — D. Amendola (D. Mills pass) (Q4 4:08)

Field goals

  • Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q3 17:17)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 21–0. Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the HOU 5 (Q2 37:45) — (7:45) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 86-A.Firkser for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q2 37:40) — 14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the HOU 14 (Q2 31:40) — (1:40) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 11-A.Brown for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q2 31:34) — 14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the HOU 4 (Q2 30:15) — (:15) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q2 30:11) — 14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the TEN 28 (Q3 24:54) — (9:54) 10-D.Mills pass deep right to 15-C.Moore for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Flea Flicker; Houston Texans added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q3 24:46) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the TEN 13 (Q3 17:17) — (2:17) 7-K.Fairbairn 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston..

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 15–7. Houston Texans found the end zone from the TEN 7 (Q4 11:48) — (11:48) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short middle to 89-D.Amendola for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans registered a safety from the TEN 2 (Q4 11:40) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-D.Mills pass to 89-D.Amendola is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the HOU 3 (Q4 7:04) — (7:04) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 2-J.Jones for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-M.Collins].; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q4 7:00) — 14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the TEN 26 (Q4 4:08) — (4:08) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep right to 89-D.Amendola for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q4 4:04) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Houston Texans (Q4 4:08) — (4:08) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep right to 89-D.Amendola for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.0% · EPA +3.20]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q4 10:20) — (10:20) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine pushed ob at HOU 34 for 36 yards (23-E.Murray). [WPA +11.7% · EPA +3.31]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 46:26) — (1:26) 14-R.Bullock 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern. [WPA -10.0% · EPA -4.25]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 48:16) — (3:16) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 2-J.Jones pushed ob at HOU 29 for 13 yards (37-T.Thomas, 25-D.King). [WPA +9.8% · EPA +2.35]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 49:45) — (4:45) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep middle to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine to HOU 46 for 29 yards (23-E.Murray). [WPA +8.6% · EPA +3.03]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 46:26) — (1:26) 14-R.Bullock 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern. [WPA -10.0% · EPA -4.25]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q2 30:22) — (:22) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep middle intended for 81-R.McMath INTERCEPTED by 1-L.Johnson at HOU 0. Touchback. PENALTY on HOU-23-E.Murray, Defensive Pass Interference, 45 yards, enforced at [WPA +4.1% · EPA +4.22]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q4 10:20) — (10:20) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine pushed ob at HOU 34 for 36 yards (23-E.Murray). [WPA +11.7% · EPA +3.31]
  • Houston Texans (Q2 36:31) — (6:31) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep middle to 13-B.Cooks to HOU 45 for 25 yards (51-D.Long). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +3.22]

Quarterback report card

D.Mills led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • D.Mills (Houston Texans) · 39 dropbacks · 59.0% completion · +6.8% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +9.27 total EPA
  • R.Tannehill (Tennessee Titans) · 35 dropbacks · 65.7% completion · +7.9% CPOE · +0.64 EPA/play · +22.44 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTennessee TitansHouston Texans
Offensive EPA/play+0.136+0.108
Offensive success rate42.9%42.5%
Pass EPA/play+0.641+0.238
Rush EPA/play-0.131+0.053
Defensive EPA/play-0.108-0.136
Defensive success rate57.5%57.1%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tennessee Titans +0.14, Houston Texans +0.11) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Houston Texans: 10 drives, +7.87 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Tennessee Titans: 10 drives, +11.45 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tennessee Titans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • R. Tannehill (Tennessee Titans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Mills (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • R. Tannehill (TEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 37:45 · HOU 5 · Score 6-0
    (7:45) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 86-A.Firkser for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 37:40 · HOU 15 · Score 7-0
    14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  3. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 31:40 · HOU 14 · Score 13-0
    (1:40) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 11-A.Brown for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 31:34 · HOU 15 · Score 14-0
    14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  5. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 30:15 · HOU 4 · Score 20-0
    (:15) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short right to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 30:11 · HOU 15 · Score 21-0
    14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  7. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 24:54 · TEN 28 · Score 21-6
    (9:54) 10-D.Mills pass deep right to 15-C.Moore for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Flea Flicker
  8. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 24:46 · TEN 15 · Score 21-7
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
  9. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 17:17 · TEN 13 · Score 21-10
    (2:17) 7-K.Fairbairn 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
  10. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 11:48 · TEN 7 · Score 21-16
    (11:48) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short middle to 89-D.Amendola for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Houston Texans Safety (+2) — Q4 11:40 · TEN 2 · Score 21-18
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 10-D.Mills pass to 89-D.Amendola is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  12. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 7:04 · HOU 3 · Score 27-18
    (7:04) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 2-J.Jones for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-M.Collins].
  13. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q4 7:00 · HOU 15 · Score 28-18
    14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  14. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 4:08 · TEN 26 · Score 28-24
    (4:08) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep right to 89-D.Amendola for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  15. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 4:04 · TEN 15 · Score 28-25
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans?

The Tennessee Titans beat the Houston Texans 28-25 in Week 18, 2021 on 2022-01-09.

What was the final score of Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans?

The final score was Tennessee Titans 28, Houston Texans 25 (TEN 28-25 HOU) in Week 18, 2021 on 2022-01-09.

What was the score by quarter in Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans?

Q2: Tennessee Titans 21, Houston Texans 0; Q3: Tennessee Titans 0, Houston Texans 10; Q4: Tennessee Titans 7, Houston Texans 15; Final: Tennessee Titans 28, Houston Texans 25.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans?

Tennessee Titans touchdown — A. Firkser (R. Tannehill pass) (Q2 37:45) Tennessee Titans touchdown — A. Brown (R. Tannehill pass) (Q2 31:40) Tennessee Titans touchdown — N. Westbrook-Ikhine (R. Tannehill pass) (Q2 30:15) Houston Texans touchdown — C. Moore (D. Mills pass) (Q3 24:54) Houston Texans touchdown — D. Amendola (D. Mills pass) (Q4 11:48) Tennessee Titans touchdown — J. Jones (R. Tannehill pass) (Q4 7:04) Houston Texans touchdown — D. Amendola (D. Mills pass) (Q4 4:08) Houston Texans field goal — K. Fairbairn (Q3 17:17, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans?

D. Mills (Houston Texans), 59.0% completion, +6.8% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +9.27 total passing EPA. R. Tannehill (Tennessee Titans), 65.7% completion, +7.9% CPOE, +0.64 EPA per dropback, +22.44 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans?

R. Tannehill (Tennessee Titans) led the game in total EPA with +22.44 on passing plays. across 35 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.25 EPA): (1:26) 14-R.Bullock 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.. The biggest win-probability swing was +13.0%.

Was Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Tennessee Titans won 28-25 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Tennessee Titans

Entered 11-5 Now 12-5 W

Houston Texans

Entered 4-12 Now 4-13 L