FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 7 · October 25, 2015 · 12 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Commanders: 2015 Week 7 Recap

Commanders defeat Buccaneers 31–30 in Week 7

Jameis Winston led Fantasy Impact as Commanders prevailed in a 30–31 Week 7 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 2–4
Final 30–31
Washington Commanders 31 3–4 Winner
Winner
Washington Commanders
Final score
30–31
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24–7 Washington Commanders
Top passer
Kirk Cousins
FantasyHQ MVP
Jameis Winston
Game date
October 25, 2015

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Jameis Winston
    Jameis Winston 21/34 · 294 YDS · 3 TD +12.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 8 REC · 164 YDS · 1 TD +11.0 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Martin 19 CAR · 136 YDS +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Commanders

  • Kirk Cousins
    Kirk Cousins 33/45 · 305 YDS · 4 TD +8.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Joe Reed
    Joe Reed 11 REC · 72 YDS · 2 TD +6.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Richie Grant
    Richie Grant 3 REC · 54 YDS · 1 TD +3.8 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Washington Commanders defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31–30 in Week 7 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-10-25, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+28.2% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Washington Commanders swung the momentum.

In Week 7 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-10-25, the Washington Commanders took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 31–30 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Cousins (Washington Commanders) paced the passing game, with +8.37 total EPA, and +17.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.60 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+28.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Washington Commanders changed the game: (:28) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 86-J.Reed for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers101406030
Washington Commanders071410031

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +12.60 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +10.97 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
  3. 3 K. Cousins · Washington Commanders · Passing · +8.37 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Reed · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +6.20 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Martin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +4.64 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  6. 6 R. Grant · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +3.77 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Crowder · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +3.01 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Martin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.99 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Winston — TB · Passing

J. Winston posted the highest total EPA (+12.60) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 34 counted snaps, they averaged +0.37 EPA per play.

The signature play (-9.02 EPA) came from Washington Commanders: (8:31) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at WAS 46 for -9 yards (56-J.Smith). FUMBLES (56-J.Smith) [90-H.Melton], RECOVERED by TB-95-H.Jones at WAS 43. 95-H.Jones for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q1 56:55)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Dye (J. Winston pass) (Q2 41:41)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — H. Jones (Q2 38:31)
  • Washington Commanders — K. Cousins (Q2 34:32)
  • Washington Commanders — R. Grant (K. Cousins pass) (Q3 26:15)
  • Washington Commanders — J. Reed (K. Cousins pass) (Q3 22:01)
  • Washington Commanders — J. Reed (K. Cousins pass) (Q4 0:28)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q1 50:10)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q4 13:57)
  • Washington Commanders — D. Hopkins (Q4 7:33)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q4 2:27)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the WAS 40 (Q1 56:55) — (11:55) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q1 56:47) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the WAS 4 (Q1 50:10) — (5:10) 10-C.Barth 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the WAS 7 (Q2 41:41) — (11:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 17-D.Dye for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q2 41:34) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 45 (Q2 38:31); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q2 38:19) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.; Washington Commanders found the end zone from the TB 8 (Q2 34:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 34:26) — 3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way..

The third quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 14–0. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q3 26:15) — (11:15) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 14-R.Grant for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 26:10) — 3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.; Washington Commanders found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q3 22:01) — (7:01) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 86-J.Reed for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 21:56) — 3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way..

The fourth quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 10–6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the WAS 27 (Q4 13:57) — (13:57) 10-C.Barth 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.; Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the TB 17 (Q4 7:33) — (7:33) 3-D.Hopkins 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the WAS 3 (Q4 2:27) — (2:27) 10-C.Barth 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.; Washington Commanders found the end zone from the TB 6 (Q4 0:28) — (:28) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 86-J.Reed for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Washington Commanders added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 0:24) — 3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Washington Commanders (Q4 0:28) — (:28) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 86-J.Reed for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +28.2% · EPA +3.51]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:12) — (:12) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 34-C.Sims to WAS 39 for 19 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by WAS-92-C.Baker at WAS 49. 92-C.Baker to WAS 49 for no gain (3-J.Winston). [WPA -23.6% · EPA -0.31]
  • Washington Commanders (Q4 10:48) — (10:48) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 88-P.Garcon to TB 23 for 15 yards (30-B.McDougald, 24-M.Jenkins). [WPA +12.3% · EPA +1.65]
  • Washington Commanders (Q4 0:58) — (:58) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 80-J.Crowder pushed ob at TB 6 for 18 yards (24-M.Jenkins). [WPA +12.2% · EPA +2.37]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 21:06) — (6:06) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans pushed ob at TB 49 for 24 yards (41-W.Blackmon). [WPA +10.5% · EPA +2.63]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Washington Commanders (Q2 38:31) — (8:31) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at WAS 46 for -9 yards (56-J.Smith). FUMBLES (56-J.Smith) [90-H.Melton], RECOVERED by TB-95-H.Jones at WAS 43. 95-H.Jones for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -8.9% · EPA -9.02]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 56:55) — (11:55) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.4% · EPA +3.77]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 4:10) — (4:10) 22-D.Martin right end pushed ob at WAS 5 for 49 yards (26-B.Breeland). WAS-26-B.Breeland was injured during the play. He is Out. 26- Breeland was reported as having a hamstring injury [WPA +9.4% · EPA +3.53]
  • Washington Commanders (Q4 0:28) — (:28) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 86-J.Reed for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +28.2% · EPA +3.51]

Quarterback report card

K.Cousins led all passers in efficiency for Washington Commanders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • K.Cousins (Washington Commanders) · 45 dropbacks · 73.3% completion · +17.7% CPOE · +0.19 EPA/play · +8.37 total EPA
  • J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 34 dropbacks · 61.8% completion · +10.5% CPOE · +0.37 EPA/play · +12.60 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersWashington Commanders
Offensive EPA/play+0.129+0.086
Offensive success rate48.8%48.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.371+0.186
Rush EPA/play+0.083+0.035
Defensive EPA/play-0.086-0.129
Defensive success rate51.2%51.2%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.13, Washington Commanders +0.09) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, +10.55 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Washington Commanders: 11 drives, +7.20 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Washington Commanders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • K. Cousins (WAS) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 56:55 · WAS 40 · Score 6-0
    (11:55) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 56:47 · WAS 15 · Score 7-0
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 50:10 · WAS 4 · Score 10-0
    (5:10) 10-C.Barth 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 41:41 · WAS 7 · Score 16-0
    (11:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 17-D.Dye for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 41:34 · WAS 15 · Score 17-0
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 38:31 · TB 45 · Score 23-0
    (8:31) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at WAS 46 for -9 yards (56-J.Smith). FUMBLES (56-J.Smith) [90-H.Melton], RECOVERED by TB-95-H.Jones at WAS 43. 95-H.Jones fo
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 38:19 · WAS 15 · Score 24-0
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.
  8. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q2 34:32 · TB 8 · Score 24-6
    (4:32) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins left end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q2 34:26 · TB 15 · Score 24-7
    3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  10. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q3 26:15 · TB 3 · Score 24-13
    (11:15) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 14-R.Grant for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q3 26:10 · TB 15 · Score 24-14
    3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  12. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q3 22:01 · TB 3 · Score 24-20
    (7:01) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 86-J.Reed for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q3 21:56 · TB 15 · Score 24-21
    3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 13:57 · WAS 27 · Score 27-21
    (13:57) 10-C.Barth 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.
  15. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q4 7:33 · TB 17 · Score 27-24
    (7:33) 3-D.Hopkins 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 2:27 · WAS 3 · Score 30-24
    (2:27) 10-C.Barth 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.
  17. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q4 0:28 · TB 6 · Score 30-30
    (:28) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 86-J.Reed for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  18. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q4 0:24 · TB 15 · Score 30-31
    3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders?

The Washington Commanders beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-30 in Week 7, 2015 on 2015-10-25.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30, Washington Commanders 31 (TB 30-31 WAS) in Week 7, 2015 on 2015-10-25.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10, Washington Commanders 0; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, Washington Commanders 7; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Washington Commanders 14; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6, Washington Commanders 10; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30, Washington Commanders 31.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q1 56:55) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Dye (J. Winston pass) (Q2 41:41) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — H. Jones (Q2 38:31) Washington Commanders touchdown — K. Cousins (Q2 34:32) Washington Commanders touchdown — R. Grant (K. Cousins pass) (Q3 26:15) Washington Commanders touchdown — J. Reed (K. Cousins pass) (Q3 22:01) Washington Commanders touchdown — J. Reed (K. Cousins pass) (Q4 0:28) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q1 50:10, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q4 13:57, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — D. Hopkins (Q4 7:33, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q4 2:27, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders?

K. Cousins (Washington Commanders), 73.3% completion, +17.7% CPOE, +0.19 EPA per dropback, +8.37 total passing EPA. J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 61.8% completion, +10.5% CPOE, +0.37 EPA per dropback, +12.60 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders?

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +12.60 on passing plays. across 34 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-9.02 EPA): (8:31) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at WAS 46 for -9 yards (56-J.Smith). FUMBLES (56-J.Smith) [90-H.Melton], RECOVERED by TB-95-H.Jones at WAS 43. 95-H.Jones for 43 yards, TOUCHDOW. The biggest win-probability swing was +28.2%.

Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. Washington Commanders won 31-30 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-3 Now 2-4 L

Washington Commanders

Entered 2-4 Now 3-4 W