Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants: 2018 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-18, the New York Giants took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 38–35 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 35 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Fitzpatrick (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -8.15 total EPA, and -2.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +17.52 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (2:30) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +17.52 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +11.14 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.59 EPA/play
3. 3 E. Manning · New York Giants · Passing · +9.77 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
4. 4 O. Beckham · New York Giants · Receiving · +6.37 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.59 EPA/play
5. 5 S. Barkley · New York Giants · Rushing · +4.97 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Humphries · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.82 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
7. 7 P. Barber · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +4.37 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.10 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Giants — S. Barkley (E. Manning pass) (Q1 56:47)
• New York Giants — S. Barkley (Q2 43:42)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Fitzpatrick (Q2 35:02)
• New York Giants — A. Ogletree (Q3 29:23)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Winston (Q3 16:43)
• New York Giants — O. Beckham (E. Manning pass) (Q4 13:10)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Barber (Q4 9:49)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — A. Humphries (J. Winston pass) (Q4 5:16)
• New York Giants — S. Barkley (Q4 3:55)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q4 2:30)

Field goals

• New York Giants — A. Rosas (Q3 22:09)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Giants won the period 7–0. New York Giants found the end zone from the TB 6 (Q1 56:47) — (11:47) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 26-S.Barkley for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 56:42) — 2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. New York Giants found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q2 43:42) — (13:42) 26-S.Barkley right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 43:37) — 2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NYG 1 (Q2 35:02) — (5:02) 14-R.Fitzpatrick right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q2 34:56) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The third quarter: New York Giants won the period 10–7. New York Giants found the end zone from the NYG 89 (Q3 29:23); New York Giants added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 29:13) — 2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; New York Giants connected on a field goal from the TB 33 (Q3 22:09) — (7:09) 2-A.Rosas 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NYG 6 (Q3 16:43); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q3 16:32) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 21–14. New York Giants found the end zone from the TB 8 (Q4 13:10) — (13:10) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 13-O.Beckham for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 13:04) — 2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NYG 5 (Q4 9:49) — (9:49) 25-P.Barber left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q4 9:47) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NYG 8 (Q4 5:16) — (5:16) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 10-A.Humphries for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q4 5:11) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; New York Giants found the end zone from the TB 2 (Q4 3:55) — (3:55) 26-S.Barkley up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 3:52); Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NYG 41 (Q4 2:30) — (2:30) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q4 2:22) — 5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 2:30) — (2:30) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.4% · EPA +4.61]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 29:23) — (14:23) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 52-A.Ogletree (20-J.Jenkins) at TB 15. 52-A.Ogletree for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.5% · EPA -6.21]
• New York Giants (Q4 4:30) — (4:30) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 88-E.Engram to TB 11 for 54 yards (39-I.Johnson). [WPA +12.0% · EPA +4.00]
• New York Giants (Q1 58:10) — (13:10) 10-E.Manning pass deep left to 13-O.Beckham to TB 7 for 41 yards (39-I.Johnson). [WPA +10.0% · EPA +2.53]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 30:30) — (:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle intended for 80-O.Howard INTERCEPTED by 31-M.Thomas at NYG 13. 31-M.Thomas to NYG 13 for no gain (80-O.Howard). [WPA -9.0% · EPA -3.05]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 29:23) — (14:23) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 52-A.Ogletree (20-J.Jenkins) at TB 15. 52-A.Ogletree for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.5% · EPA -6.21]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 24:58) — (9:58) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Riley at NYG -6. 35-C.Riley pushed ob at NYG 40 for 46 yards (80-O.Howard). [WPA -7.6% · EPA -6.11]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 2:30) — (2:30) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.4% · EPA +4.61]
• New York Giants (Q4 4:30) — (4:30) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 88-E.Engram to TB 11 for 54 yards (39-I.Johnson). [WPA +12.0% · EPA +4.00]

Quarterback report card

R.Fitzpatrick led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• R.Fitzpatrick (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 27 dropbacks · 48.1% completion · -2.6% CPOE · -0.30 EPA/play · -8.15 total EPA
• E.Manning (New York Giants) · 22 dropbacks · 77.3% completion · +27.7% CPOE · +0.44 EPA/play · +9.77 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New York Giants held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.24 vs +0.16), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• New York Giants: 12 drives, +17.80 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, +13.82 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Giants leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• E. Manning (NYG) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q1 56:47 · TB 6 · Score 0-6
   (11:47) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 26-S.Barkley for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q1 56:42 · TB 15 · Score 0-7
   2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
3. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q2 43:42 · TB 5 · Score 0-13
   (13:42) 26-S.Barkley right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q2 43:37 · TB 15 · Score 0-14
   2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 35:02 · NYG 1 · Score 6-14
   (5:02) 14-R.Fitzpatrick right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 34:56 · NYG 15 · Score 7-14
   5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
7. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q3 29:23 · NYG 89 · Score 7-20
   (14:23) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left intended for 11-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 52-A.Ogletree (20-J.Jenkins) at TB 15. 52-A.Ogletree for 15 yards, T
8. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q3 29:13 · TB 15 · Score 7-21
   2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
9. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q3 22:09 · TB 33 · Score 7-24
   (7:09) 2-A.Rosas 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 16:43 · NYG 6 · Score 13-24
    (1:43) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston scrambles left end to NYG 3 for 3 yards (99-M.Edwards). FUMBLES (99-M.Edwards), recovered by TB-13-M.Evans at NYG -3. TOUCHDOWN.
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 16:32 · NYG 15 · Score 14-24
    5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
12. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q4 13:10 · TB 8 · Score 14-30
    (13:10) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 13-O.Beckham for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q4 13:04 · TB 15 · Score 14-31
    2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 9:49 · NYG 5 · Score 20-31
    (9:49) 25-P.Barber left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 9:47 · NYG 15 · Score 21-31
    5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 5:16 · NYG 8 · Score 27-31
    (5:16) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 10-A.Humphries for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 5:11 · NYG 15 · Score 28-31
    5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
18. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q4 3:55 · TB 2 · Score 28-37
    (3:55) 26-S.Barkley up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
19. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q4 3:52 · TB 15 · Score 28-38
    2-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon. PENALTY on NYG-63-C.Wheeler, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 2:30 · NYG 41 · Score 34-38
    (2:30) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
21. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 2:22 · NYG 15 · Score 35-38
    5-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.