Game story
In Week 5 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-10-07, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 33–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +16.18 total EPA, and +13.7% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.18 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+6.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (13:08) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark to TB 33 for 9 yards (55-D.Brooks).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 14 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 33 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +16.18 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
- 2 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +8.23 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.18 EPA/play
- 3 J. Garcia · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +7.32 total EPA · 25 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
- 4 J. Galloway · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.84 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play
- 5 A. Gonzalez · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.90 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
- 6 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.17 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
- 7 A. Smith · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.15 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.57 EPA/play
- 8 I. Hilliard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.01 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
P. Manning — IND · Passing
P. Manning posted the highest total EPA (+16.18) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Indianapolis Colts's efficiency. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.43 EPA per play.
The signature play (+3.04 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (11:45) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 84-J.Galloway ran ob at IND 24 for 27 yards (43-M.Giordano).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Indianapolis Colts — D. Clark (P. Manning pass)
- Indianapolis Colts — K. Keith
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — A. Smith (J. Garcia pass)
- Indianapolis Colts — K. Keith
- Indianapolis Colts — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — A. Smith (J. Garcia pass)
Field goals
- Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
- Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 10 (Q1 55:27) — (10:27) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 55:19) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 9–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 44:57) — (14:57) 36-K.Keith left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q2 36:47) — (6:47) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 36:43) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 9 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–0. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 7 (Q3 22:24); Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q3 22:23) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
The fourth quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the TB 9 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 14:57) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the IND 3 (Q4 9:24) — (9:24) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 9:21) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the TB 17 (Q4 2:57) — (2:57) 4-A.Vinatieri 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 58:08) — (13:08) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark to TB 33 for 9 yards (55-D.Brooks).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 58:41) — (13:41) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia sacked at TB 23 for -5 yards (sack split by 79-R.Brock and 93-D.Freeney).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 36:47) — (6:47) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 36:43) — 3-M.Bryant kicks 61 yards from TB 30 to IND 9. 15-C.Thorpe pushed ob at IND 44 for 35 yards (85-M.Stovall).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q1 47:52) — (2:52) 36-K.Keith right guard to TB 34 for 2 yards (91-G.White, 71-J.Haye). TB-91-G.White was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 11:45) — (11:45) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 84-J.Galloway ran ob at IND 24 for 27 yards (43-M.Giordano).
- Indianapolis Colts (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Indianapolis Colts (Q2 42:30) — (12:30) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle intended for 87-R.Wayne INTERCEPTED by 28-T.Jackson at TB 28. 28-T.Jackson to IND 24 for 48 yards (73-J.Scott, 71-R.Diem). PENALTY on TB-54-P.Chukwurah,
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:32) — (1:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-B.Gradkowski pass deep right intended for 84-J.Galloway INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Bethea at IND 26. 41-A.Bethea to IND 37 for 11 yards.
Quarterback report card
P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 38 dropbacks · 76.3% completion · +13.7% CPOE · +0.43 EPA/play · +16.18 total EPA
- J.Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 25 dropbacks · 72.0% completion · +9.8% CPOE · +0.29 EPA/play · +7.32 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Indianapolis Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.018 | +0.191 |
| Offensive success rate | 48.1% | 50.0% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.212 | +0.426 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.588 | +0.021 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.191 | +0.018 |
| Defensive success rate | 50.0% | 51.9% |
By the numbers
Indianapolis Colts held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.19 vs -0.02), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Indianapolis Colts: 9 drives, +17.58 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 8 drives, -0.97 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- P. Manning (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- J. Garcia (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 55:27 · TB 10 · Score 0-6
(10:27) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 55:19 · TB 2 · Score 0-7
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 44:57 · TB 1 · Score 0-13
(14:57) 36-K.Keith left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 36:47 · IND 3 · Score 6-13
(6:47) 7-J.Garcia pass short right to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 36:43 · IND 2 · Score 7-13
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · TB 9 · Score 7-16
(:05) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 22:24 · TB 7 · Score 7-22
(7:24) 36-K.Keith right guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB, Defensive 12 On-field, declined. Penalty on TB-95-C.Hovan, Defensive Offside, declined. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 22:23 · TB 2 · Score 7-23
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · TB 9 · Score 7-29
(15:00) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-R.Wayne for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q4 14:57 · TB 2 · Score 7-30
4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 9:24 · IND 3 · Score 13-30
(9:24) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 81-A.Smith for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 9:21 · IND 2 · Score 14-30
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-J.Bidwell. - Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 2:57 · TB 17 · Score 14-33
(2:57) 4-A.Vinatieri 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
The Indianapolis Colts beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33-14 in Week 5, 2007 on 2007-10-07.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, Indianapolis Colts 33 (TB 14-33 IND) in Week 5, 2007 on 2007-10-07.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Indianapolis Colts 9; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Indianapolis Colts 7; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Indianapolis Colts 10; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, Indianapolis Colts 33.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
Indianapolis Colts touchdown — D. Clark (P. Manning pass) (Q1 55:27) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — K. Keith (Q2 44:57) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — A. Smith (J. Garcia pass) (Q2 36:47) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — K. Keith (Q3 22:24) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — R. Wayne (P. Manning pass) (Q4 15:00) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — A. Smith (J. Garcia pass) (Q4 9:24) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q2 30:05, 3 pts) Indianapolis Colts field goal — A. Vinatieri (Q4 2:57, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts), 76.3% completion, +13.7% CPOE, +0.43 EPA per dropback, +16.18 total passing EPA. J. Garcia (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 72.0% completion, +9.8% CPOE, +0.29 EPA per dropback, +7.32 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts?
P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) led the game in total EPA with +16.18 on passing plays. across 38 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+3.04 EPA): (11:45) (Shotgun) 7-J.Garcia pass short left to 84-J.Galloway ran ob at IND 24 for 27 yards (43-M.Giordano).. The biggest win-probability swing was +6.3%.
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 3-1 Now 3-2 L
Indianapolis Colts
Entered 4-0 Now 5-0 W
Fantasy · fantasyhq.co
