FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 3 · September 27, 2015 · 9 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Houston Texans: 2015 Week 3 Recap

Texans defeat Buccaneers 19–9 in Week 3

R.Mallett led Fantasy Impact as Texans prevailed in a 9–19 Week 3 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9 1–2
Final 9–19
Houston Texans 19 1–2 Winner
Winner
Houston Texans
Final score
9–19
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9–7 Houston Texans
Top passer
R. Mallett
FantasyHQ MVP
R.Mallett
Game date
September 27, 2015

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Christian Sims
    Christian Sims 2 REC · 41 YDS · 1 TD +4.4 Fantasy Impact
  • V.Jackson 2 REC · 40 YDS +2.8 Fantasy Impact
  • L.Murphy 3 REC · 61 YDS +2.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Texans

  • R.Mallett 24/42 · 227 YDS · 1 TD +5.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Dustin Hopkins
    Dustin Hopkins 8 REC · 101 YDS · 1 TD +5.2 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Shorts 6 REC · 58 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Houston Texans defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19–9 in Week 3 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-09-27, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-17.5% win probability) came in the second quarter when Houston Texans swung the momentum.

In Week 3 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-09-27, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 19–9 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 9 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Mallett (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with +5.32 total EPA, and -3.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Mallett (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.32 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (1:35) 4-R.Bullock 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers090009
Houston Texans7039019

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 R. Mallett · Houston Texans · Passing · +5.32 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Hopkins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +5.17 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. Sims · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.40 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.20 EPA/play
  4. 4 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.80 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
  5. 5 L. Murphy · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.07 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Shorts · Houston Texans · Receiving · +1.21 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Grimes · Houston Texans · Receiving · +0.74 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
  8. 8 G. Graham · Houston Texans · Receiving · +0.73 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

R. Mallett — HOU · Passing

R. Mallett posted the highest total EPA (+5.32) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Houston Texans's efficiency. Across 42 counted snaps, they averaged +0.13 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.90 EPA) came from Houston Texans: (4:48) 15-R.Mallett pass short middle intended for 45-J.Prosch INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Alexander (51-D.Lansanah) at HOU 26. 58-K.Alexander to HOU 26 for no gain (45-J.Prosch).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Houston Texans — D. Hopkins (R. Mallett pass) (Q1 50:02)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Sims (J. Winston pass) (Q2 34:01)
  • Houston Texans — A. Blue (Q4 9:19)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. Brindza (Q2 41:20)
  • Houston Texans — R. Bullock (Q3 27:42)
  • Houston Texans — R. Bullock (Q4 1:15)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Houston Texans won the period 7–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q1 50:02) — (5:02) (Shotgun) 15-R.Mallett pass short right to 10-D.Hopkins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 49:58) — 4-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 9–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the HOU 40 (Q2 41:20) — (11:20) 2-K.Brindza 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the HOU 32 (Q2 34:01) — (4:01) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 34-C.Sims for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 3–0. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the TB 21 (Q3 27:42) — (12:42) 4-R.Bullock 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 9–0. Houston Texans found the end zone from the TB 20 (Q4 9:19) — (9:19) 28-A.Blue left tackle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the TB 1 (Q4 1:15) — (1:15) 4-R.Bullock 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Houston Texans (Q2 31:35) — (1:35) 4-R.Bullock 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler. [WPA -17.5% · EPA -3.61]
  • Houston Texans (Q2 34:48) — (4:48) 15-R.Mallett pass short middle intended for 45-J.Prosch INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Alexander (51-D.Lansanah) at HOU 26. 58-K.Alexander to HOU 26 for no gain (45-J.Prosch). [WPA -17.4% · EPA -4.90]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 10:59) — (10:59) 2-K.Brindza 33 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum. [WPA -14.0% · EPA -4.04]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 22:21) — (7:21) 2-K.Brindza 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum. [WPA -13.8% · EPA -4.18]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 34:01) — (4:01) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 34-C.Sims for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.1% · EPA +4.16]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Houston Texans (Q2 34:48) — (4:48) 15-R.Mallett pass short middle intended for 45-J.Prosch INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Alexander (51-D.Lansanah) at HOU 26. 58-K.Alexander to HOU 26 for no gain (45-J.Prosch). [WPA -17.4% · EPA -4.90]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 22:21) — (7:21) 2-K.Brindza 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum. [WPA -13.8% · EPA -4.18]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 34:01) — (4:01) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 34-C.Sims for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.1% · EPA +4.16]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 10:59) — (10:59) 2-K.Brindza 33 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum. [WPA -14.0% · EPA -4.04]

Quarterback report card

R.Mallett led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • R.Mallett (Houston Texans) · 42 dropbacks · 57.1% completion · -3.9% CPOE · +0.13 EPA/play · +5.32 total EPA
  • J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 40 dropbacks · 42.5% completion · -8.3% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -2.46 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersHouston Texans
Offensive EPA/play-0.211-0.062
Offensive success rate34.6%44.0%
Pass EPA/play-0.061+0.127
Rush EPA/play-0.261-0.089
Defensive EPA/play+0.062+0.211
Defensive success rate56.0%65.4%

By the numbers

Houston Texans held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.06 vs -0.21), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Houston Texans: 14 drives, -6.77 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 13 drives, -16.47 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • R. Mallett (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • R. Mallett (HOU) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • J. Winston (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q1 50:02 · TB 5 · Score 0-6
    (5:02) (Shotgun) 15-R.Mallett pass short right to 10-D.Hopkins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q1 49:58 · TB 15 · Score 0-7
    4-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 41:20 · HOU 40 · Score 3-7
    (11:20) 2-K.Brindza 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-5-J.Schum.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 34:01 · HOU 32 · Score 9-7
    (4:01) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 34-C.Sims for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 27:42 · TB 21 · Score 9-10
    (12:42) 4-R.Bullock 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  6. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 9:19 · TB 20 · Score 9-16
    (9:19) 28-A.Blue left tackle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q4 1:15 · TB 1 · Score 9-19
    (1:15) 4-R.Bullock 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-S.Lechler.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans?

The Houston Texans beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19-9 in Week 3, 2015 on 2015-09-27.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9, Houston Texans 19 (TB 9-19 HOU) in Week 3, 2015 on 2015-09-27.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Houston Texans 7; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9, Houston Texans 0; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Houston Texans 3; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Houston Texans 9; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9, Houston Texans 19.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans?

Houston Texans touchdown — D. Hopkins (R. Mallett pass) (Q1 50:02) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Sims (J. Winston pass) (Q2 34:01) Houston Texans touchdown — A. Blue (Q4 9:19) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — K. Brindza (Q2 41:20, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — R. Bullock (Q3 27:42, 3 pts) Houston Texans field goal — R. Bullock (Q4 1:15, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans?

R. Mallett (Houston Texans), 57.1% completion, -3.9% CPOE, +0.13 EPA per dropback, +5.32 total passing EPA. J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 42.5% completion, -8.3% CPOE, -0.06 EPA per dropback, -2.46 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans?

R. Mallett (Houston Texans) led the game in total EPA with +5.32 on passing plays. across 42 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.90 EPA): (4:48) 15-R.Mallett pass short middle intended for 45-J.Prosch INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Alexander (51-D.Lansanah) at HOU 26. 58-K.Alexander to HOU 26 for no gain (45-J.Prosch).. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.5%.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 1-1 Now 1-2 L

Houston Texans

Entered 0-2 Now 1-2 W