Game story
In Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-17, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 34–20 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Love (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +4.76 total EPA, and +11.5% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, B. Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +25.07 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-16.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (1:48) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 3 for -6 yards (55-K.Enagbare). FUMBLES (55-K.Enagbare), RECOVERED by GB-55-K.Enagbare at TB 4.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 34 |
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 B. Mayfield · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +25.07 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
- 2 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +12.52 total EPA · 12 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play
- 3 D. Wicks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +7.25 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play
- 4 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.03 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
- 5 D. Moore · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.89 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.94 EPA/play
- 6 R. White · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.40 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.70 EPA/play
- 7 J. Love · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +4.76 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
- 8 C. Otton · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.89 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.94 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
B. Mayfield — TB · Passing
B. Mayfield posted the highest total EPA (+25.07) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 35 counted snaps, they averaged +0.72 EPA per play.
The signature play (-5.69 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (1:48) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 3 for -6 yards (55-K.Enagbare). FUMBLES (55-K.Enagbare), RECOVERED by GB-55-K.Enagbare at TB 4.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Green Bay Packers — T. Kraft (J. Love pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (B. Mayfield pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. White (B. Mayfield pass)
- Green Bay Packers — J. Reed (J. Love pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. Kieft (B. Mayfield pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Moore (B. Mayfield pass)
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. McLaughlin
- Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. McLaughlin
- Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 21 (Q1 54:06) — (9:06) 4-C.McLaughlin 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q1 45:54) — (:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 85-T.Kraft for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 45:49) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..
The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 19 (Q2 42:26) — (12:26) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 13-M.Evans for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 42:21) — 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 18 (Q2 37:13) — (7:13) 17-A.Carlson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 28 (Q2 30:14) — (:14) 4-C.McLaughlin 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..
The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 26 (Q3 26:01) — (11:01) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 1-R.White for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 25:55) — 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 17 (Q3 19:26) — (4:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 11-J.Reed for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 19:18) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 2 (Q3 15:26) — (:26) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 41-K.Kieft for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 15:20) — 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 15 (Q4 10:07) — (10:07) 17-A.Carlson 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 52 (Q4 6:40); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 6:30) — 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:48) — (1:48) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 3 for -6 yards (55-K.Enagbare). FUMBLES (55-K.Enagbare), RECOVERED by GB-55-K.Enagbare at TB 4.
- Green Bay Packers (Q1 47:28) — (2:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass incomplete short left to 11-J.Reed.
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 19:26) — (4:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 11-J.Reed for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 18:04) — (3:04) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin to GB 40 for 21 yards (34-J.Owens; 20-R.Ford).
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 22:57) — (7:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep middle to 13-D.Wicks to TB 25 for 21 yards (31-A.Winfield).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 46:48) — (1:48) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 3 for -6 yards (55-K.Enagbare). FUMBLES (55-K.Enagbare), RECOVERED by GB-55-K.Enagbare at TB 4.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 6:40) — (6:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 19-D.Moore for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field s
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 4:28) — (4:28) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love sacked at TB 49 for -19 yards (sack split by 7-S.Barrett and 54-L.David). FUMBLES (7-S.Barrett) [54-L.David], RECOVERED by TB-90-L.Hall at GB 49. 90-L.Hall to GB 49 for no g
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 19:26) — (4:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 11-J.Reed for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
J.Love led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Love (Green Bay Packers) · 43 dropbacks · 67.4% completion · +11.5% CPOE · +0.11 EPA/play · +4.76 total EPA
- B.Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 35 dropbacks · 62.9% completion · +14.2% CPOE · +0.72 EPA/play · +25.07 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.276 | +0.036 |
| Offensive success rate | 50.0% | 41.6% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.716 | +0.111 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.093 | -0.133 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.036 | -0.276 |
| Defensive success rate | 58.4% | 50.0% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Tampa Bay Buccaneers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.28 vs +0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Green Bay Packers: 9 drives, +2.81 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9 drives, +20.96 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- B. Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Love (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- B. Mayfield (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 54:06 · GB 21 · Score 3-0
(9:06) 4-C.McLaughlin 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 45:54 · TB 5 · Score 3-6
(:54) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 85-T.Kraft for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 45:49 · TB 15 · Score 3-7
17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 42:26 · GB 19 · Score 9-7
(12:26) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 13-M.Evans for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 42:21 · GB 15 · Score 10-7
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 37:13 · TB 18 · Score 10-10
(7:13) 17-A.Carlson 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:14 · GB 28 · Score 13-10
(:14) 4-C.McLaughlin 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 26:01 · GB 26 · Score 19-10
(11:01) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 1-R.White for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 25:55 · GB 15 · Score 20-10
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 19:26 · TB 17 · Score 20-16
(4:26) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 11-J.Reed for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 19:18 · TB 15 · Score 20-17
17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 15:26 · GB 2 · Score 26-17
(:26) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 41-K.Kieft for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 15:20 · GB 15 · Score 27-17
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 10:07 · TB 15 · Score 27-20
(10:07) 17-A.Carlson 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 6:40 · GB 52 · Score 33-20
(6:40) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 19-D.Moore for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the pl - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 6:30 · GB 15 · Score 34-20
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Green Bay Packers 34-20 in Week 15, 2023 on 2023-12-17.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34, Green Bay Packers 20 (TB 34-20 GB) in Week 15, 2023 on 2023-12-17.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Green Bay Packers 7; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10, Green Bay Packers 3; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, Green Bay Packers 7; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Green Bay Packers 3; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34, Green Bay Packers 20.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
Green Bay Packers touchdown — T. Kraft (J. Love pass) (Q1 45:54) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (B. Mayfield pass) (Q2 42:26) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. White (B. Mayfield pass) (Q3 26:01) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Reed (J. Love pass) (Q3 19:26) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — K. Kieft (B. Mayfield pass) (Q3 15:26) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Moore (B. Mayfield pass) (Q4 6:40) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. McLaughlin (Q1 54:06, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — A. Carlson (Q2 37:13, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. McLaughlin (Q2 30:14, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — A. Carlson (Q4 10:07, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
J. Love (Green Bay Packers), 67.4% completion, +11.5% CPOE, +0.11 EPA per dropback, +4.76 total passing EPA. B. Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 62.9% completion, +14.2% CPOE, +0.72 EPA per dropback, +25.07 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
B. Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +25.07 on passing plays. across 35 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.69 EPA): (1:48) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 3 for -6 yards (55-K.Enagbare). FUMBLES (55-K.Enagbare), RECOVERED by GB-55-K.Enagbare at TB 4.. The biggest win-probability swing was -16.3%.
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 6-7 Now 7-7 W
Green Bay Packers
Entered 6-7 Now 6-8 L
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