FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 13 · December 3, 2017 · 12 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers: 2017 Week 13 Recap

Packers defeat Buccaneers 26–20 in Week 13

C.Brate led Fantasy Impact as Packers prevailed in a 20–26 Week 13 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20 4–8
Final 20–26
Green Bay Packers 26 6–6 Winner
Winner
Green Bay Packers
Final score
20–26
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10–17 Green Bay Packers
Top passer
Jameis Winston
FantasyHQ MVP
C.Brate
Game date
December 3, 2017

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • C.Brate 2 REC · 39 YDS · 2 TD +5.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Adam Humphries
    Adam Humphries 4 REC · 33 YDS +5.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Christian Sims
    Christian Sims 2 REC · 35 YDS +4.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • B.Hundley 2 CAR · 32 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Joshua Williams
    Joshua Williams 22 CAR · 113 YDS · 1 TD +2.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Andre Jones Jr.
    Andre Jones Jr. 1 CAR · 20 YDS · 1 TD +2.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Green Bay Packers defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26–20 in Week 13 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-12-03, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-27.3% win probability) came in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 13 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-12-03, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 26–20 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -1.16 total EPA, and +6.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Brate (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.42 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-27.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (4:31) 66-L.Wester reported in as eligible. 3-J.Winston sacked at GB 38 for -8 yards (97-K.Clark). FUMBLES (97-K.Clark) [97-K.Clark], RECOVERED by GB-94-D.Lowry at GB 38. 94-D.Lowry for 62 yards, TOUC

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4OTT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers73100020
Green Bay Packers31436026

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.42 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Humphries · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.23 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.31 EPA/play
  3. 3 C.Sims III · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.15 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.08 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. Hundley · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +3.03 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.01 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Williams · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.92 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.61 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.61 EPA/play
  7. 7 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.93 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.62 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

C. Brate — TB · Receiving

C. Brate posted the highest total EPA (+5.42) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +0.90 EPA per play.

The signature play (-10.79 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (4:31) 66-L.Wester reported in as eligible. 3-J.Winston sacked at GB 38 for -8 yards (97-K.Clark). FUMBLES (97-K.Clark) [97-K.Clark], RECOVERED by GB-94-D.Lowry at GB 38. 94-D.Lowry for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q1 54:58)
  • Green Bay Packers — J. Williams (Q2 37:17)
  • Green Bay Packers — D. Lowry (Q2 34:31)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q4 6:06)
  • Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (OT 6:08)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q1 47:34)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Murray (Q2 30:17)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Murray (Q4 14:33)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 2:03)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 28 (Q1 54:58) — (9:58) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 54:52); Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 19 (Q1 47:34) — (2:34) 2-M.Crosby 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-J.Vogel..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 37:17) — (7:17) 74-U.John reported in as eligible. 30-J.Williams left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 37:12) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-J.Vogel.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the GB 30 (Q2 34:31); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 34:17) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-J.Vogel.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 18 (Q2 30:17) — (:17) 7-P.Murray 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 12 (Q4 14:33) — (14:33) 7-P.Murray 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 11 (Q4 6:06) — (6:06) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 6:02) — 7-P.Murray extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 5 (Q4 2:03) — (2:03) 2-M.Crosby 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-J.Vogel..

Overtime: Green Bay Packers won the period 6–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 20 (OT 6:08) — (6:08) 33-A.Jones left end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 34:31) — (4:31) 66-L.Wester reported in as eligible. 3-J.Winston sacked at GB 38 for -8 yards (97-K.Clark). FUMBLES (97-K.Clark) [97-K.Clark], RECOVERED by GB-94-D.Lowry at GB 38. 94-D.Lowry for 62 yards, TOUC [WPA -27.3% · EPA -10.79]
  • Green Bay Packers (OT 7:58) — (7:58) (Shotgun) 7-B.Hundley right end to TB 41 for 18 yards (54-L.David). [WPA +16.7% · EPA +1.50]
  • Green Bay Packers (OT 8:38) — (8:38) (Shotgun) 7-B.Hundley scrambles right end ran ob at GB 41 for 7 yards (37-K.Tandy). [WPA +13.0% · EPA +1.34]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:03) — (2:03) 2-M.Crosby 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-J.Vogel. [WPA -12.8% · EPA +0.06]
  • Green Bay Packers (OT 6:08) — (6:08) 33-A.Jones left end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.5% · EPA +2.61]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 34:31) — (4:31) 66-L.Wester reported in as eligible. 3-J.Winston sacked at GB 38 for -8 yards (97-K.Clark). FUMBLES (97-K.Clark) [97-K.Clark], RECOVERED by GB-94-D.Lowry at GB 38. 94-D.Lowry for 62 yards, TOUC [WPA -27.3% · EPA -10.79]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 54:58) — (9:58) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.3% · EPA +3.91]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 6:06) — (6:06) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.8% · EPA +3.51]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 22:38) — (7:38) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at TB 42 for -14 yards (94-D.Lowry). [WPA -6.0% · EPA -3.15]

Quarterback report card

J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 43 dropbacks · 48.8% completion · +6.6% CPOE · -0.03 EPA/play · -1.16 total EPA
  • B.Hundley (Green Bay Packers) · 29 dropbacks · 44.8% completion · -5.2% CPOE · -0.28 EPA/play · -8.14 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersGreen Bay Packers
Offensive EPA/play-0.017+0.044
Offensive success rate45.3%47.1%
Pass EPA/play-0.027-0.281
Rush EPA/play+0.007+0.342
Defensive EPA/play-0.044+0.017
Defensive success rate52.9%54.7%

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.02), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, +3.05 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, -1.60 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • C. Brate (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • B. Hundley (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 54:58 · GB 28 · Score 6-0
    (9:58) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep middle to 84-C.Brate for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 54:52 · GB 15 · Score 7-0
    7-P.Murray extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger. PENALTY on GB-94-D.Lowry, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
  3. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 47:34 · TB 19 · Score 7-3
    (2:34) 2-M.Crosby 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-J.Vogel.
  4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 37:17 · TB 1 · Score 7-9
    (7:17) 74-U.John reported in as eligible. 30-J.Williams left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 37:12 · TB 15 · Score 7-10
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-J.Vogel.
  6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 34:31 · GB 30 · Score 7-16
    (4:31) 66-L.Wester reported in as eligible. 3-J.Winston sacked at GB 38 for -8 yards (97-K.Clark). FUMBLES (97-K.Clark) [97-K.Clark], RECOVERED by GB-94-D.Lowry
  7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 34:17 · TB 15 · Score 7-17
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-J.Vogel.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:17 · GB 18 · Score 10-17
    (:17) 7-P.Murray 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 14:33 · GB 12 · Score 13-17
    (14:33) 7-P.Murray 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 6:06 · GB 11 · Score 19-17
    (6:06) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 84-C.Brate for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 6:02 · GB 15 · Score 20-17
    7-P.Murray extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 2:03 · TB 5 · Score 20-20
    (2:03) 2-M.Crosby 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-J.Vogel.
  13. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — OT 6:08 · TB 20 · Score 20-26
    (6:08) 33-A.Jones left end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-20 in Week 13, 2017 on 2017-12-03.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20, Green Bay Packers 26 (TB 20-26 GB) in Week 13, 2017 on 2017-12-03.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Green Bay Packers 3; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3, Green Bay Packers 14; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10, Green Bay Packers 3; Q5: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Green Bay Packers 6; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20, Green Bay Packers 26.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q1 54:58) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Williams (Q2 37:17) Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Lowry (Q2 34:31) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q4 6:06) Green Bay Packers touchdown — A. Jones (OT 6:08) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q1 47:34, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — P. Murray (Q2 30:17, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — P. Murray (Q4 14:33, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q4 2:03, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 48.8% completion, +6.6% CPOE, -0.03 EPA per dropback, -1.16 total passing EPA. B. Hundley (Green Bay Packers), 44.8% completion, -5.2% CPOE, -0.28 EPA per dropback, -8.14 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

C. Brate (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +5.42 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-10.79 EPA): (4:31) 66-L.Wester reported in as eligible. 3-J.Winston sacked at GB 38 for -8 yards (97-K.Clark). FUMBLES (97-K.Clark) [97-K.Clark], RECOVERED by GB-94-D.Lowry at GB 38. 94-D.Lowr. The biggest win-probability swing was -27.3%.

Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Green Bay Packers won 26-20 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 4-7 Now 4-8 L

Green Bay Packers

Entered 5-6 Now 6-6 W