Game story
In Week 17 of the 2011 NFL season on 2012-01-01, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 45–24 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -7.59 total EPA, and +3.3% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Turner (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.30 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+11.4% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (13:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 84-R.White to TB 32 for 23 yards (33-E.Mack) [71-M.Bennett].
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 24 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 21 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 45 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Turner · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +12.30 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
- 2 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +11.23 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
- 3 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +7.51 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
- 4 M. Williams · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
- 5 P. Parker · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.52 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
- 6 T. Gonzalez · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.39 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
- 7 M. Madu · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.89 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
- 8 D. Briscoe · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.21 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.02 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Turner — ATL · Rushing
M. Turner posted the highest total EPA (+12.30) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 17 counted snaps, they averaged +0.72 EPA per play.
The signature play (-9.19 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Atlanta Falcons — J. Rodgers
- Atlanta Falcons — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass)
- Atlanta Falcons — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass)
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner
- Atlanta Falcons — C. Lofton
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — E. Mack
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass)
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth
- Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 21–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q1 53:16) — (8:16) 22-J.Rodgers left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 53:12) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 17 (Q1 48:40) — (3:40) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 48:30) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 48 (Q1 48:16); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 48:04) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher..
The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 21–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 41:43) — (11:43) 33-M.Turner right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 41:40) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ATL 76 (Q2 40:52); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 40:43) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 81 (Q2 37:03) — (7:03) 33-M.Turner left end for 81 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 36:49) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 2 (Q2 32:09) — (2:09) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 89-D.Briscoe for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 32:04) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen..
The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 11–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 23 (Q3 19:24) — (4:24) 10-C.Barth 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 62 (Q3 18:40) — (3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers registered a safety from the ATL 2 (Q3 18:32) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-J.Freeman pass to 82-K.Winslow is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 6–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 5 (Q4 11:18) — (11:18) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 89-D.Briscoe for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 2 (Q4 4:02) — (4:02) 3-M.Bryant 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q1 58:38) — (13:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 84-R.White to TB 32 for 23 yards (33-E.Mack) [71-M.Bennett].
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 45:19) — (:19) 5-J.Freeman sacked at TB 30 for -6 yards (55-J.Abraham). FUMBLES (55-J.Abraham), RECOVERED by ATL-55-J.Abraham at TB 30. 55-J.Abraham to TB 30 for no gain (5-J.Freeman).
- Atlanta Falcons (Q1 56:38) — (11:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez to TB 20 for 8 yards (20-R.Barber).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 51:56) — (6:56) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman sacked at TB 15 for -9 yards (sack split by 25-W.Moore and 71-K.Biermann).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 48:24) — (3:24) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right intended for 89-D.Briscoe INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Franks at TB 48. 24-D.Franks to TB 48 for no gain (89-D.Briscoe).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q3 18:40) — (3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 40:52) — (10:52) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle intended for 82-K.Winslow INTERCEPTED by 50-C.Lofton at TB 26. 50-C.Lofton for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-19-M.Williams, Illegal Shift, declined
- Atlanta Falcons (Q2 37:03) — (7:03) 33-M.Turner left end for 81 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q4 7:39) — (7:39) 22-J.Rodgers left tackle to TB 1 for no gain (22-L.Asante). FUMBLES (22-L.Asante), RECOVERED by TB-43-A.Black at TB 2.
Quarterback report card
J.Freeman led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 50 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +3.3% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -7.59 total EPA
- C.Redman (Atlanta Falcons) · 12 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · -9.0% CPOE · -0.86 EPA/play · -10.34 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Atlanta Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.165 | +0.088 |
| Offensive success rate | 43.8% | 50.0% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.152 | +0.042 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.502 | +0.209 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.088 | +0.165 |
| Defensive success rate | 50.0% | 56.2% |
By the numbers
Atlanta Falcons held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.17), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Atlanta Falcons: 13 drives, +6.49 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, -13.19 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- M. Turner (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Freeman (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- C. Redman (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 53:16 · TB 1 · Score 0-6
(8:16) 22-J.Rodgers left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 53:12 · TB 2 · Score 0-7
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 48:40 · TB 17 · Score 0-13
(3:40) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 48:30 · TB 2 · Score 0-14
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 48:16 · TB 48 · Score 0-20
(3:16) (No Huddle) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 11-J.Jones for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the pla - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 48:04 · TB 2 · Score 0-21
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 41:43 · TB 1 · Score 0-27
(11:43) 33-M.Turner right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 41:40 · TB 2 · Score 0-28
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 40:52 · ATL 76 · Score 0-34
(10:52) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle intended for 82-K.Winslow INTERCEPTED by 50-C.Lofton at TB 26. 50-C.Lofton for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on T - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 40:43 · TB 2 · Score 0-35
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 37:03 · TB 81 · Score 0-41
(7:03) 33-M.Turner left end for 81 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 36:49 · TB 2 · Score 0-42
3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 32:09 · ATL 2 · Score 6-42
(2:09) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 89-D.Briscoe for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 32:04 · ATL 2 · Score 7-42
10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 19:24 · ATL 23 · Score 10-42
(4:24) 10-C.Barth 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 18:40 · TB 62 · Score 16-42
(3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Safety (+2) — Q3 18:32 · ATL 2 · Score 18-42
(Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-J.Freeman pass to 82-K.Winslow is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 11:18 · ATL 5 · Score 24-42
(11:18) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 89-D.Briscoe for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 4:02 · TB 2 · Score 24-45
(4:02) 3-M.Bryant 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 45-24 in Week 17, 2011 on 2012-01-01.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Atlanta Falcons 45 (TB 24-45 ATL) in Week 17, 2011 on 2012-01-01.
What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Atlanta Falcons 21; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 21; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6, Atlanta Falcons 3; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Atlanta Falcons 45.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Rodgers (Q1 53:16) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 48:40) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 48:16) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q2 41:43) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — C. Lofton (Q2 40:52) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q2 37:03) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 32:09) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — E. Mack (Q3 18:40) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass) (Q4 11:18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q3 19:24, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 4:02, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 60.0% completion, +3.3% CPOE, -0.15 EPA per dropback, -7.59 total passing EPA. C. Redman (Atlanta Falcons), 58.3% completion, -9.0% CPOE, -0.86 EPA per dropback, -10.34 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?
M. Turner (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +12.30 on rushing plays. across 17 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-9.19 EPA): (3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +11.4%.
Season records after this game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 4-11 Now 4-12 L
Atlanta Falcons
Entered 9-6 Now 10-6 W