FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 1, 2012 · 12 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2011 Week 17 Recap

Falcons defeat Buccaneers 45–24 in Week 17

Malik Turner led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 24–45 Week 17 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 4–12
Final 24–45
Atlanta Falcons 45 10–6 Winner
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
24–45
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7–42 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
J. Freeman
FantasyHQ MVP
Malik Turner
Game date
January 1, 2012

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Mykel Williams
    Mykel Williams 1 REC · 31 YDS +2.1 Fantasy Impact
  • P.Parker 4 REC · 74 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Madu 3 REC · 19 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Malik Turner
    Malik Turner 17 CAR · 172 YDS · 2 TD +12.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 6/9 · 106 YDS · 2 TD +11.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Justin Jones
    Justin Jones 4 REC · 76 YDS · 2 TD +7.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 45–24 in Week 17 of the 2011 NFL season on 2012-01-01, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+11.4% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2011 NFL season on 2012-01-01, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 45–24 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -7.59 total EPA, and +3.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Turner (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.30 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.4% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (13:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 84-R.White to TB 32 for 23 yards (33-E.Mack) [71-M.Bennett].

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers07116024
Atlanta Falcons212103045

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Turner · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +12.30 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +11.23 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +7.51 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Williams · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
  5. 5 P. Parker · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.52 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Gonzalez · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.39 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Madu · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.89 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Briscoe · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.21 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.02 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Turner — ATL · Rushing

M. Turner posted the highest total EPA (+12.30) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 17 counted snaps, they averaged +0.72 EPA per play.

The signature play (-9.19 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Rodgers (Q1 53:16)
  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 48:40)
  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 48:16)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner (Q2 41:43)
  • Atlanta Falcons — C. Lofton (Q2 40:52)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner (Q2 37:03)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 32:09)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — E. Mack (Q3 18:40)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass) (Q4 11:18)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q3 19:24)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 4:02)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 21–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q1 53:16) — (8:16) 22-J.Rodgers left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 53:12) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 17 (Q1 48:40) — (3:40) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 48:30) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 48 (Q1 48:16); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 48:04) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 21–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 41:43) — (11:43) 33-M.Turner right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 41:40) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ATL 76 (Q2 40:52); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 40:43) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 81 (Q2 37:03) — (7:03) 33-M.Turner left end for 81 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 36:49) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 2 (Q2 32:09) — (2:09) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 89-D.Briscoe for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 32:04) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 11–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 23 (Q3 19:24) — (4:24) 10-C.Barth 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 62 (Q3 18:40) — (3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers registered a safety from the ATL 2 (Q3 18:32) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-J.Freeman pass to 82-K.Winslow is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 6–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 5 (Q4 11:18) — (11:18) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 89-D.Briscoe for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 2 (Q4 4:02) — (4:02) 3-M.Bryant 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 58:38) — (13:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 84-R.White to TB 32 for 23 yards (33-E.Mack) [71-M.Bennett]. [WPA +11.4% · EPA +3.02]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 45:19) — (:19) 5-J.Freeman sacked at TB 30 for -6 yards (55-J.Abraham). FUMBLES (55-J.Abraham), RECOVERED by ATL-55-J.Abraham at TB 30. 55-J.Abraham to TB 30 for no gain (5-J.Freeman). [WPA -5.1% · EPA -5.26]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 56:38) — (11:38) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez to TB 20 for 8 yards (20-R.Barber). [WPA +5.1% · EPA +1.39]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 51:56) — (6:56) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman sacked at TB 15 for -9 yards (sack split by 25-W.Moore and 71-K.Biermann). [WPA -4.7% · EPA -2.11]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 48:24) — (3:24) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right intended for 89-D.Briscoe INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Franks at TB 48. 24-D.Franks to TB 48 for no gain (89-D.Briscoe). [WPA -4.6% · EPA -3.17]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 18:40) — (3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.0% · EPA -9.19]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 40:52) — (10:52) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle intended for 82-K.Winslow INTERCEPTED by 50-C.Lofton at TB 26. 50-C.Lofton for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on TB-19-M.Williams, Illegal Shift, declined [WPA -0.1% · EPA -6.79]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 37:03) — (7:03) 33-M.Turner left end for 81 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.1% · EPA +6.38]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 7:39) — (7:39) 22-J.Rodgers left tackle to TB 1 for no gain (22-L.Asante). FUMBLES (22-L.Asante), RECOVERED by TB-43-A.Black at TB 2. [WPA -0.4% · EPA -5.57]

Quarterback report card

J.Freeman led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 50 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +3.3% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -7.59 total EPA
  • C.Redman (Atlanta Falcons) · 12 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · -9.0% CPOE · -0.86 EPA/play · -10.34 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play-0.165+0.088
Offensive success rate43.8%50.0%
Pass EPA/play-0.152+0.042
Rush EPA/play-0.502+0.209
Defensive EPA/play-0.088+0.165
Defensive success rate50.0%56.2%

By the numbers

Atlanta Falcons held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.17), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 13 drives, +6.49 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, -13.19 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Turner (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Freeman (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • C. Redman (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 53:16 · TB 1 · Score 0-6
    (8:16) 22-J.Rodgers left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 53:12 · TB 2 · Score 0-7
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 48:40 · TB 17 · Score 0-13
    (3:40) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 11-J.Jones for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 48:30 · TB 2 · Score 0-14
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  5. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 48:16 · TB 48 · Score 0-20
    (3:16) (No Huddle) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 11-J.Jones for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the pla
  6. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 48:04 · TB 2 · Score 0-21
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  7. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 41:43 · TB 1 · Score 0-27
    (11:43) 33-M.Turner right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 41:40 · TB 2 · Score 0-28
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  9. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 40:52 · ATL 76 · Score 0-34
    (10:52) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle intended for 82-K.Winslow INTERCEPTED by 50-C.Lofton at TB 26. 50-C.Lofton for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on T
  10. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 40:43 · TB 2 · Score 0-35
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  11. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 37:03 · TB 81 · Score 0-41
    (7:03) 33-M.Turner left end for 81 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 36:49 · TB 2 · Score 0-42
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 32:09 · ATL 2 · Score 6-42
    (2:09) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 89-D.Briscoe for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 32:04 · ATL 2 · Score 7-42
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 19:24 · ATL 23 · Score 10-42
    (4:24) 10-C.Barth 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 18:40 · TB 62 · Score 16-42
    (3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Safety (+2) — Q3 18:32 · ATL 2 · Score 18-42
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-J.Freeman pass to 82-K.Winslow is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 11:18 · ATL 5 · Score 24-42
    (11:18) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short middle to 89-D.Briscoe for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  19. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 4:02 · TB 2 · Score 24-45
    (4:02) 3-M.Bryant 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 45-24 in Week 17, 2011 on 2012-01-01.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Atlanta Falcons 45 (TB 24-45 ATL) in Week 17, 2011 on 2012-01-01.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Atlanta Falcons 21; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 21; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6, Atlanta Falcons 3; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Atlanta Falcons 45.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Rodgers (Q1 53:16) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 48:40) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 48:16) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q2 41:43) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — C. Lofton (Q2 40:52) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q2 37:03) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 32:09) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — E. Mack (Q3 18:40) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Briscoe (J. Freeman pass) (Q4 11:18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q3 19:24, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 4:02, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 60.0% completion, +3.3% CPOE, -0.15 EPA per dropback, -7.59 total passing EPA. C. Redman (Atlanta Falcons), 58.3% completion, -9.0% CPOE, -0.86 EPA per dropback, -10.34 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Turner (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +12.30 on rushing plays. across 17 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-9.19 EPA): (3:40) 8-C.Redman pass short right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 33-E.Mack at ATL 40. 33-E.Mack for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +11.4%.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 4-11 Now 4-12 L

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 9-6 Now 10-6 W