FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 9 · November 7, 2010 · 11 min read

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2010 Week 9 Recap

Falcons defeat Buccaneers 27–21 in Week 9

J.Freeman led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 21–27 Week 9 finish.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21 5–3
Final 21–27
Atlanta Falcons 27 6–2 Winner
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
21–27
Halftime
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14–17 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
J.Freeman
Game date
November 7, 2010

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • J.Freeman 11/27 · 207 YDS · 2 TD +13.1 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Spurlock 2 REC · 46 YDS +5.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Mykel Williams
    Mykel Williams 4 REC · 89 YDS · 1 TD +3.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 24/38 · 241 YDS · 1 TD +11.7 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Finneran 3 REC · 24 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Jenkins 2 REC · 55 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27–21 in Week 9 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-11-07, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-23.4% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 9 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-11-07, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 27–21 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +11.70 total EPA, and +5.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.07 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-23.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (2:44) 27-L.Blount right tackle to ATL 2 for no gain (28-T.DeCoud).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3T
Tampa Bay Buccaneers01470021
Atlanta Falcons710100027

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Freeman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +13.07 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +11.70 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Spurlock · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.43 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.71 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Williams · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.26 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  5. 5 B. Finneran · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.99 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Jenkins · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.95 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  7. 7 R. White · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.79 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Palmer · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.60 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Freeman — TB · Passing

J. Freeman posted the highest total EPA (+13.07) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 27 counted snaps, they averaged +0.48 EPA per play.

The signature play (+6.53 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9-M.Koenen kicks 59 yards from ATL 30 to TB 11. 81-M.Spurlock for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner (Q1 53:10)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner (Q2 43:44)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — A. Benn (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 42:18)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Williams (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 32:16)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Palmer (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 25:34)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Spurlock (Q3 15:46)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 35:31)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q3 15:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 2 (Q1 53:10) — (8:10) 33-M.Turner right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 53:06) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–10. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 10 (Q2 43:44) — (13:44) 33-M.Turner right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 43:39) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 14 (Q2 42:18) — (12:18) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 17-A.Benn for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 42:10) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 13 (Q2 35:31) — (5:31) 3-M.Bryant 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 58 (Q2 32:16) — (2:16) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 19-M.Williams for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 32:06) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone..

The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 10–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q3 25:34) — (10:34) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 81-M.Palmer for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q3 25:31) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 23 (Q3 15:50) — (:50) 3-M.Bryant 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 30 (Q3 15:46) — 9-M.Koenen kicks 59 yards from ATL 30 to TB 11. 81-M.Spurlock for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 15:30) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 2:44) — (2:44) 27-L.Blount right tackle to ATL 2 for no gain (28-T.DeCoud). [WPA -23.4% · EPA -3.59]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 5:19) — (5:19) 5-J.Freeman pass incomplete deep right to 17-A.Benn. flea-flicker PENALTY on ATL-25-W.Moore, Defensive Pass Interference, 33 yards, enforced at ATL 44 - No Play. [WPA +19.2% · EPA +2.44]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 15:46) — 9-M.Koenen kicks 59 yards from ATL 30 to TB 11. 81-M.Spurlock for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.0% · EPA +6.53]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 32:16) — (2:16) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 19-M.Williams for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.9% · EPA +5.64]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 12:38) — (12:38) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 81-M.Spurlock to TB 44 for 43 yards (20-B.Grimes). [WPA +12.3% · EPA +4.38]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 15:46) — 9-M.Koenen kicks 59 yards from ATL 30 to TB 11. 81-M.Spurlock for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.0% · EPA +6.53]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 32:16) — (2:16) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 19-M.Williams for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.9% · EPA +5.64]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 12:38) — (12:38) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass deep right to 81-M.Spurlock to TB 44 for 43 yards (20-B.Grimes). [WPA +12.3% · EPA +4.38]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 11:52) — (11:52) 5-J.Freeman pass short right intended for 19-M.Williams INTERCEPTED by 20-B.Grimes at ATL 47. 20-B.Grimes ran ob at TB 49 for 4 yards. [WPA -8.6% · EPA -4.29]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 38 dropbacks · 63.2% completion · +5.0% CPOE · +0.31 EPA/play · +11.70 total EPA
  • J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 27 dropbacks · 40.7% completion · -10.9% CPOE · +0.48 EPA/play · +13.07 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatTampa Bay BuccaneersAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play+0.150+0.159
Offensive success rate46.2%46.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.484+0.308
Rush EPA/play-0.378+0.016
Defensive EPA/play-0.159-0.150
Defensive success rate53.4%53.8%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.15, Atlanta Falcons +0.16) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, +14.03 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 9 drives, +9.72 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. Freeman (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 53:10 · TB 2 · Score 0-6
    (8:10) 33-M.Turner right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 53:06 · TB 2 · Score 0-7
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 43:44 · TB 10 · Score 0-13
    (13:44) 33-M.Turner right guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 43:39 · TB 2 · Score 0-14
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 42:18 · ATL 14 · Score 6-14
    (12:18) 5-J.Freeman pass short right to 17-A.Benn for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 42:10 · ATL 2 · Score 7-14
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.
  7. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 35:31 · TB 13 · Score 7-17
    (5:31) 3-M.Bryant 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 32:16 · ATL 58 · Score 13-17
    (2:16) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short left to 19-M.Williams for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 32:06 · ATL 2 · Score 14-17
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.
  10. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 25:34 · TB 5 · Score 14-23
    (10:34) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 81-M.Palmer for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 25:31 · TB 2 · Score 14-24
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  12. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 15:50 · TB 23 · Score 14-27
    (:50) 3-M.Bryant 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 15:46 · ATL 30 · Score 20-27
    9-M.Koenen kicks 59 yards from ATL 30 to TB 11. 81-M.Spurlock for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 15:30 · ATL 2 · Score 21-27
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-1-R.Malone.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27-21 in Week 9, 2010 on 2010-11-07.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21, Atlanta Falcons 27 (TB 21-27 ATL) in Week 9, 2010 on 2010-11-07.

What was the score by quarter in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14, Atlanta Falcons 10; Q3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7, Atlanta Falcons 10; Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21, Atlanta Falcons 27.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q1 53:10) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q2 43:44) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — A. Benn (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 42:18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Williams (J. Freeman pass) (Q2 32:16) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Palmer (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 25:34) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Spurlock (Q3 15:46) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 35:31, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q3 15:50, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 63.2% completion, +5.0% CPOE, +0.31 EPA per dropback, +11.70 total passing EPA. J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 40.7% completion, -10.9% CPOE, +0.48 EPA per dropback, +13.07 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons?

J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +13.07 on passing plays. across 27 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.53 EPA): 9-M.Koenen kicks 59 yards from ATL 30 to TB 11. 81-M.Spurlock for 89 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -23.4%.

Was Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Atlanta Falcons won 27-21 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 5-2 Now 5-3 L

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 5-2 Now 6-2 W