San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants: 2015 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-10-11, the New York Giants took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 30–27 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

E. Manning (New York Giants) paced the passing game, with +21.97 total EPA, and +10.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, E. Manning (New York Giants) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +21.97 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+31.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New York Giants changed the game: (:26) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 84-L.Donnell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 E. Manning · New York Giants · Passing · +21.97 total EPA · 58 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
2. 2 C. Kaepernick · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +15.78 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
3. 3 S. Vereen · New York Giants · Receiving · +6.00 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Boldin · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +5.12 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
5. 5 O.Beckham Jr. · New York Giants · Receiving · +3.92 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
6. 6 G. Celek · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.41 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Harris · New York Giants · Receiving · +3.30 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
8. 8 B. Ellington · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.14 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.57 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Giants — S. Vereen (E. Manning pass) (Q2 42:20)
• San Francisco 49ers — A. Boldin (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q3 23:06)
• New York Giants — O. Beckham (E. Manning pass) (Q3 16:27)
• San Francisco 49ers — G. Celek (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q4 11:53)
• San Francisco 49ers — C. Hyde (Q4 1:49)
• New York Giants — L. Donnell (E. Manning pass) (Q4 0:26)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q1 56:25)
• New York Giants — J. Brown (Q1 51:29)
• New York Giants — J. Brown (Q2 34:02)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 31:05)
• New York Giants — J. Brown (Q4 4:37)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the NYG 25 (Q1 56:25) — (11:25) 9-P.Dawson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; New York Giants connected on a field goal from the SF 4 (Q1 51:29) — (6:29) 3-J.Brown 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing..

The second quarter: New York Giants won the period 10–3. New York Giants found the end zone from the SF 2 (Q2 42:20) — (12:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 34-S.Vereen for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q2 42:15) — 3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.; New York Giants connected on a field goal from the SF 23 (Q2 34:02) — (4:02) 3-J.Brown 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the NYG 4 (Q2 31:05) — (1:05) 9-P.Dawson 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the NYG 3 (Q3 23:06) — (8:06) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 81-A.Boldin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q3 23:00) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; New York Giants found the end zone from the SF 17 (Q3 16:27) — (1:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 13-O.Beckham Jr. for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN [59-A.Lynch].; New York Giants added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q3 16:14) — 3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–10. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the NYG 5 (Q4 11:53) — (11:53) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short middle to 88-G.Celek for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q4 11:49) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; New York Giants connected on a field goal from the SF 5 (Q4 4:37) — (4:37) 3-J.Brown 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the NYG 2 (Q4 1:49) — (1:49) 28-C.Hyde left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the NYG 15 (Q4 1:45) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; New York Giants found the end zone from the SF 12 (Q4 0:26) — (:26) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 84-L.Donnell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Giants added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 0:21) — 3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Giants (Q4 0:26) — (:26) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 84-L.Donnell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +31.3% · EPA +2.79]
• New York Giants (Q4 0:40) — (:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 34-S.Vereen to SF 20 for 24 yards (41-A.Bethea, 26-T.Brock). [WPA +21.1% · EPA +1.95]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 11:53) — (11:53) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short middle to 88-G.Celek for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.8% · EPA +2.78]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 3:50) — (3:50) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 81-A.Boldin to NYG 29 for 26 yards (31-T.Wade). [WPA +12.6% · EPA +1.65]
• New York Giants (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 13-O.Beckham Jr. to SF 22 for 31 yards (53-N.Bowman). [WPA +11.1% · EPA +3.05]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 26:52) — (11:52) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 81-A.Boldin to NYG 43 for 37 yards (43-C.Dahl). [WPA +4.7% · EPA +3.14]
• New York Giants (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 13-O.Beckham Jr. to SF 22 for 31 yards (53-N.Bowman). [WPA +11.1% · EPA +3.05]
• New York Giants (Q1 53:58) — (8:58) (No Huddle) 10-E.Manning pass deep right to 13-O.Beckham Jr. to SF 12 for 49 yards (20-K.Acker). [WPA +9.7% · EPA +2.92]
• New York Giants (Q2 30:11) — (:11) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep right intended for 13-O.Beckham Jr. INTERCEPTED by 26-T.Brock at SF -6. Touchback. [WPA -8.0% · EPA -2.80]

Quarterback report card

E.Manning led all passers in efficiency for New York Giants, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• E.Manning (New York Giants) · 58 dropbacks · 70.7% completion · +10.6% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +21.97 total EPA
• C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 43 dropbacks · 53.5% completion · +0.3% CPOE · +0.37 EPA/play · +15.78 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (San Francisco 49ers +0.22, New York Giants +0.20) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• New York Giants: 9 drives, +18.85 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 10 drives, +18.57 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Giants leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• E. Manning (New York Giants) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• E. Manning (NYG) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 56:25 · NYG 25 · Score 3-0
   (11:25) 9-P.Dawson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
2. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q1 51:29 · SF 4 · Score 3-3
   (6:29) 3-J.Brown 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
3. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q2 42:20 · SF 2 · Score 3-9
   (12:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 34-S.Vereen for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q2 42:15 · SF 15 · Score 3-10
   3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
5. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q2 34:02 · SF 23 · Score 3-13
   (4:02) 3-J.Brown 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
6. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 31:05 · NYG 4 · Score 6-13
   (1:05) 9-P.Dawson 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
7. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 23:06 · NYG 3 · Score 12-13
   (8:06) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 81-A.Boldin for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 23:00 · NYG 15 · Score 13-13
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
9. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q3 16:27 · SF 17 · Score 13-19
   (1:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 13-O.Beckham Jr. for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN [59-A.Lynch].
10. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q3 16:14 · SF 15 · Score 13-20
    3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
11. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 11:53 · NYG 5 · Score 19-20
    (11:53) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short middle to 88-G.Celek for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 11:49 · NYG 15 · Score 20-20
    9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
13. New York Giants FG (+3) — Q4 4:37 · SF 5 · Score 20-23
    (4:37) 3-J.Brown 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.
14. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 1:49 · NYG 2 · Score 26-23
    (1:49) 28-C.Hyde left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 1:45 · NYG 15 · Score 27-23
    9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
16. New York Giants TD (+6) — Q4 0:26 · SF 12 · Score 27-29
    (:26) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short middle to 84-L.Donnell for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. New York Giants XP (+1) — Q4 0:21 · SF 15 · Score 27-30
    3-J.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-B.Wing.