San Francisco 49ers vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2014 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-07, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 24–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with -1.40 total EPA, and -7.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.39 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+18.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: 49ers' Captains: #7 C.Kaepernick, #57 M.Wilhoite, #74 J.Staley

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +13.39 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Rivera · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +10.64 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.52 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Reece · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +5.33 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
4. 4 V. Brown · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.50 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.50 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Penn · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.35 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.35 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Miller · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.69 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.69 EPA/play
7. 7 F. Gore · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +1.39 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
8. 8 G. Celek · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.32 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — B. Miller (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q1 47:00)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Penn (D. Carr pass) (Q2 40:51)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Reece (D. Carr pass) (Q3 19:13)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Rivera (D. Carr pass) (Q4 10:43)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q1 56:51)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 30:06)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q3 23:37)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the SF 39 (Q1 56:51) — (11:51) 11-S.Janikowski 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the LV 8 (Q1 47:00); San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 46:54) — 9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–3. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the SF 3 (Q2 40:51) — (10:51) 72-D.Penn reported in as eligible. 4-D.Carr pass short left to 72-D.Penn for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 40:45) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LV 34 (Q2 30:06) — (:06) 9-P.Dawson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LV 2 (Q3 23:37) — (8:37) 9-P.Dawson 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the SF 9 (Q3 19:13) — (4:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 45-M.Reece for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 19:09) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the SF 5 (Q4 10:43); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q4 10:39) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1) — 49ers' Captains: #7 C.Kaepernick, #57 M.Wilhoite, #74 J.Staley [WPA +18.2% · EPA -0.48]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 43:39) — (13:39) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 19-V.Brown to SF 28 for 20 yards (36-D.Johnson; 57-M.Wilhoite). [WPA +12.3% · EPA +2.50]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 30:17) — (:17) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick scrambles up the middle to LV 34 for 16 yards (24-C.Woodson). [WPA +11.4% · EPA +0.83]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 81-M.Rivera to SF 29 for 27 yards (50-C.Borland). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +2.85]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 56:51) — (11:51) 11-S.Janikowski 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub. [WPA +8.8% · EPA +3.03]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 5:07) — (5:07) 9-P.Dawson 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee. [WPA -4.3% · EPA -3.58]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep left intended for 15-M.Crabtree INTERCEPTED by 29-B.Ross at LV 49. 29-B.Ross ran ob at LV 49 for no gain. [WPA +0.6% · EPA -3.18]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 56:51) — (11:51) 11-S.Janikowski 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub. [WPA +8.8% · EPA +3.03]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 2:42) — (2:42) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short middle intended for 85-V.Davis INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Woodson at SF 31. 24-C.Woodson to SF 28 for 3 yards (85-V.Davis). The Replay Official challenged the incom [WPA -1.6% · EPA -2.95]

Quarterback report card

C.Kaepernick led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 44 dropbacks · 40.9% completion · -7.1% CPOE · -0.03 EPA/play · -1.40 total EPA
• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 33 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +15.4% CPOE · +0.41 EPA/play · +13.39 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Las Vegas Raiders held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.09), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, +2.73 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 11 drives, -7.01 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• C. Kaepernick (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 56:51 · SF 39 · Score 0-3
   (11:51) 11-S.Janikowski 57 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub.
2. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 47:00 · LV 8 · Score 6-3
   (2:00) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short left to 49-B.Miller for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Up
3. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 46:54 · LV 2 · Score 7-3
   9-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee.
4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 40:51 · SF 3 · Score 7-9
   (10:51) 72-D.Penn reported in as eligible. 4-D.Carr pass short left to 72-D.Penn for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 40:45 · SF 2 · Score 7-10
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub.
6. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 30:06 · LV 34 · Score 10-10
   (:06) 9-P.Dawson 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee.
7. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 23:37 · LV 2 · Score 13-10
   (8:37) 9-P.Dawson 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-4-A.Lee.
8. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 19:13 · SF 9 · Score 13-16
   (4:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 45-M.Reece for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 19:09 · SF 2 · Score 13-17
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub.
10. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 10:43 · SF 5 · Score 13-23
    (10:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short left to 81-M.Rivera for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Up
11. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 10:39 · SF 2 · Score 13-24
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-8-M.Schaub.