FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 26, 2010 · 11 min read

San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams: 2010 Week 16 Recap

Rams defeat 49ers 25–17 in Week 16

Darius Alexander led Fantasy Impact as Rams prevailed in a 17–25 Week 16 finish.

San Francisco 49ers 17 5–10
Final 17–25
Los Angeles Rams 25 7–8 Winner
Winner
Los Angeles Rams
Final score
17–25
Halftime
San Francisco 49ers 14–12 Los Angeles Rams
Top passer
S. Bradford
FantasyHQ MVP
Darius Alexander
Game date
December 26, 2010

Top fantasy performers · 49ers

  • V.Davis 3 REC · 70 YDS +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Crabtree 6 REC · 122 YDS · 1 TD +3.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyron Smith
    Tyron Smith 2 CAR · 10 YDS +2.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • Darius Alexander
    Darius Alexander 6 REC · 99 YDS · 1 TD +5.8 Fantasy Impact
  • B.Gibson 3 REC · 69 YDS +2.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Layden Robinson
    Layden Robinson 3 REC · 25 YDS · 1 TD +2.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Los Angeles Rams defeated the San Francisco 49ers 25–17 in Week 16 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-26, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (+22.2% win probability) came in the second quarter when San Francisco 49ers swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-26, the Los Angeles Rams took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 25–17 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

S. Bradford (Los Angeles Rams) paced the passing game, with +1.87 total EPA, and +8.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Alexander (Los Angeles Rams) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.82 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+22.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (2:40) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Laurinaitis].

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
San Francisco 49ers01403017
Los Angeles Rams93310025

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 D. Alexander · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +5.82 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
  2. 2 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.08 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Crabtree · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.26 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. Gibson · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +2.50 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
  5. 5 L. Robinson · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +2.41 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Smith · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +1.99 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
  7. 7 S. Bradford · Los Angeles Rams · Passing · +1.87 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.05 EPA/play
  8. 8 S. Jackson · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +1.28 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

D. Alexander — LA · Receiving

D. Alexander posted the highest total EPA (+5.82) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Rams's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +0.83 EPA per play.

The signature play (+6.46 EPA) came from San Francisco 49ers: (2:40) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Laurinaitis].

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Rams — S. Jackson (Q1 56:26)
  • San Francisco 49ers — T. Ginn (Q2 39:44)
  • San Francisco 49ers — M. Crabtree (T. Smith pass) (Q2 32:40)
  • Los Angeles Rams — L. Robinson (S. Bradford pass) (Q4 9:45)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Rams — C. Massey (Q2 35:47)
  • Los Angeles Rams — C. Massey (Q3 24:43)
  • San Francisco 49ers — J. Reed (Q4 5:46)
  • Los Angeles Rams — C. Massey (Q4 3:54)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 9–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q1 56:26) — (11:26) 39-S.Jackson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q1 56:21) — 3-Josh.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones.; Los Angeles Rams registered a safety from the LA 95 (Q1 47:55) — (2:55) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at SF -3, and recovers at SF -4. 1-T.Smith tackled in End Zone, SAFETY (92-E.Sims)..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–3. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the SF 76 (Q2 39:44) — (9:44) 5-D.Jones punts 54 yards to SF 22, Center-45-C.Massey. 19-T.Ginn for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the LA 2 (Q2 39:26) — 3-J.Reed extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the SF 25 (Q2 35:47) — (5:47) 3-Josh.Brown 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the LA 60 (Q2 32:40) — (2:40) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Laurinaitis].; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the LA 2 (Q2 32:32) — 3-J.Reed extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The third quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 3–0. Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the SF 12 (Q3 24:43) — (9:43) 3-Josh.Brown 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones..

The fourth quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 10–3. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the SF 3 (Q4 9:45) — (9:45) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short right to 19-L.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q4 9:36) — 3-Josh.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the LA 29 (Q4 5:46) — (5:46) 3-J.Reed 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Los Angeles Rams connected on a field goal from the SF 10 (Q4 3:54) — (3:54) 3-Josh.Brown 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • San Francisco 49ers (Q2 32:40) — (2:40) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Laurinaitis]. [WPA +22.2% · EPA +6.46]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q3 15:37) — (:37) 3-J.Reed 34 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee. [WPA -15.4% · EPA -3.96]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 39:44) — (9:44) 5-D.Jones punts 54 yards to SF 22, Center-45-C.Massey. 19-T.Ginn for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -13.3% · EPA -6.14]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q3 27:44) — (12:44) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass deep middle intended for 15-M.Crabtree INTERCEPTED by 21-O.Atogwe at LA 40. 21-O.Atogwe pushed ob at SF 41 for 19 yards (19-T.Ginn). [WPA -13.3% · EPA -3.49]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q4 12:17) — (12:17) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith sacked at SF 15 for -9 yards (96-J.Hall). FUMBLES (96-J.Hall) [96-J.Hall], recovered by SF-20-B.Westbrook at SF 13. 20-B.Westbrook to SF 13 for no gain (72-C.Long). [WPA -10.7% · EPA -2.81]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • San Francisco 49ers (Q2 32:40) — (2:40) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Laurinaitis]. [WPA +22.2% · EPA +6.46]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 46:01) — (1:01) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford sacked at SF 23 for -13 yards (52-P.Willis). FUMBLES (52-P.Willis) [52-P.Willis], RECOVERED by SF-99-M.Lawson at SF 27. 99-M.Lawson to SF 32 for 5 yards (77-J.Smith). [WPA -10.1% · EPA -6.32]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 39:44) — (9:44) 5-D.Jones punts 54 yards to SF 22, Center-45-C.Massey. 19-T.Ginn for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -13.3% · EPA -6.14]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 5:41) — 3-J.Reed kicks 66 yards from SF 30 to LA 4. 16-D.Amendola to SF 12 for 84 yards (59-T.Gibson). [WPA +8.8% · EPA +4.32]

Quarterback report card

S.Bradford led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Rams, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • S.Bradford (Los Angeles Rams) · 40 dropbacks · 70.0% completion · +8.1% CPOE · +0.05 EPA/play · +1.87 total EPA
  • T.Smith (San Francisco 49ers) · 23 dropbacks · 30.4% completion · -21.3% CPOE · -0.19 EPA/play · -4.44 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatSan Francisco 49ersLos Angeles Rams
Offensive EPA/play-0.139-0.059
Offensive success rate38.0%50.6%
Pass EPA/play-0.159+0.120
Rush EPA/play-0.137-0.345
Defensive EPA/play+0.059+0.139
Defensive success rate49.4%62.0%

By the numbers

Los Angeles Rams held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.06 vs -0.14), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Los Angeles Rams: 14 drives, -5.24 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • San Francisco 49ers: 14 drives, -11.01 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Los Angeles Rams leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • D. Alexander (Los Angeles Rams) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • S. Bradford (LA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • T. Smith (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q1 56:26 · SF 1 · Score 0-6
    (11:26) 39-S.Jackson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q1 56:21 · SF 2 · Score 0-7
    3-Josh.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones.
  3. Los Angeles Rams Safety (+2) — Q1 47:55 · LA 95 · Score 0-9
    (2:55) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at SF -3, and recovers at SF -4. 1-T.Smith tackled in End Zone, SAFETY (92-E.Sims).
  4. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 39:44 · SF 76 · Score 6-9
    (9:44) 5-D.Jones punts 54 yards to SF 22, Center-45-C.Massey. 19-T.Ginn for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 39:26 · LA 2 · Score 7-9
    3-J.Reed extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
  6. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q2 35:47 · SF 25 · Score 7-12
    (5:47) 3-Josh.Brown 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones.
  7. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 32:40 · LA 60 · Score 13-12
    (2:40) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Laurinaitis].
  8. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 32:32 · LA 2 · Score 14-12
    3-J.Reed extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
  9. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q3 24:43 · SF 12 · Score 14-15
    (9:43) 3-Josh.Brown 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones.
  10. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q4 9:45 · SF 3 · Score 14-21
    (9:45) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short right to 19-L.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q4 9:36 · SF 2 · Score 14-22
    3-Josh.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones.
  12. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 5:46 · LA 29 · Score 17-22
    (5:46) 3-J.Reed 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
  13. Los Angeles Rams FG (+3) — Q4 3:54 · SF 10 · Score 17-25
    (3:54) 3-Josh.Brown 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-5-D.Jones.

Frequently asked questions

Who won San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams?

The Los Angeles Rams beat the San Francisco 49ers 25-17 in Week 16, 2010 on 2010-12-26.

What was the final score of San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams?

The final score was San Francisco 49ers 17, Los Angeles Rams 25 (SF 17-25 LA) in Week 16, 2010 on 2010-12-26.

What was the score by quarter in San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams?

Q1: San Francisco 49ers 0, Los Angeles Rams 9; Q2: San Francisco 49ers 14, Los Angeles Rams 3; Q3: San Francisco 49ers 0, Los Angeles Rams 3; Q4: San Francisco 49ers 3, Los Angeles Rams 10; Final: San Francisco 49ers 17, Los Angeles Rams 25.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams?

Los Angeles Rams touchdown — S. Jackson (Q1 56:26) San Francisco 49ers touchdown — T. Ginn (Q2 39:44) San Francisco 49ers touchdown — M. Crabtree (T. Smith pass) (Q2 32:40) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — L. Robinson (S. Bradford pass) (Q4 9:45) Los Angeles Rams field goal — C. Massey (Q2 35:47, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — C. Massey (Q3 24:43, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — J. Reed (Q4 5:46, 3 pts) Los Angeles Rams field goal — C. Massey (Q4 3:54, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams?

S. Bradford (Los Angeles Rams), 70.0% completion, +8.1% CPOE, +0.05 EPA per dropback, +1.87 total passing EPA. T. Smith (San Francisco 49ers), 30.4% completion, -21.3% CPOE, -0.19 EPA per dropback, -4.44 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams?

D. Alexander (Los Angeles Rams) led the game in total EPA with +5.82 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.46 EPA): (2:40) (Shotgun) 1-T.Smith pass short right to 15-M.Crabtree for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-J.Laurinaitis].. The biggest win-probability swing was +22.2%.

Season records after this game

San Francisco 49ers

Entered 5-9 Now 5-10 L

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 6-8 Now 7-8 W