San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers: 2018 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-15, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 33–30 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 31 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +8.57 total EPA, and -5.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Goodwin (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.44 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+20.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Goodwin · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +11.44 total EPA · 5 snaps · +2.29 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +8.57 total EPA · 52 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Beathard · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +7.80 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.61 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Mostert · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +3.29 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Graham · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.86 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Valdes-Scantling · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.53 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
8. 8 L. Kendricks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.34 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — M. Breida (Q1 56:04)
• Green Bay Packers — T. Montgomery (Q1 54:20)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 47:02)
• San Francisco 49ers — M. Goodwin (C. Beathard pass) (Q1 45:36)
• San Francisco 49ers — M. Goodwin (C. Beathard pass) (Q2 36:13)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 2:00)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q1 52:42)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 37:38)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q2 30:04)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 26:21)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q3 22:04)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q4 13:12)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 0:03)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 17–14. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 3 (Q1 56:04) — (11:04) 22-M.Breida up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 55:59) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 2 (Q1 54:20) — (9:20) 88-T.Montgomery left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q1 54:17) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 11 (Q1 52:42) — (7:42) 2-M.Crosby 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 9 (Q1 47:02) — (2:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q1 46:58) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 67 (Q1 45:36) — (:36) 3-C.Beathard pass deep middle to 11-M.Goodwin for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 45:27) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–3. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 21 (Q2 37:38) — (7:38) 2-M.Crosby 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the GB 30 (Q2 36:13) — (6:13) (No Huddle) 3-C.Beathard pass deep left to 11-M.Goodwin for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 36:05) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 28 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 9-R.Gould 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 33 (Q3 26:21) — (11:21) 2-M.Crosby 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 26 (Q3 22:04) — (7:04) 9-R.Gould 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–3. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the GB 24 (Q4 13:12) — (13:12) 9-R.Gould 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the SF 16 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the SF 15 (Q4 1:55) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the SF 9 (Q4 0:03) — (:03) 2-M.Crosby 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +20.7% · EPA +3.46]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 1:13) — (1:13) (Shotgun) 3-C.Beathard pass deep middle intended for 11-M.Goodwin INTERCEPTED by 20-K.King [21-H.Clinton-Dix] at GB 10. 20-K.King to GB 10 for no gain (11-M.Goodwin). [WPA -15.5% · EPA -0.97]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 0:03) — (:03) 2-M.Crosby 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott. [WPA +15.4% · EPA +0.09]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 54:17) — 2-M.Crosby kicks 62 yards from GB 35 to SF 3. 32-D.Reed to SF 33 for 30 yards (36-R.Greene). FUMBLES (36-R.Greene), RECOVERED by GB-54-J.Crawford at SF 34. 54-J.Crawford to SF 34 for no gain (47-E.Lee [WPA -13.2% · EPA -4.73]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 0:15) — (:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 19-E.St. Brown pushed ob at SF 28 for 19 yards (26-G.Mabin). [WPA +12.3% · EPA +1.14]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 45:36) — (:36) 3-C.Beathard pass deep middle to 11-M.Goodwin for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.0% · EPA +5.94]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 54:17) — 2-M.Crosby kicks 62 yards from GB 35 to SF 3. 32-D.Reed to SF 33 for 30 yards (36-R.Greene). FUMBLES (36-R.Greene), RECOVERED by GB-54-J.Crawford at SF 34. 54-J.Crawford to SF 34 for no gain (47-E.Lee [WPA -13.2% · EPA -4.73]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 55:53) — (10:53) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 83-M.Valdes-Scantling ran ob at SF 17 for 60 yards (20-J.Ward). [WPA +10.0% · EPA +3.97]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 42:23) — (12:23) 3-C.Beathard pass deep left to 44-K.Juszczyk to SF 41 for 21 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix). FUMBLES (21-H.Clinton-Dix), RECOVERED by GB-20-K.King at SF 44. 20-K.King to SF 44 for no gain (22-M.Brei [WPA -8.9% · EPA -3.50]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 52 dropbacks · 48.1% completion · -5.8% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +8.57 total EPA
• C.Beathard (San Francisco 49ers) · 29 dropbacks · 55.2% completion · +0.6% CPOE · +0.27 EPA/play · +7.80 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (San Francisco 49ers +0.12, Green Bay Packers +0.10) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, +9.16 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 12 drives, +8.91 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Goodwin (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 56:04 · GB 3 · Score 6-0
   (11:04) 22-M.Breida up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 55:59 · GB 15 · Score 7-0
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 54:20 · SF 2 · Score 7-6
   (9:20) 88-T.Montgomery left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 54:17 · SF 15 · Score 7-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
5. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 52:42 · SF 11 · Score 7-10
   (7:42) 2-M.Crosby 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 47:02 · SF 9 · Score 7-16
   (2:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 46:58 · SF 15 · Score 7-17
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
8. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 45:36 · GB 67 · Score 13-17
   (:36) 3-C.Beathard pass deep middle to 11-M.Goodwin for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 45:27 · GB 15 · Score 14-17
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
10. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 37:38 · SF 21 · Score 14-20
    (7:38) 2-M.Crosby 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
11. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 36:13 · GB 30 · Score 20-20
    (6:13) (No Huddle) 3-C.Beathard pass deep left to 11-M.Goodwin for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 36:05 · GB 15 · Score 21-20
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
13. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · GB 28 · Score 24-20
    (:04) 9-R.Gould 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
14. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 26:21 · SF 33 · Score 24-23
    (11:21) 2-M.Crosby 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
15. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 22:04 · GB 26 · Score 27-23
    (7:04) 9-R.Gould 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
16. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 13:12 · GB 24 · Score 30-23
    (13:12) 9-R.Gould 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
17. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 2:00 · SF 16 · Score 30-29
    (2:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 1:55 · SF 15 · Score 30-30
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
19. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 0:03 · SF 9 · Score 30-33
    (:03) 2-M.Crosby 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.