FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 13 · November 30, 2008 · 9 min read

San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills: 2008 Week 13 Recap

49ers defeat Bills 10–3 in Week 13

S.Hill led Fantasy Impact as 49ers prevailed in a 10–3 Week 13 finish.

San Francisco 49ers 10 4–8 Winner
Final 10–3
Buffalo Bills 3 6–6
Winner
San Francisco 49ers
Final score
10–3
Halftime
San Francisco 49ers 10–0 Buffalo Bills
Top passer
S. Hill
FantasyHQ MVP
S.Hill
Game date
November 30, 2008

Top fantasy performers · 49ers

  • S.Hill 14/30 · 135 YDS · 2 TD +7.9 Fantasy Impact
  • I.Bruce 5 REC · 67 YDS · 1 TD +7.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Julian Hill
    Julian Hill 5 REC · 55 YDS +5.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • L.Evans 7 REC · 80 YDS +5.7 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Schouman 4 REC · 44 YDS +5.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Joe Reed
    Joe Reed 5 REC · 58 YDS +3.8 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The San Francisco 49ers defeated the Buffalo Bills 10–3 in Week 13 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-11-30, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-12.1% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Buffalo Bills swung the momentum.

In Week 13 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-11-30, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 10–3 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 7 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

S. Hill (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with +7.92 total EPA, and +4.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, S. Hill (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.92 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (5:32) 9-R.Lindell 40 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3T
San Francisco 49ers7300010
Buffalo Bills003003

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 S. Hill · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +7.92 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  2. 2 I. Bruce · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +7.55 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.51 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Hill · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +5.66 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
  4. 4 L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.66 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Schouman · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.56 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Reed · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.77 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
  7. 7 B. Johnson · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +2.46 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.46 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Lynch · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.57 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

S. Hill — SF · Passing

S. Hill posted the highest total EPA (+7.92) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on San Francisco 49ers's efficiency. Across 30 counted snaps, they averaged +0.26 EPA per play.

The signature play (-3.87 EPA) came from San Francisco 49ers: (4:37) 21-F.Gore left tackle to BUF 24 for 3 yards (28-L.McKelvin). Buffalo challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 21-F.Gore left tackle to BUF 24 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-43-B.Scott at BU

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • San Francisco 49ers — I. Bruce (S. Hill pass) (Q1 51:56)

Field goals

  • San Francisco 49ers — J. Nedney (Q2 30:16)
  • Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q3 23:57)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the BUF 12 (Q1 51:56) — (6:56) 13-S.Hill pass short left to 88-I.Bruce for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in front left corner of end zone.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q1 51:51) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the BUF 32 (Q2 30:16) — (:16) 6-J.Nedney 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the SF 4 (Q3 23:57) — (8:57) 9-R.Lindell 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 5:32) — (5:32) 9-R.Lindell 40 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman. [WPA -12.1% · EPA -3.46]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 10:05) — (10:05) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete short right to 83-L.Evans (91-R.McDonald). Underthrown after QB pressure. [WPA -11.3% · EPA -2.73]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 10:49) — (10:49) 22-F.Jackson left guard to SF 7 for -1 yards (94-J.Smith). [WPA -11.0% · EPA -1.97]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 25:53) — (10:53) 23-M.Lynch left tackle pushed ob at SF 9 for 50 yards (51-T.Spikes). [WPA +10.7% · EPA +2.88]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 30:42) — (:42) (Shotgun) 23-M.Lynch left guard to BUF 39 for 9 yards (52-P.Willis). FUMBLES (52-P.Willis), RECOVERED by SF-26-M.Roman at BUF 41. [WPA -10.0% · EPA -2.17]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • San Francisco 49ers (Q3 19:37) — (4:37) 21-F.Gore left tackle to BUF 24 for 3 yards (28-L.McKelvin). Buffalo challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 21-F.Gore left tackle to BUF 24 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by [WPA -7.0% · EPA -3.87]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 37:26) — (7:26) 9-R.Lindell 20 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman. [WPA -5.6% · EPA -3.64]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 5:32) — (5:32) 9-R.Lindell 40 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman. [WPA -12.1% · EPA -3.46]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q1 51:56) — (6:56) 13-S.Hill pass short left to 88-I.Bruce for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in front left corner of end zone. [WPA +6.0% · EPA +2.90]

Quarterback report card

S.Hill led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • S.Hill (San Francisco 49ers) · 30 dropbacks · 46.7% completion · +4.5% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +7.92 total EPA
  • T.Edwards (Buffalo Bills) · 22 dropbacks · 45.5% completion · -16.6% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.14 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatSan Francisco 49ersBuffalo Bills
Offensive EPA/play-0.100-0.179
Offensive success rate35.7%36.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.264-0.145
Rush EPA/play-0.440-0.079
Defensive EPA/play+0.179+0.100
Defensive success rate63.4%64.3%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, San Francisco 49ers generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.10 vs -0.18), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, -14.68 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
  • San Francisco 49ers: 10 drives, -6.99 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • S. Hill (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • S. Hill (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • T. Edwards (BUF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 51:56 · BUF 12 · Score 6-0
    (6:56) 13-S.Hill pass short left to 88-I.Bruce for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in front left corner of end zone.
  2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 51:51 · BUF 2 · Score 7-0
    6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
  3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 30:16 · BUF 32 · Score 10-0
    (:16) 6-J.Nedney 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
  4. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 23:57 · SF 4 · Score 10-3
    (8:57) 9-R.Lindell 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

Frequently asked questions

Who won San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills?

The San Francisco 49ers beat the Buffalo Bills 10-3 in Week 13, 2008 on 2008-11-30.

What was the final score of San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills?

The final score was San Francisco 49ers 10, Buffalo Bills 3 (SF 10-3 BUF) in Week 13, 2008 on 2008-11-30.

What was the score by quarter in San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills?

Q1: San Francisco 49ers 7, Buffalo Bills 0; Q2: San Francisco 49ers 3, Buffalo Bills 0; Q3: San Francisco 49ers 0, Buffalo Bills 3; Final: San Francisco 49ers 10, Buffalo Bills 3.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills?

San Francisco 49ers touchdown — I. Bruce (S. Hill pass) (Q1 51:56) San Francisco 49ers field goal — J. Nedney (Q2 30:16, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q3 23:57, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills?

S. Hill (San Francisco 49ers), 46.7% completion, +4.5% CPOE, +0.26 EPA per dropback, +7.92 total passing EPA. T. Edwards (Buffalo Bills), 45.5% completion, -16.6% CPOE, +0.01 EPA per dropback, +0.14 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills?

S. Hill (San Francisco 49ers) led the game in total EPA with +7.92 on passing plays. across 30 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-3.87 EPA): (4:37) 21-F.Gore left tackle to BUF 24 for 3 yards (28-L.McKelvin). Buffalo challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 21-F.Gore left tackle to BUF 24 for 3 yards. FU. The biggest win-probability swing was -12.1%.

Was San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. San Francisco 49ers won 10-3 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

San Francisco 49ers

Entered 3-8 Now 4-8 W

Buffalo Bills

Entered 6-5 Now 6-6 L