Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2016 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-11-27, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Seattle Seahawks, pulling away with a 14–5 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) paced the passing game, with -18.94 total EPA, and -6.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.67 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Seattle Seahawks changed the game: (:53) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left intended for 10-P.Richardson INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Verner at TB 15. 21-A.Verner to TB 31 for 16 yards (39-G.Farmer).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +7.67 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Winston · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +6.57 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Wilson · Seattle Seahawks · Rushing · +2.57 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.28 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Humphries · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.78 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.78 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Lockett · Seattle Seahawks · Rushing · +1.20 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
6. 6 L. Willson · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +0.79 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Shepard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.60 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Cross · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.52 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q1 52:41)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (J. Winston pass) (Q1 48:00)

Field goals

• Seattle Seahawks — S. Hauschka (Q2 40:43)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 14–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the SEA 3 (Q1 52:41) — (7:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 13-M.Evans for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q1 52:34) — 19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the SEA 23 (Q1 48:00) — (3:00) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q1 47:53) — 19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The second quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 5–0. Seattle Seahawks registered a safety from the SEA 96 (Q2 43:29); Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the TB 25 (Q2 40:43) — (10:43) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 30:53) — (:53) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left intended for 10-P.Richardson INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Verner at TB 15. 21-A.Verner to TB 31 for 16 yards (39-G.Farmer). [WPA -12.1% · EPA -4.12]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 56:40) — (11:40) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans to SEA 30 for 26 yards (54-B.Wagner). [WPA +11.5% · EPA +3.07]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q4 7:19) — (7:19) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 88-J.Graham to TB 22 for 5 yards (54-L.David, 28-V.Hargreaves). FUMBLES (54-L.David), RECOVERED by TB-54-L.David at TB 22. 54-L.David to SEA 25 for 53 ya [WPA -10.2% · EPA -7.20]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 42:18) — (12:18) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin. PENALTY on TB-30-B.McDougald, Defensive Pass Interference, 29 yards, enforced at SEA 41 - No Play. [WPA +6.9% · EPA +3.66]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 10:22) — (10:22) 78-G.Cherilus reported in as eligible. 22-D.Martin up the middle to SEA 45 for 3 yards (77-A.Rubin, 56-C.Avril). FUMBLES (77-A.Rubin), RECOVERED by SEA-23-S.Terrell at SEA 41. 23-S.Terrell to [WPA -6.6% · EPA -4.55]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Seattle Seahawks (Q4 7:19) — (7:19) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 88-J.Graham to TB 22 for 5 yards (54-L.David, 28-V.Hargreaves). FUMBLES (54-L.David), RECOVERED by TB-54-L.David at TB 22. 54-L.David to SEA 25 for 53 ya [WPA -10.2% · EPA -7.20]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 10:22) — (10:22) 78-G.Cherilus reported in as eligible. 22-D.Martin up the middle to SEA 45 for 3 yards (77-A.Rubin, 56-C.Avril). FUMBLES (77-A.Rubin), RECOVERED by SEA-23-S.Terrell at SEA 41. 23-S.Terrell to [WPA -6.6% · EPA -4.55]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 30:53) — (:53) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left intended for 10-P.Richardson INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Verner at TB 15. 21-A.Verner to TB 31 for 16 yards (39-G.Farmer). [WPA -12.1% · EPA -4.12]
• Seattle Seahawks (Q2 42:18) — (12:18) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep middle to 89-D.Baldwin. PENALTY on TB-30-B.McDougald, Defensive Pass Interference, 29 yards, enforced at SEA 41 - No Play. [WPA +6.9% · EPA +3.66]

Quarterback report card

R.Wilson led all passers in efficiency for Seattle Seahawks, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• R.Wilson (Seattle Seahawks) · 47 dropbacks · 36.2% completion · -6.2% CPOE · -0.40 EPA/play · -18.94 total EPA
• J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 32 dropbacks · 65.6% completion · +17.5% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +6.57 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.12 vs -0.25), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Seattle Seahawks: 11 drives, -18.89 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, -9.67 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• R. Wilson (SEA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• J. Winston (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 52:41 · SEA 3 · Score 0-6
   (7:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 13-M.Evans for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 52:34 · SEA 15 · Score 0-7
   19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 48:00 · SEA 23 · Score 0-13
   (3:00) 3-J.Winston pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 47:53 · SEA 15 · Score 0-14
   19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger.
5. Seattle Seahawks Safety (+2) — Q2 43:29 · SEA 96 · Score 2-14
   (13:29) 3-J.Winston pass short left to 13-M.Evans ran ob at TB 16 for 12 yards. PENALTY on TB-88-L.Stocker, Offensive Holding, 2 yards, enforced at TB 2 - No Pl
6. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q2 40:43 · TB 25 · Score 5-14
   (10:43) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Frese, Holder-9-J.Ryan.