FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 24, 2022 · 10 min read

Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2022 Week 16 Recap

Chiefs defeat Seahawks 24–10 in Week 16

Patrick Mahomes led Fantasy Impact as Chiefs prevailed in a 10–24 Week 16 finish.

Seattle Seahawks 10 7–8
Final 10–24
Kansas City Chiefs 24 12–3 Winner
Winner
Kansas City Chiefs
Final score
10–24
Halftime
Seattle Seahawks 3–17 Kansas City Chiefs
Top passer
Geno Smith
FantasyHQ MVP
Patrick Mahomes
Game date
December 24, 2022

Top fantasy performers · Seahawks

  • Geno Smith
    Geno Smith 1 CAR · 2 YDS +2.5 Fantasy Impact
  • DK Metcalf
    DK Metcalf 7 REC · 81 YDS +2.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Will Dissly
    Will Dissly 1 REC · 19 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Chiefs

  • Patrick Mahomes
    Patrick Mahomes 16/33 · 228 YDS · 3 TD +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Travis Kelce
    Travis Kelce 6 REC · 113 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Jerick McKinnon
    Jerick McKinnon 3 REC · 31 YDS · 1 TD +3.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Seattle Seahawks 24–10 in Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-12-24, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (+7.2% win probability) came in the second quarter when Kansas City Chiefs swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-12-24, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Seattle Seahawks, pulling away with a 24–10 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

G. Smith (Seattle Seahawks) paced the passing game, with -12.86 total EPA, and +0.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.01 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+7.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (10:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to SEA 9 for 27 yards (39-T.Tabor). Penalty on SEA-39-T.Tabor, Illegal Contact, declined.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Seattle Seahawks0370010
Kansas City Chiefs71070024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +4.01 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.95 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. McKinnon · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.74 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
  4. 4 G. Smith · Seattle Seahawks · Rushing · +2.46 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.46 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Metcalf · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +2.33 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  6. 6 W. Dissly · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +1.39 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
  7. 7 I. Pacheco · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.26 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
  8. 8 K. Toney · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +1.15 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

P. Mahomes — KC · Passing

P. Mahomes posted the highest total EPA (+4.01) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Kansas City Chiefs's efficiency. Across 33 counted snaps, they averaged +0.12 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.57 EPA) came from Seattle Seahawks: (7:48) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 11-M.Goodwin INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Thornhill at KC -2. Touchback.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Kansas City Chiefs — K. Toney (P. Mahomes pass) (Q1 51:46)
  • Kansas City Chiefs — J. McKinnon (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 39:02)
  • Kansas City Chiefs — P. Mahomes (Q4 4:50)
  • Seattle Seahawks — N. Fant (G. Smith pass) (Q4 2:31)

Field goals

  • Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 32:44)
  • Seattle Seahawks — J. Myers (Q2 30:01)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the SEA 8 (Q1 51:46) — (6:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 19-K.Toney for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q1 51:41) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 10–3. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the SEA 9 (Q2 39:02) — (9:02) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 1-J.McKinnon for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q2 38:56) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the SEA 29 (Q2 32:44) — (2:44) 7-H.Butker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the KC 3 (Q2 30:01) — (:01) 5-J.Myers 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-4-M.Dickson..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the SEA 3 (Q4 4:50) — (4:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q4 4:42) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the KC 6 (Q4 2:31) — (2:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 87-N.Fant for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q4 2:25) — 5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-4-M.Dickson..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 40:13) — (10:13) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to SEA 9 for 27 yards (39-T.Tabor). Penalty on SEA-39-T.Tabor, Illegal Contact, declined. [WPA +7.2% · EPA +2.53]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q1 49:15) — (4:15) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass incomplete short left to 18-L.Treadwell (56-G.Karlaftis). [WPA -4.6% · EPA -2.72]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 54:50) — (9:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 1-J.McKinnon ran ob at SEA 25 for 16 yards (57-C.Barton; 27-T.Woolen). [WPA +4.6% · EPA +1.01]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q4 7:48) — (7:48) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 11-M.Goodwin INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Thornhill at KC -2. Touchback. [WPA -4.4% · EPA -4.57]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 59:55) — (14:55) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 83-N.Gray pushed ob at KC 37 for 8 yards (57-C.Barton). [WPA +4.3% · EPA +0.58]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Seattle Seahawks (Q4 7:48) — (7:48) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 11-M.Goodwin INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Thornhill at KC -2. Touchback. [WPA -4.4% · EPA -4.57]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q4 2:57) — (2:57) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left to 18-L.Treadwell to KC 6 for 17 yards (23-J.Williams). [WPA +0.2% · EPA +3.16]
  • Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 7:01) — (7:01) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 87-T.Kelce to SEA 8 for 52 yards (56-J.Brooks). [WPA +0.3% · EPA +3.08]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q3 22:30) — (7:30) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 84-C.Parkinson to KC 34 for no gain (6-B.Cook). Penalty on SEA-19-P.Hart, Offensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA -1.5% · EPA -2.93]

Quarterback report card

G.Smith led all passers in efficiency for Seattle Seahawks, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • G.Smith (Seattle Seahawks) · 47 dropbacks · 53.2% completion · +0.6% CPOE · -0.27 EPA/play · -12.86 total EPA
  • P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 33 dropbacks · 48.5% completion · -9.0% CPOE · +0.12 EPA/play · +4.01 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatSeattle SeahawksKansas City Chiefs
Offensive EPA/play-0.161+0.029
Offensive success rate35.9%47.8%
Pass EPA/play-0.274+0.122
Rush EPA/play-0.020-0.202
Defensive EPA/play-0.029+0.161
Defensive success rate52.2%64.1%

By the numbers

Kansas City Chiefs held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.16), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Kansas City Chiefs: 11 drives, +1.95 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Seattle Seahawks: 12 drives, -14.81 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • P. Mahomes (KC) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 51:46 · SEA 8 · Score 0-6
    (6:46) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 19-K.Toney for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 51:41 · SEA 15 · Score 0-7
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
  3. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 39:02 · SEA 9 · Score 0-13
    (9:02) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 1-J.McKinnon for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 38:56 · SEA 15 · Score 0-14
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
  5. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 32:44 · SEA 29 · Score 0-17
    (2:44) 7-H.Butker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
  6. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q2 30:01 · KC 3 · Score 3-17
    (:01) 5-J.Myers 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
  7. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 4:50 · SEA 3 · Score 3-23
    (4:50) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes scrambles right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 4:42 · SEA 15 · Score 3-24
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-5-T.Townsend.
  9. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 2:31 · KC 6 · Score 9-24
    (2:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 87-N.Fant for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q4 2:25 · KC 15 · Score 10-24
    5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-4-M.Dickson.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs?

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Seattle Seahawks 24-10 in Week 16, 2022 on 2022-12-24.

What was the final score of Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs?

The final score was Seattle Seahawks 10, Kansas City Chiefs 24 (SEA 10-24 KC) in Week 16, 2022 on 2022-12-24.

What was the score by quarter in Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Q1: Seattle Seahawks 0, Kansas City Chiefs 7; Q2: Seattle Seahawks 3, Kansas City Chiefs 10; Q4: Seattle Seahawks 7, Kansas City Chiefs 7; Final: Seattle Seahawks 10, Kansas City Chiefs 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — K. Toney (P. Mahomes pass) (Q1 51:46) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — J. McKinnon (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 39:02) Kansas City Chiefs touchdown — P. Mahomes (Q4 4:50) Seattle Seahawks touchdown — N. Fant (G. Smith pass) (Q4 2:31) Kansas City Chiefs field goal — H. Butker (Q2 32:44, 3 pts) Seattle Seahawks field goal — J. Myers (Q2 30:01, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs?

G. Smith (Seattle Seahawks), 53.2% completion, +0.6% CPOE, -0.27 EPA per dropback, -12.86 total passing EPA. P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs), 48.5% completion, -9.0% CPOE, +0.12 EPA per dropback, +4.01 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs?

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) led the game in total EPA with +4.01 on passing plays. across 33 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.57 EPA): (7:48) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 11-M.Goodwin INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Thornhill at KC -2. Touchback.. The biggest win-probability swing was +7.2%.

Season records after this game

Seattle Seahawks

Entered 7-7 Now 7-8 L

Kansas City Chiefs

Entered 11-3 Now 12-3 W