FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 7, 2024 · 10 min read

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals: 2023 Week 18 Recap

Seahawks defeat Cardinals 21–20 in Week 18

Kenneth Murray, Jr. led Fantasy Impact as Seahawks prevailed in a 21–20 Week 18 finish.

Seattle Seahawks 21 9–8 Winner
Final 21–20
Arizona Cardinals 20 4–13
Winner
Seattle Seahawks
Final score
21–20
Halftime
Seattle Seahawks 13–6 Arizona Cardinals
Top passer
Kenneth Murray, Jr.
FantasyHQ MVP
Kenneth Murray, Jr.
Game date
January 7, 2024

Top fantasy performers · Seahawks

  • Geno Smith
    Geno Smith 16/32 · 217 YDS · 2 TD +6.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyler Lockett
    Tyler Lockett 2 REC · 71 YDS · 1 TD +6.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Will Dissly
    Will Dissly 3 REC · 46 YDS · 1 TD +4.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Cardinals

  • Kenneth Murray, Jr.
    Kenneth Murray, Jr. 22/32 · 293 YDS · 1 TD +16.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Mi.Wilson 6 REC · 95 YDS +8.0 Fantasy Impact
  • James Conner
    James Conner 4 REC · 54 YDS +3.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Seattle Seahawks defeated the Arizona Cardinals 21–20 in Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on 2024-01-07, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-51.4% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Arizona Cardinals swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on 2024-01-07, the Seattle Seahawks took care of business against the Arizona Cardinals, pulling away with a 21–20 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Murray (Arizona Cardinals) paced the passing game, with +16.89 total EPA, and +4.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Murray (Arizona Cardinals) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.89 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-51.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Arizona Cardinals changed the game: (:01) 5-M.Prater 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Seattle Seahawks31008021
Arizona Cardinals0677020

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 K. Murray · Arizona Cardinals · Passing · +16.89 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
  2. 2 Mi. Wilson · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +8.02 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play
  3. 3 G. Smith · Seattle Seahawks · Passing · +6.71 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Lockett · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +6.61 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play
  5. 5 W. Dissly · Seattle Seahawks · Receiving · +4.50 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Conner · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +3.91 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. McBride · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +3.51 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. Moore · Arizona Cardinals · Rushing · +2.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

K. Murray — ARI · Passing

K. Murray posted the highest total EPA (+16.89) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Arizona Cardinals's efficiency. Across 32 counted snaps, they averaged +0.53 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.50 EPA) came from Arizona Cardinals: (3:00) 5-M.Prater 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Seattle Seahawks — W. Dissly (G. Smith pass) (Q2 37:11)
  • Arizona Cardinals — J. Conner (Q3 25:40)
  • Arizona Cardinals — T. McBride (K. Murray pass) (Q4 9:52)
  • Seattle Seahawks — T. Lockett (G. Smith pass) (Q4 2:00)

Field goals

  • Seattle Seahawks — J. Myers (Q1 50:08)
  • Arizona Cardinals — M. Prater (Q2 41:10)
  • Arizona Cardinals — M. Prater (Q2 32:00)
  • Seattle Seahawks — J. Myers (Q2 30:02)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 3–0. Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the ARI 15 (Q1 50:08) — (5:08) 5-J.Myers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson..

The second quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 10–6. Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the SEA 5 (Q2 41:10) — (11:10) 5-M.Prater 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the ARI 19 (Q2 37:11) — (7:11) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 89-W.Dissly for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks added 1 points from the ARI 15 (Q2 37:06) — 5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the SEA 16 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.; Seattle Seahawks connected on a field goal from the ARI 11 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 5-J.Myers 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson..

The third quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 7–0. Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the SEA 29 (Q3 25:40) — (10:40) 6-J.Conner left tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q3 25:33) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin..

The fourth quarter: Seattle Seahawks won the period 8–7. Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the SEA 8 (Q4 9:52) — (9:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 85-T.McBride for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the SEA 15 (Q4 9:48) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.; Seattle Seahawks found the end zone from the ARI 34 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Seattle Seahawks registered a safety from the ARI 2 (Q4 1:54) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-G.Smith pass to 16-T.Lockett is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Arizona Cardinals (Q4 0:01) — (:01) 5-M.Prater 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin. [WPA -51.4% · EPA -2.12]
  • Arizona Cardinals (Q4 0:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 14-Mi.Wilson to SEA 40 for 12 yards (30-M.Jackson). [WPA +22.8% · EPA +1.20]
  • Arizona Cardinals (Q4 9:52) — (9:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 85-T.McBride for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.7% · EPA +3.99]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q4 1:54) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-G.Smith pass to 16-T.Lockett is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. [WPA +15.8% · EPA +1.05]
  • Arizona Cardinals (Q3 25:40) — (10:40) 6-J.Conner left tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.7% · EPA +2.57]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Arizona Cardinals (Q4 3:00) — (3:00) 5-M.Prater 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin. [WPA -5.9% · EPA -4.50]
  • Arizona Cardinals (Q4 9:52) — (9:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 85-T.McBride for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.7% · EPA +3.99]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q2 38:33) — (8:33) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep middle to 16-T.Lockett to ARI 22 for 37 yards (36-A.Chachere). [WPA +15.3% · EPA +3.75]
  • Seattle Seahawks (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.8% · EPA +3.26]

Quarterback report card

K.Murray led all passers in efficiency for Arizona Cardinals, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • K.Murray (Arizona Cardinals) · 32 dropbacks · 68.8% completion · +4.1% CPOE · +0.53 EPA/play · +16.89 total EPA
  • G.Smith (Seattle Seahawks) · 32 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -10.0% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +6.71 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatSeattle SeahawksArizona Cardinals
Offensive EPA/play+0.106+0.076
Offensive success rate47.1%40.9%
Pass EPA/play+0.210+0.528
Rush EPA/play-0.005-0.050
Defensive EPA/play-0.076-0.106
Defensive success rate59.1%52.9%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Seattle Seahawks +0.11, Arizona Cardinals +0.08) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Arizona Cardinals: 9 drives, +6.68 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Seattle Seahawks: 9 drives, +7.21 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Seattle Seahawks leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • K. Murray (Arizona Cardinals) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • K. Murray (ARI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • G. Smith (SEA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q1 50:08 · ARI 15 · Score 3-0
    (5:08) 5-J.Myers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
  2. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q2 41:10 · SEA 5 · Score 3-3
    (11:10) 5-M.Prater 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
  3. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q2 37:11 · ARI 19 · Score 9-3
    (7:11) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 89-W.Dissly for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Seattle Seahawks XP (+1) — Q2 37:06 · ARI 15 · Score 10-3
    5-J.Myers extra point is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
  5. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · SEA 16 · Score 10-6
    (2:00) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
  6. Seattle Seahawks FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · ARI 11 · Score 13-6
    (:02) 5-J.Myers 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-C.Stoll, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
  7. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q3 25:40 · SEA 29 · Score 13-12
    (10:40) 6-J.Conner left tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q3 25:33 · SEA 15 · Score 13-13
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
  9. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q4 9:52 · SEA 8 · Score 13-19
    (9:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 85-T.McBride for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q4 9:48 · SEA 15 · Score 13-20
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.
  11. Seattle Seahawks TD (+6) — Q4 2:00 · ARI 34 · Score 19-20
    (2:00) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Seattle Seahawks Safety (+2) — Q4 1:54 · ARI 2 · Score 21-20
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 7-G.Smith pass to 16-T.Lockett is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals?

The Seattle Seahawks beat the Arizona Cardinals 21-20 in Week 18, 2023 on 2024-01-07.

What was the final score of Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals?

The final score was Seattle Seahawks 21, Arizona Cardinals 20 (SEA 21-20 ARI) in Week 18, 2023 on 2024-01-07.

What was the score by quarter in Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals?

Q1: Seattle Seahawks 3, Arizona Cardinals 0; Q2: Seattle Seahawks 10, Arizona Cardinals 6; Q3: Seattle Seahawks 0, Arizona Cardinals 7; Q4: Seattle Seahawks 8, Arizona Cardinals 7; Final: Seattle Seahawks 21, Arizona Cardinals 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals?

Seattle Seahawks touchdown — W. Dissly (G. Smith pass) (Q2 37:11) Arizona Cardinals touchdown — J. Conner (Q3 25:40) Arizona Cardinals touchdown — T. McBride (K. Murray pass) (Q4 9:52) Seattle Seahawks touchdown — T. Lockett (G. Smith pass) (Q4 2:00) Seattle Seahawks field goal — J. Myers (Q1 50:08, 3 pts) Arizona Cardinals field goal — M. Prater (Q2 41:10, 3 pts) Arizona Cardinals field goal — M. Prater (Q2 32:00, 3 pts) Seattle Seahawks field goal — J. Myers (Q2 30:02, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals?

K. Murray (Arizona Cardinals), 68.8% completion, +4.1% CPOE, +0.53 EPA per dropback, +16.89 total passing EPA. G. Smith (Seattle Seahawks), 50.0% completion, -10.0% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +6.71 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals?

K. Murray (Arizona Cardinals) led the game in total EPA with +16.89 on passing plays. across 32 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.50 EPA): (3:00) 5-M.Prater 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-12-B.Gillikin.. The biggest win-probability swing was -51.4%.

Was Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. Seattle Seahawks won 21-20 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Seattle Seahawks

Entered 8-8 Now 9-8 W

Arizona Cardinals

Entered 4-12 Now 4-13 L