Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2018 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-18, the Pittsburgh Steelers took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 20–16 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) paced the passing game, with -7.97 total EPA, and -4.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Smith-Schuster (Pittsburgh Steelers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.40 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+31.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Pittsburgh Steelers changed the game: (:08) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Smith-Schuster · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +5.40 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
2. 2 L. Fournette · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.28 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Conner · Pittsburgh Steelers · Rushing · +1.68 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Westbrook · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Moncrief · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +0.55 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Roethlisberger · Pittsburgh Steelers · Rushing · +0.22 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Switzer · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +0.13 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.04 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Hyde · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · -0.15 total EPA · 8 snaps · -0.02 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Fournette (Q3 17:12)
• Pittsburgh Steelers — A. Brown (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q3 16:31)
• Pittsburgh Steelers — V. McDonald (B. Roethlisberger pass) (Q4 2:36)
• Pittsburgh Steelers — B. Roethlisberger (Q4 0:08)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 43:15)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 38:34)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 33:41)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 9–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the PIT 30 (Q2 43:15) — (13:15) 4-J.Lambo 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the PIT 20 (Q2 38:34) — (8:34) 4-J.Lambo 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the PIT 25 (Q2 33:41).

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–6. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the PIT 2 (Q3 17:12); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the PIT 15 (Q3 17:09) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the JAX 78 (Q3 16:31).

The fourth quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 14–0. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the JAX 11 (Q4 2:36) — (2:36) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 89-V.McDonald for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 2:28) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 0:05).

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +31.4% · EPA +1.83]
• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 1:39) — (1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 19-J.Smith-Schuster to JAX 27 for 35 yards (21-A.Bouye). [WPA +21.1% · EPA +2.14]
• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 0:50) — (:50) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 84-A.Brown to JAX 2 for 25 yards (20-J.Ramsey). [WPA +20.6% · EPA +3.03]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:50) — (1:50) 9-L.Cooke punts 37 yards to PIT 32, Center-45-M.Overton, fair catch by 10-R.Switzer. [WPA -12.0% · EPA -0.77]
• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 2:36) — (2:36) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 89-V.McDonald for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.0% · EPA +2.16]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q3 16:31) — (1:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle to 84-A.Brown for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-T.Bryan]. Penalty on JAX-42-B.Church, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +8.5% · EPA +7.07]
• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q3 23:02) — (8:02) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Ramsey at JAX -7. 20-J.Ramsey to JAX 43 for 50 yards (7-B.Roethlisberger). The Replay Official reviewed [WPA -10.7% · EPA -5.46]
• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q2 38:28) — (8:28) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass incomplete deep middle to 84-A.Brown (20-J.Ramsey). Jacksonville challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger [WPA -6.1% · EPA -3.72]
• Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 0:50) — (:50) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep left to 84-A.Brown to JAX 2 for 25 yards (20-J.Ramsey). [WPA +20.6% · EPA +3.03]

Quarterback report card

B.Roethlisberger led all passers in efficiency for Pittsburgh Steelers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) · 52 dropbacks · 51.9% completion · -4.9% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -7.97 total EPA
• B.Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 26 dropbacks · 38.5% completion · -11.5% CPOE · -0.14 EPA/play · -3.66 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Pittsburgh Steelers -0.15, Jacksonville Jaguars -0.14) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 15 drives, -12.52 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Pittsburgh Steelers: 15 drives, -11.89 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Pittsburgh Steelers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Smith-Schuster (Pittsburgh Steelers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Roethlisberger (PIT) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• B. Bortles (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 43:15 · PIT 30 · Score 0-3
   (13:15) 4-J.Lambo 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 38:34 · PIT 20 · Score 0-6
   (8:34) 4-J.Lambo 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 33:41 · PIT 25 · Score 0-9
   (3:41) 4-J.Lambo 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-9-L.Cooke. Penalty on PIT-93-D.McCullers, Illegal Formation, declined.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 17:12 · PIT 2 · Score 0-15
   (2:12) 27-L.Fournette up the middle to PIT 1 for 1 yard (51-J.Bostic). Jacksonville challenged the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 27-
5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 17:09 · PIT 15 · Score 0-16
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-45-M.Overton, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
6. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q3 16:31 · JAX 78 · Score 6-16
   (1:31) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle to 84-A.Brown for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN [90-T.Bryan]. Penalty on JAX-42-B.Church, Defensive Pass Interference
7. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q4 2:36 · JAX 11 · Score 12-16
   (2:36) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 89-V.McDonald for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q4 2:28 · JAX 15 · Score 13-16
   9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry.
9. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q4 0:08 · JAX 1 · Score 19-16
   (:08) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q4 0:05 · JAX 15 · Score 20-16
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-57-K.Canaday, Holder-4-J.Berry. PENALTY on JAX-95-A.Jones, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.