FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 14 · December 11, 2016 · 11 min read

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills: 2016 Week 14 Recap

Steelers defeat Bills 27–20 in Week 14

Levi Bell led Fantasy Impact as Steelers prevailed in a 27–20 Week 14 finish.

Pittsburgh Steelers 27 8–5 Winner
Final 27–20
Buffalo Bills 20 6–7
Winner
Pittsburgh Steelers
Final score
27–20
Halftime
Pittsburgh Steelers 14–7 Buffalo Bills
Top passer
Tyrod Taylor
FantasyHQ MVP
Levi Bell
Game date
December 11, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Steelers

  • Levi Bell 40 CAR · 236 YDS · 3 TD +10.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Dyontae Johnson
    Dyontae Johnson 1 REC · 15 YDS +3.1 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Hamilton 1 REC · 15 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • L.McCoy 6 REC · 81 YDS +6.2 Fantasy Impact
  • S.Watkins 4 REC · 54 YDS · 1 TD +5.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyrod Taylor
    Tyrod Taylor 15/36 · 210 YDS · 3 TD +2.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Pittsburgh Steelers defeated the Buffalo Bills 27–20 in Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-17.4% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Pittsburgh Steelers swung the momentum.

In Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, the Pittsburgh Steelers took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 27–20 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 19 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with +1.97 total EPA, and -1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, L. Bell (Pittsburgh Steelers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.89 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.4% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Pittsburgh Steelers changed the game: (10:44) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle intended for 89-L.Green INTERCEPTED by 57-L.Alexander at BUF 12. 57-L.Alexander to BUF 40 for 28 yards (53-M.Pouncey).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Pittsburgh Steelers7776027
Buffalo Bills07013020

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 L. Bell · Pittsburgh Steelers · Rushing · +10.89 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
  2. 2 L. McCoy · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +6.17 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
  3. 3 S. Watkins · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.62 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
  4. 4 L. Bell · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +5.55 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Johnson · Pittsburgh Steelers · Receiving · +3.10 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.10 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Taylor · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +1.97 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.05 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Gillislee · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.57 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
  8. 8 N. O'Leary · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.51 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.51 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

L. Bell — PIT · Rushing

L. Bell posted the highest total EPA (+10.89) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Pittsburgh Steelers's efficiency. Across 40 counted snaps, they averaged +0.27 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.03 EPA) came from Pittsburgh Steelers: (10:44) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle intended for 89-L.Green INTERCEPTED by 57-L.Alexander at BUF 12. 57-L.Alexander to BUF 40 for 28 yards (53-M.Pouncey).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Pittsburgh Steelers — L. Bell (Q1 51:05)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — L. Bell (Q2 42:05)
  • Buffalo Bills — S. Watkins (T. Taylor pass) (Q2 37:11)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — L. Bell (Q3 20:35)
  • Buffalo Bills — C. Clay (T. Taylor pass) (Q4 7:39)
  • Buffalo Bills — L. McCoy (Q4 1:28)

Field goals

  • Pittsburgh Steelers — C. Boswell (Q4 10:02)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers — C. Boswell (Q4 3:43)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 7–0. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the BUF 3 (Q1 51:05) — (6:05) (Shotgun) 26-L.Bell left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q1 51:00) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the BUF 7 (Q2 42:05) — (12:05) 26-L.Bell left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 42:00) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the PIT 8 (Q2 37:11) — (7:11) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 5 yds. into end zone, slanting from left.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the PIT 15 (Q2 37:07) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The third quarter: Pittsburgh Steelers won the period 7–0. Pittsburgh Steelers found the end zone from the BUF 5 (Q3 20:35); Pittsburgh Steelers added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q3 20:28) — 9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 13–6. Pittsburgh Steelers connected on a field goal from the BUF 19 (Q4 10:02) — (10:02) 9-C.Boswell 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the PIT 40 (Q4 7:39) — (7:39) 5-T.Taylor pass deep left to 85-C.Clay for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-A.Chickillo]. Caught along sideline at PIT 22.; Pittsburgh Steelers connected on a field goal from the BUF 21 (Q4 3:43) — (3:43) 9-C.Boswell 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the PIT 3 (Q4 1:28) — (1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-L.McCoy up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the PIT 15 (Q4 1:25) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 55:44) — (10:44) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle intended for 89-L.Green INTERCEPTED by 57-L.Alexander at BUF 12. 57-L.Alexander to BUF 40 for 28 yards (53-M.Pouncey). [WPA -17.4% · EPA -7.03]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 53:26) — (8:26) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep right to 84-A.Brown pushed ob at BUF 29 for 40 yards (28-R.Darby). Caught along sideline at BUF 31. [WPA +14.2% · EPA +3.37]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 58:41) — (13:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right to 26-L.Bell pushed ob at BUF 34 for 32 yards (53-Z.Brown). Dump pass, caught at PIT 32. [WPA +12.5% · EPA +3.66]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 37:11) — (7:11) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 5 yds. into end zone, slanting from left. [WPA +9.1% · EPA +3.02]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q2 38:45) — (8:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 24-S.Gilmore at PIT 38. 24-S.Gilmore to PIT 7 for 31 yards (84-A.Brown). [WPA -9.1% · EPA -5.89]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q1 55:44) — (10:44) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle intended for 89-L.Green INTERCEPTED by 57-L.Alexander at BUF 12. 57-L.Alexander to BUF 40 for 28 yards (53-M.Pouncey). [WPA -17.4% · EPA -7.03]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q2 38:45) — (8:45) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left intended for 84-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 24-S.Gilmore at PIT 38. 24-S.Gilmore to PIT 7 for 31 yards (84-A.Brown). [WPA -9.1% · EPA -5.89]
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (Q4 13:48) — (13:48) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short right intended for 81-J.James INTERCEPTED by 53-Z.Brown at BUF -6. Touchback. [WPA -2.8% · EPA -5.17]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 7:39) — (7:39) 5-T.Taylor pass deep left to 85-C.Clay for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-A.Chickillo]. Caught along sideline at PIT 22. [WPA +1.9% · EPA +3.98]

Quarterback report card

T.Taylor led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Taylor (Buffalo Bills) · 36 dropbacks · 41.7% completion · -1.9% CPOE · +0.05 EPA/play · +1.97 total EPA
  • B.Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers) · 31 dropbacks · 54.8% completion · -9.3% CPOE · -0.20 EPA/play · -6.06 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatPittsburgh SteelersBuffalo Bills
Offensive EPA/play+0.061-0.061
Offensive success rate49.5%31.9%
Pass EPA/play-0.196+0.055
Rush EPA/play+0.271-0.138
Defensive EPA/play+0.061-0.061
Defensive success rate68.1%50.5%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Pittsburgh Steelers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Buffalo Bills: 11 drives, -4.19 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: 11 drives, +5.68 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • L. Bell (Pittsburgh Steelers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Roethlisberger (PIT) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q1 51:05 · BUF 3 · Score 6-0
    (6:05) (Shotgun) 26-L.Bell left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q1 51:00 · BUF 15 · Score 7-0
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  3. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q2 42:05 · BUF 7 · Score 13-0
    (12:05) 26-L.Bell left guard for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q2 42:00 · BUF 15 · Score 14-0
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  5. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 37:11 · PIT 8 · Score 14-6
    (7:11) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 5 yds. into end zone, slanting from left.
  6. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 37:07 · PIT 15 · Score 14-7
    2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
  7. Pittsburgh Steelers TD (+6) — Q3 20:35 · BUF 5 · Score 20-7
    (5:35) 26-L.Bell left end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. L.Bell ties PIT team record with 3 rushing TDs in game (last done 9/20/15 by DeAngelo Williams vs. S.F.)
  8. Pittsburgh Steelers XP (+1) — Q3 20:28 · BUF 15 · Score 21-7
    9-C.Boswell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  9. Pittsburgh Steelers FG (+3) — Q4 10:02 · BUF 19 · Score 24-7
    (10:02) 9-C.Boswell 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  10. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 7:39 · PIT 40 · Score 24-13
    (7:39) 5-T.Taylor pass deep left to 85-C.Clay for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN [56-A.Chickillo]. Caught along sideline at PIT 22.
  11. Pittsburgh Steelers FG (+3) — Q4 3:43 · BUF 21 · Score 27-13
    (3:43) 9-C.Boswell 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-G.Warren, Holder-4-J.Berry.
  12. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 1:28 · PIT 3 · Score 27-19
    (1:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-L.McCoy up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 1:25 · PIT 15 · Score 27-20
    2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills?

The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Buffalo Bills 27-20 in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills?

The final score was Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Buffalo Bills 20 (PIT 27-20 BUF) in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.

What was the score by quarter in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills?

Q1: Pittsburgh Steelers 7, Buffalo Bills 0; Q2: Pittsburgh Steelers 7, Buffalo Bills 7; Q3: Pittsburgh Steelers 7, Buffalo Bills 0; Q4: Pittsburgh Steelers 6, Buffalo Bills 13; Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Buffalo Bills 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills?

Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — L. Bell (Q1 51:05) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — L. Bell (Q2 42:05) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Watkins (T. Taylor pass) (Q2 37:11) Pittsburgh Steelers touchdown — L. Bell (Q3 20:35) Buffalo Bills touchdown — C. Clay (T. Taylor pass) (Q4 7:39) Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. McCoy (Q4 1:28) Pittsburgh Steelers field goal — C. Boswell (Q4 10:02, 3 pts) Pittsburgh Steelers field goal — C. Boswell (Q4 3:43, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills?

T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills), 41.7% completion, -1.9% CPOE, +0.05 EPA per dropback, +1.97 total passing EPA. B. Roethlisberger (Pittsburgh Steelers), 54.8% completion, -9.3% CPOE, -0.20 EPA per dropback, -6.06 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills?

L. Bell (Pittsburgh Steelers) led the game in total EPA with +10.89 on rushing plays. across 40 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.03 EPA): (10:44) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle intended for 89-L.Green INTERCEPTED by 57-L.Alexander at BUF 12. 57-L.Alexander to BUF 40 for 28 yards (53-M.Pouncey).. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.4%.

Was Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Pittsburgh Steelers won 27-20 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Pittsburgh Steelers

Entered 7-5 Now 8-5 W

Buffalo Bills

Entered 6-6 Now 6-7 L