Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2010 Week 5 Recap

Game story

In Week 5 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-10-10, the Philadelphia Eagles took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 27–24 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Smith (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with +6.32 total EPA, and +3.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, V. Davis (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.73 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-29.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (:36) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right intended for 15-M.Crabtree INTERCEPTED by 35-T.Lindley [93-T.Laws] at PHI 24. 35-T.Lindley to PHI 32 for 8 yards (15-M.Crabtree). Penalty on SF-74-J.Staley,

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 V. Davis · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +8.73 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.25 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Smith · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +6.32 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Crabtree · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +5.82 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Kolb · Philadelphia Eagles · Passing · +4.05 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Zeigler · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.73 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.87 EPA/play
6. 6 L. McCoy · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +3.57 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Maclin · Philadelphia Eagles · Receiving · +3.40 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
8. 8 L. McCoy · Philadelphia Eagles · Rushing · +1.81 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — M. Crabtree (A. Smith pass) (Q1 52:53)
• Philadelphia Eagles — B. Celek (K. Kolb pass) (Q1 47:23)
• Philadelphia Eagles — L. McCoy (Q2 32:00)
• Philadelphia Eagles — Q. Mikell (Q4 13:40)
• San Francisco 49ers — V. Davis (A. Smith pass) (Q4 7:40)
• San Francisco 49ers — F. Gore (A. Smith pass) (Q4 2:06)

Field goals

• Philadelphia Eagles — D. Akers (Q2 41:45)
• San Francisco 49ers — J. Nedney (Q2 30:47)
• Philadelphia Eagles — D. Akers (Q4 4:37)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the PHI 7 (Q1 52:53) — (7:53) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the PHI 2 (Q1 52:53) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Philadelphia Eagles found the end zone from the SF 8 (Q1 47:23) — (2:23) (Shotgun) 4-K.Kolb pass short right to 87-B.Celek for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Philadelphia Eagles added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q1 47:23) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca..

The second quarter: Philadelphia Eagles won the period 10–3. Philadelphia Eagles connected on a field goal from the SF 14 (Q2 41:45) — (11:45) 2-D.Akers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca.; Philadelphia Eagles found the end zone from the SF 29 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 25-L.McCoy right guard for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Philadelphia Eagles added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 31:53) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the PHI 32 (Q2 30:47) — (:47) 6-J.Nedney 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–10. Philadelphia Eagles found the end zone from the PHI 35 (Q4 13:40); Philadelphia Eagles added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q4 13:26) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the PHI 7 (Q4 7:40) — (7:40) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 85-V.Davis for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the PHI 2 (Q4 7:35); Philadelphia Eagles connected on a field goal from the SF 27 (Q4 4:37) — (4:37) 2-D.Akers 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the PHI 1 (Q4 2:06) — (2:06) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 21-F.Gore for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at PHI 3; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the PHI 2 (Q4 2:02) — 6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 0:36) — (:36) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep right intended for 15-M.Crabtree INTERCEPTED by 35-T.Lindley [93-T.Laws] at PHI 24. 35-T.Lindley to PHI 32 for 8 yards (15-M.Crabtree). Penalty on SF-74-J.Staley, [WPA -29.6% · EPA -1.39]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q4 1:36) — (1:36) 6-S.Rocca punts 51 yards to SF 21, Center-46-J.Dorenbos. 19-T.Ginn pushed ob at SF 32 for 11 yards (34-E.Buckley). [WPA -20.6% · EPA -0.80]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 13:40) — (13:40) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith sacked at PHI 48 for -13 yards (54-B.Graham). FUMBLES (54-B.Graham), RECOVERED by PHI-27-Q.Mikell at PHI 48. 27-Q.Mikell for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -20.4% · EPA -10.34]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 1:02) — (1:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass deep middle to 85-V.Davis to PHI 44 for 27 yards (27-Q.Mikell). Caught at 50. [WPA +17.9% · EPA +1.55]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 45:23) — (:23) 21-F.Gore right guard to SF 45 for 3 yards (53-M.Fokou). FUMBLES (53-M.Fokou), RECOVERED by PHI-50-E.Sims at SF 45. 50-E.Sims to SF 45 for no gain (74-J.Staley). [WPA -11.2% · EPA -4.73]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 13:40) — (13:40) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith sacked at PHI 48 for -13 yards (54-B.Graham). FUMBLES (54-B.Graham), RECOVERED by PHI-27-Q.Mikell at PHI 48. 27-Q.Mikell for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -20.4% · EPA -10.34]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 25:43) — (10:43) 21-F.Gore right tackle to PHI 44 for 2 yards (50-E.Sims). FUMBLES (50-E.Sims), RECOVERED by PHI-27-Q.Mikell at PHI 44. 27-Q.Mikell to PHI 44 for no gain (64-D.Baas). [WPA -11.0% · EPA -4.83]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 45:23) — (:23) 21-F.Gore right guard to SF 45 for 3 yards (53-M.Fokou). FUMBLES (53-M.Fokou), RECOVERED by PHI-50-E.Sims at SF 45. 50-E.Sims to SF 45 for no gain (74-J.Staley). [WPA -11.2% · EPA -4.73]
• Philadelphia Eagles (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 25-L.McCoy right guard for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.9% · EPA +3.91]

Quarterback report card

A.Smith led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Smith (San Francisco 49ers) · 47 dropbacks · 53.2% completion · +3.5% CPOE · +0.13 EPA/play · +6.32 total EPA
• K.Kolb (Philadelphia Eagles) · 36 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · +2.5% CPOE · +0.11 EPA/play · +4.05 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Philadelphia Eagles generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.03), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Philadelphia Eagles: 14 drives, +2.89 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 13 drives, -2.87 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Philadelphia Eagles leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• V. Davis (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Smith (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 52:53 · PHI 7 · Score 0-6
   (7:53) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 15-M.Crabtree for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 52:53 · PHI 2 · Score 0-7
   6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
3. Philadelphia Eagles TD (+6) — Q1 47:23 · SF 8 · Score 6-7
   (2:23) (Shotgun) 4-K.Kolb pass short right to 87-B.Celek for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Philadelphia Eagles XP (+1) — Q1 47:23 · SF 2 · Score 7-7
   2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca.
5. Philadelphia Eagles FG (+3) — Q2 41:45 · SF 14 · Score 10-7
   (11:45) 2-D.Akers 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca.
6. Philadelphia Eagles TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · SF 29 · Score 16-7
   (2:00) 25-L.McCoy right guard for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Philadelphia Eagles XP (+1) — Q2 31:53 · SF 2 · Score 17-7
   2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca.
8. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 30:47 · PHI 32 · Score 17-10
   (:47) 6-J.Nedney 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
9. Philadelphia Eagles TD (+6) — Q4 13:40 · PHI 35 · Score 23-10
   (13:40) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith sacked at PHI 48 for -13 yards (54-B.Graham). FUMBLES (54-B.Graham), RECOVERED by PHI-27-Q.Mikell at PHI 48. 27-Q.Mikell for 52 yar
10. Philadelphia Eagles XP (+1) — Q4 13:26 · SF 2 · Score 24-10
    2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca.
11. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 7:40 · PHI 7 · Score 24-16
    (7:40) (Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle to 85-V.Davis for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 7:35 · PHI 2 · Score 24-17
    6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee. PENALTY on PHI-58-T.Cole, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
13. Philadelphia Eagles FG (+3) — Q4 4:37 · SF 27 · Score 27-17
    (4:37) 2-D.Akers 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Dorenbos, Holder-6-S.Rocca.
14. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 2:06 · PHI 1 · Score 27-23
    (2:06) 11-A.Smith pass short right to 21-F.Gore for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at PHI 3
15. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 2:02 · PHI 2 · Score 27-24
    6-J.Nedney extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.