New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2016 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, the New York Jets took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 23–17 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Petty (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -4.97 total EPA, and +4.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Powell (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.67 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-23.8% win probability) landed in overtime when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (12:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 28-C.Hyde left guard to NYJ 37 for no gain (96-M.Wilkerson, 93-D.Simon).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Powell · New York Jets · Rushing · +6.67 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Anderson · New York Jets · Receiving · +4.93 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Seferian-Jenkins · New York Jets · Receiving · +4.09 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.36 EPA/play
4. 4 C. Peake · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.75 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Hyde · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +2.56 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Petty · New York Jets · Rushing · +2.52 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Hyde · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.64 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
8. 8 B. Marshall · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.28 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — C. Hyde (C. Kaepernick pass) (Q1 59:04)
• San Francisco 49ers — S. Draughn (Q1 55:49)
• New York Jets — B. Powell (Q4 5:09)
• New York Jets — B. Powell (OT 8:41)

Field goals

• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q2 37:33)
• San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 35:50)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q3 21:31)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q4 0:43)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the NYJ 7 (Q1 59:04) — (14:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 28-C.Hyde for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NYJ 6; 6-yds YAC; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 58:57) — 4-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the NYJ 4 (Q1 55:49) — (10:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-S.Draughn up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 55:45) — 4-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the SF 18 (Q2 37:33) — (7:33) 2-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the NYJ 29 (Q2 35:50) — (5:50) 4-P.Dawson 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 3–0. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the SF 12 (Q3 21:31).

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 11–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the SF 5 (Q4 5:09) — (5:09) (Shotgun) 29-B.Powell left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets registered a safety from the SF 2 (Q4 5:04) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 9-B.Petty rushes right guard. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. Shotgun Formation.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the SF 32 (Q4 0:43) — (:43) 2-N.Folk 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards..

Overtime: New York Jets won the period 6–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the SF 19 (OT 8:41) — (8:41) (Shotgun) 29-B.Powell left tackle for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-55-A.Brooks, Defensive Offside, declined..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (OT 12:56) — (12:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 28-C.Hyde left guard to NYJ 37 for no gain (96-M.Wilkerson, 93-D.Simon). [WPA -23.8% · EPA -2.92]
• San Francisco 49ers (OT 14:35) — (14:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 28-C.Hyde right end pushed ob at NYJ 45 for 25 yards (45-R.Miles). [WPA +20.2% · EPA +1.92]
• New York Jets (OT 11:22) — (11:22) 9-B.Petty pass deep left to 11-R.Anderson to SF 25 for 26 yards (29-J.Tartt) [99-D.Buckner]. Caught at SF 25 0-yd YAC [WPA +19.1% · EPA +1.61]
• New York Jets (Q4 0:43) — (:43) 2-N.Folk 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards. [WPA +13.6% · EPA +1.38]
• New York Jets (Q1 59:11) — (14:11) (Shotgun) 9-B.Petty pass short left intended for 81-Q.Enunwa INTERCEPTED by 25-J.Ward at NYJ 15. 25-J.Ward to NYJ 7 for 8 yards (81-Q.Enunwa). [WPA -13.2% · EPA -4.58]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q3 23:55) — (8:55) (Shotgun) 9-B.Petty pass deep left to 11-R.Anderson to SF 3 for 40 yards (41-A.Bethea). Caught at SF 6 3-yds YAC [WPA +7.4% · EPA +5.15]
• New York Jets (Q1 59:11) — (14:11) (Shotgun) 9-B.Petty pass short left intended for 81-Q.Enunwa INTERCEPTED by 25-J.Ward at NYJ 15. 25-J.Ward to NYJ 7 for 8 yards (81-Q.Enunwa). [WPA -13.2% · EPA -4.58]
• New York Jets (OT 8:41) — (8:41) (Shotgun) 29-B.Powell left tackle for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-55-A.Brooks, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +10.7% · EPA +3.33]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 50:42) — (5:42) 4-P.Dawson 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion. [WPA -3.4% · EPA -3.15]

Quarterback report card

B.Petty led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Petty (New York Jets) · 46 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +4.0% CPOE · -0.11 EPA/play · -4.97 total EPA
• C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 30 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -10.9% CPOE · -0.26 EPA/play · -7.84 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New York Jets generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.12), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• New York Jets: 13 drives, +1.81 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 14 drives, -9.21 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• B. Powell (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Petty (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• C. Kaepernick (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 59:04 · NYJ 7 · Score 0-6
   (14:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass short right to 28-C.Hyde for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at NYJ 6; 6-yds YAC
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 58:57 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-7
   4-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
3. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 55:49 · NYJ 4 · Score 0-13
   (10:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 24-S.Draughn up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 55:45 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-14
   4-P.Dawson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
5. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 37:33 · SF 18 · Score 3-14
   (7:33) 2-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards.
6. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 35:50 · NYJ 29 · Score 3-17
   (5:50) 4-P.Dawson 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-5-B.Pinion.
7. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 21:31 · SF 12 · Score 6-17
   (6:31) 2-N.Folk 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards. Penalty on SF-33-R.Robinson, Defensive Offside, declined.
8. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 5:09 · SF 5 · Score 12-17
   (5:09) (Shotgun) 29-B.Powell left guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. New York Jets Safety (+2) — Q4 5:04 · SF 2 · Score 14-17
   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 9-B.Petty rushes right guard. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. Shotgun Formation.
10. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 0:43 · SF 32 · Score 17-17
    (:43) 2-N.Folk 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards.
11. New York Jets TD (+6) — OT 8:41 · SF 19 · Score 23-17
    (8:41) (Shotgun) 29-B.Powell left tackle for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on SF-55-A.Brooks, Defensive Offside, declined.