FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 24, 2016 · 12 min read

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots: 2016 Week 16 Recap

Patriots defeat Jets 41–3 in Week 16

T.Brady led Fantasy Impact as Patriots prevailed in a 3–41 Week 16 finish.

New York Jets 3 4–11
Final 3–41
New England Patriots 41 13–2 Winner
Winner
New England Patriots
Final score
3–41
Halftime
New York Jets 0–27 New England Patriots
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
T.Brady
Game date
December 24, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • C.Peake 1 REC · 27 YDS +2.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Q.Enunwa 1 CAR · 12 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Seferian-Jenkins 1 REC · 17 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Patriots

  • T.Brady 17/31 · 205 YDS · 3 TD +15.7 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Edelman 5 REC · 89 YDS +4.9 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Bennett 2 REC · 19 YDS · 1 TD +4.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The New England Patriots defeated the New York Jets 41–3 in Week 16 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-24, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-6.8% win probability) came in the second quarter when New York Jets swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-24, the New England Patriots took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 41–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with +15.67 total EPA, and +7.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Brady (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.67 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-6.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (14:01) 33-K.Robinson right guard to NYJ 32 for -2 yards (52-E.Roberts). FUMBLES (52-E.Roberts), RECOVERED by NE-21-M.Butler at NYJ 30. 21-M.Butler to NYJ 28 for 2 yards (9-B.Petty). NYJ-9-B.Petty was

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
New York Jets000303
New England Patriots101777041

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +15.67 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Edelman · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.91 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Bennett · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.08 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.04 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Lengel · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.03 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.03 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. Peake · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.77 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. White · New England Patriots · Receiving · +1.99 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Garoppolo · New England Patriots · Passing · +1.75 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
  8. 8 Q. Enunwa · New York Jets · Rushing · +1.20 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Brady — NE · Passing

T. Brady posted the highest total EPA (+15.67) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New England Patriots's efficiency. Across 31 counted snaps, they averaged +0.51 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.83 EPA) came from New York Jets: (:38) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 81-Q.Enunwa INTERCEPTED by 21-M.Butler at NE 42. 21-M.Butler pushed ob at NYJ 37 for 21 yards (76-W.Johnson). PENALTY on NYJ-72-B.Shell, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • New England Patriots — M. Bennett (T. Brady pass) (Q1 48:07)
  • New England Patriots — M. Lengel (T. Brady pass) (Q2 32:47)
  • New England Patriots — J. White (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:31)
  • New England Patriots — L. Blount (Q3 18:25)
  • New England Patriots — L. Blount (Q4 12:27)

Field goals

  • New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q1 53:20)
  • New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski (Q2 41:16)
  • New York Jets — N. Folk (Q4 6:20)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 11 (Q1 53:20) — (8:20) 3-S.Gostkowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 5 (Q1 48:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 88-M.Bennett for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 48:02) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 17–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 4 (Q2 41:16) — (11:16) 3-S.Gostkowski 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 18 (Q2 32:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 82-M.Lengel for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 32:40) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 25 (Q2 30:31) — (:31) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 28-J.White for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 30:25) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q3 18:25); New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q3 18:22) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–3. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q4 12:27); New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 12:24) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 11 (Q4 6:20) — (6:20) 2-N.Folk 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New York Jets (Q2 44:01) — (14:01) 33-K.Robinson right guard to NYJ 32 for -2 yards (52-E.Roberts). FUMBLES (52-E.Roberts), RECOVERED by NE-21-M.Butler at NYJ 30. 21-M.Butler to NYJ 28 for 2 yards (9-B.Petty). NYJ-9-B.Petty was [WPA -6.8% · EPA -5.40]
  • New York Jets (Q2 36:00) — (6:00) 2-N.Folk 34 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards. [WPA -6.4% · EPA -3.63]
  • New England Patriots (Q1 57:07) — (12:07) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 19-M.Mitchell to NYJ 35 for 16 yards (41-B.Skrine). [WPA +6.2% · EPA +1.43]
  • New York Jets (Q2 34:53) — (4:53) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left intended for 15-B.Marshall INTERCEPTED by 25-E.Rowe at NE 46. 25-E.Rowe ran ob at NE 46 for no gain. [WPA -5.3% · EPA -3.09]
  • New York Jets (Q1 58:35) — (13:35) (Shotgun) 9-B.Petty sacked at NYJ 16 for -7 yards (95-C.Long). [WPA -5.1% · EPA -1.83]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New York Jets (Q3 15:38) — (:38) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 81-Q.Enunwa INTERCEPTED by 21-M.Butler at NE 42. 21-M.Butler pushed ob at NYJ 37 for 21 yards (76-W.Johnson). PENALTY on NYJ-72-B.Shell, Face Mask [WPA -0.0% · EPA -6.83]
  • New York Jets (Q2 44:01) — (14:01) 33-K.Robinson right guard to NYJ 32 for -2 yards (52-E.Roberts). FUMBLES (52-E.Roberts), RECOVERED by NE-21-M.Butler at NYJ 30. 21-M.Butler to NYJ 28 for 2 yards (9-B.Petty). NYJ-9-B.Petty was [WPA -6.8% · EPA -5.40]
  • New York Jets (Q4 7:53) — (7:53) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 17-C.Peake to NE 10 for 27 yards (25-E.Rowe). [WPA +0.0% · EPA +4.13]
  • New York Jets (Q2 36:00) — (6:00) 2-N.Folk 34 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards. [WPA -6.4% · EPA -3.63]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 31 dropbacks · 54.8% completion · +7.5% CPOE · +0.51 EPA/play · +15.67 total EPA
  • R.Fitzpatrick (New York Jets) · 23 dropbacks · 34.8% completion · -14.0% CPOE · -0.35 EPA/play · -8.13 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatNew York JetsNew England Patriots
Offensive EPA/play-0.373+0.162
Offensive success rate31.9%46.7%
Pass EPA/play-0.543+0.512
Rush EPA/play-0.166-0.116
Defensive EPA/play-0.162+0.373
Defensive success rate53.3%68.1%

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.16 vs -0.37), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • New England Patriots: 12 drives, +14.56 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 12 drives, -26.85 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • T. Brady (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Brady (NE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • R. Fitzpatrick (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 53:20 · NYJ 11 · Score 0-3
    (8:20) 3-S.Gostkowski 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  2. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 48:07 · NYJ 5 · Score 0-9
    (3:07) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 88-M.Bennett for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 48:02 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-10
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  4. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 41:16 · NYJ 4 · Score 0-13
    (11:16) 3-S.Gostkowski 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  5. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 32:47 · NYJ 18 · Score 0-19
    (2:47) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 82-M.Lengel for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 32:40 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-20
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  7. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 30:31 · NYJ 25 · Score 0-26
    (:31) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 28-J.White for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 30:25 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-27
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  9. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 18:25 · NYJ 1 · Score 0-33
    (3:25) 29-L.Blount up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. NE 29-Blount 16th TD of season, 4th-most in franchise history (Moss 23, 2007; Gronkowski 18, 2011; Marti
  10. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 18:22 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-34
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  11. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q4 12:27 · NYJ 1 · Score 0-40
    (12:27) 71-C.Fleming reported in as eligible. 29-L.Blount right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. NE 29-Blount 17th TD of season, ties Martin (1996) for 3rd-most in
  12. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q4 12:24 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-41
    3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-6-R.Allen.
  13. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 6:20 · NE 11 · Score 3-41
    (6:20) 2-N.Folk 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-L.Edwards.

Frequently asked questions

Who won New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

The New England Patriots beat the New York Jets 41-3 in Week 16, 2016 on 2016-12-24.

What was the final score of New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

The final score was New York Jets 3, New England Patriots 41 (NYJ 3-41 NE) in Week 16, 2016 on 2016-12-24.

What was the score by quarter in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

Q1: New York Jets 0, New England Patriots 10; Q2: New York Jets 0, New England Patriots 17; Q3: New York Jets 0, New England Patriots 7; Q4: New York Jets 3, New England Patriots 7; Final: New York Jets 3, New England Patriots 41.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

New England Patriots touchdown — M. Bennett (T. Brady pass) (Q1 48:07) New England Patriots touchdown — M. Lengel (T. Brady pass) (Q2 32:47) New England Patriots touchdown — J. White (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:31) New England Patriots touchdown — L. Blount (Q3 18:25) New England Patriots touchdown — L. Blount (Q4 12:27) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q1 53:20, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q2 41:16, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — N. Folk (Q4 6:20, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

T. Brady (New England Patriots), 54.8% completion, +7.5% CPOE, +0.51 EPA per dropback, +15.67 total passing EPA. R. Fitzpatrick (New York Jets), 34.8% completion, -14.0% CPOE, -0.35 EPA per dropback, -8.13 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

T. Brady (New England Patriots) led the game in total EPA with +15.67 on passing plays. across 31 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.83 EPA): (:38) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short right intended for 81-Q.Enunwa INTERCEPTED by 21-M.Butler at NE 42. 21-M.Butler pushed ob at NYJ 37 for 21 yards (76-W.Johnson). PENALTY on NYJ-72. The biggest win-probability swing was -6.8%.

Season records after this game

New York Jets

Entered 4-10 Now 4-11 L

New England Patriots

Entered 12-2 Now 13-2 W