Game story
In Week 15 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-16, the New England Patriots took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 20–10 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
C. Pennington (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -4.51 total EPA, and +3.9% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, R. Moss (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.97 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-17.7% win probability) landed in the second quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (7:24) 6-C.Hanson punt is BLOCKED by 96-D.Bowens, Center-66-L.Paxton, RECOVERED by NYJ-96-D.Bowens at NE 26. 96-D.Bowens for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. blocked at 30
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q4 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Jets | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| New England Patriots | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 R. Moss · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.97 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
- 2 W. Welker · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.62 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.54 EPA/play
- 3 J. Cotchery · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.81 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
- 4 K. Faulk · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.96 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
- 5 J. McCareins · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.71 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
- 6 C. Baker · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.48 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
- 7 L. Washington · New York Jets · Rushing · +2.38 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
- 8 L. Maroney · New England Patriots · Rushing · +1.13 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.04 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
R. Moss — NE · Receiving
R. Moss posted the highest total EPA (+4.97) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New England Patriots's efficiency. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +0.99 EPA per play.
The signature play (-6.65 EPA) came from New England Patriots: (7:24) 6-C.Hanson punt is BLOCKED by 96-D.Bowens, Center-66-L.Paxton, RECOVERED by NYJ-96-D.Bowens at NE 26. 96-D.Bowens for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. blocked at 30
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- New England Patriots — E. Wilson
- New York Jets — D. Bowens
- New England Patriots — L. Maroney
Field goals
- New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski
- New York Jets — M. Nugent
- New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the NE 96 (Q1 54:38); New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 54:33) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson..
The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 10–7. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 8 (Q2 42:49); New York Jets found the end zone from the NYJ 60 (Q2 37:24); New York Jets added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q2 37:15) — 1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q2 31:08); New England Patriots added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 31:05) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson..
The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NE 15 (Q4 6:18) — (6:18) 1-M.Nugent 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the NYJ 16 (Q4 3:25).
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- New England Patriots (Q2 37:24) — (7:24) 6-C.Hanson punt is BLOCKED by 96-D.Bowens, Center-66-L.Paxton, RECOVERED by NYJ-96-D.Bowens at NE 26. 96-D.Bowens for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. blocked at 30
- New York Jets (Q1 54:38) — (9:38) 11-K.Clemens pass short left intended for 16-B.Smith INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Wilson [93-R.Seymour] at NYJ 5. 26-E.Wilson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NYJ-11-K.Clemens was injured during the play. His re
- New York Jets (Q2 31:54) — (1:54) 7-B.Graham punt is BLOCKED by 15-K.Washington, Center-85-J.Dearth, recovered by NYJ-27-A.Elam at NYJ 5. 27-A.Elam to NYJ 3 for -2 yards (38-K.Eckel). blocked at NYJ 8
- New York Jets (Q1 51:40) — (6:40) NYJ 16-Smith now at QB. 16-B.Smith pass incomplete short right to 86-C.Baker.
- New York Jets (Q1 54:24) — (9:24) NYJ 16-Smith at QB. (Shotgun) 29-L.Washington left tackle pushed ob at NE 25 for 49 yards (22-A.Samuel).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- New England Patriots (Q2 37:24) — (7:24) 6-C.Hanson punt is BLOCKED by 96-D.Bowens, Center-66-L.Paxton, RECOVERED by NYJ-96-D.Bowens at NE 26. 96-D.Bowens for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. blocked at 30
- New York Jets (Q1 54:38) — (9:38) 11-K.Clemens pass short left intended for 16-B.Smith INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Wilson [93-R.Seymour] at NYJ 5. 26-E.Wilson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NYJ-11-K.Clemens was injured during the play. His re
- New York Jets (Q2 31:54) — (1:54) 7-B.Graham punt is BLOCKED by 15-K.Washington, Center-85-J.Dearth, recovered by NYJ-27-A.Elam at NYJ 5. 27-A.Elam to NYJ 3 for -2 yards (38-K.Eckel). blocked at NYJ 8
- New York Jets (Q1 54:24) — (9:24) NYJ 16-Smith at QB. (Shotgun) 29-L.Washington left tackle pushed ob at NE 25 for 49 yards (22-A.Samuel).
Quarterback report card
C.Pennington led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- C.Pennington (New York Jets) · 44 dropbacks · 56.8% completion · +3.9% CPOE · -0.10 EPA/play · -4.51 total EPA
- T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 30 dropbacks · 46.7% completion · -4.8% CPOE · -0.01 EPA/play · -0.35 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | New York Jets | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.252 | -0.122 |
| Offensive success rate | 41.0% | 42.2% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.302 | -0.012 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.043 | -0.062 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.122 | +0.252 |
| Defensive success rate | 57.8% | 59.0% |
By the numbers
New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.12 vs -0.25), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- New England Patriots: 12 drives, -10.09 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- New York Jets: 12 drives, -19.68 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- R. Moss (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- C. Pennington (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q1 54:38 · NE 96 · Score 0-6
(9:38) 11-K.Clemens pass short left intended for 16-B.Smith INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Wilson [93-R.Seymour] at NYJ 5. 26-E.Wilson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NYJ-11-K.Cle - New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q1 54:33 · NYJ 2 · Score 0-7
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 42:49 · NYJ 8 · Score 0-10
(12:49) 3-S.Gostkowski 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. Patriots now have 513 points for the 2007 season, tied for 6th best al - New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 37:24 · NYJ 60 · Score 6-10
(7:24) 6-C.Hanson punt is BLOCKED by 96-D.Bowens, Center-66-L.Paxton, RECOVERED by NYJ-96-D.Bowens at NE 26. 96-D.Bowens for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. blocked at 30 - New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 37:15 · NE 2 · Score 7-10
1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham. - New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 31:08 · NYJ 1 · Score 7-16
(1:08) NE 50-Vrabel & 65-Britt eligible. 39-L.Maroney left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Patriots 67th TD of season, tied with 2000 St. Louis Rams for 2nd most i - New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 31:05 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-17
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 6:18 · NE 15 · Score 10-17
(6:18) 1-M.Nugent 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham. - New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 3:25 · NYJ 16 · Score 10-20
(3:25) 3-S.Gostkowski 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson. Patriots now have 523 points for the 2007 season, tied for 5th best all
Frequently asked questions
Who won New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
The New England Patriots beat the New York Jets 20-10 in Week 15, 2007 on 2007-12-16.
What was the final score of New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
The final score was New York Jets 10, New England Patriots 20 (NYJ 10-20 NE) in Week 15, 2007 on 2007-12-16.
What was the score by quarter in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
Q1: New York Jets 0, New England Patriots 7; Q2: New York Jets 7, New England Patriots 10; Q4: New York Jets 3, New England Patriots 3; Final: New York Jets 10, New England Patriots 20.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
New England Patriots touchdown — E. Wilson (Q1 54:38) New York Jets touchdown — D. Bowens (Q2 37:24) New England Patriots touchdown — L. Maroney (Q2 31:08) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q2 42:49, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — M. Nugent (Q4 6:18, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q4 3:25, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
C. Pennington (New York Jets), 56.8% completion, +3.9% CPOE, -0.10 EPA per dropback, -4.51 total passing EPA. T. Brady (New England Patriots), 46.7% completion, -4.8% CPOE, -0.01 EPA per dropback, -0.35 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?
R. Moss (New England Patriots) led the game in total EPA with +4.97 on receiving plays. across 5 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.65 EPA): (7:24) 6-C.Hanson punt is BLOCKED by 96-D.Bowens, Center-66-L.Paxton, RECOVERED by NYJ-96-D.Bowens at NE 26. 96-D.Bowens for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. blocked at 30. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.7%.
Season records after this game
New York Jets
Entered 3-10 Now 3-11 L
New England Patriots
Entered 13-0 Now 14-0 W
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