New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2024 Week 15 Recap

Game story

In Week 15 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-12-15, the New York Jets took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 32–25 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 30 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Jones (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +8.11 total EPA, and +1.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +21.63 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+36.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (3:34) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · New York Jets · Passing · +21.63 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Adams · New York Jets · Receiving · +16.60 total EPA · 13 snaps · +1.28 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +8.11 total EPA · 58 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
4. 4 B. Thomas · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +5.48 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Davis · New York Jets · Rushing · +3.93 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.93 EPA/play
6. 6 G. Wilson · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.13 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
7. 7 B. Strange · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.61 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Duvernay · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.55 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. Thomas (M. Jones pass) (Q1 53:43)
• New York Jets — G. Wilson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 50:06)
• New York Jets — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 19:38)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — B. Thomas (M. Jones pass) (Q4 11:04)
• New York Jets — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 3:34)
• New York Jets — B. Hall (Q4 1:08)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Little (Q2 32:44)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Little (Q2 30:01)
• New York Jets — A. Carlson (Q3 25:32)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Little (Q3 23:09)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Little (Q4 1:56)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NYJ 3 (Q1 53:43) — (8:43) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 7-B.Thomas for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 53:37) — 39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 22 (Q1 50:06) — (5:06) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 5-G.Wilson for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 50:01) — 18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 6–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 10 (Q2 32:44) — (2:44) 39-C.Little 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 5 (Q2 30:01) — (:01) 39-C.Little 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 10–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the JAX 25 (Q3 25:32) — (10:32) 18-A.Carlson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 25 (Q3 23:09) — (8:09) 39-C.Little 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q3 19:38) — (4:38) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: NYJ-0-B.Allen has returned to the game.; New York Jets added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 19:33) — 18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 21–9. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the NYJ 19 (Q4 11:04) — (11:04) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle to 7-B.Thomas for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 71 (Q4 3:34) — (3:34) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets registered a safety from the JAX 2 (Q4 3:24) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-A.Rodgers pass to 17-D.Adams is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the NYJ 25 (Q4 1:56) — (1:56) 39-C.Little 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 1:08) — (1:08) 20-B.Hall up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets found the end zone from the JAX 15 (Q4 1:05) — 18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q4 3:34) — (3:34) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +36.3% · EPA +6.35]
• New York Jets (Q4 1:22) — (1:22) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams to JAX 1 for 41 yards (6-D.Savage) [52-D.Hamilton]. [WPA +24.0% · EPA +4.27]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:45) — (2:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle to 11-P.Washington pushed ob at NYJ 30 for 29 yards (36-C.Clark). NYJ-99-W.McDonald was injured during the play. [WPA +16.3% · EPA +2.25]
• New York Jets (Q3 20:53) — (5:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams to JAX 8 for 43 yards (3-T.Campbell). [WPA +15.1% · EPA +3.87]
• New York Jets (Q4 1:41) — (1:41) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams ran ob at JAX 47 for 23 yards. [WPA +14.0% · EPA +2.03]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q4 3:34) — (3:34) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +36.3% · EPA +6.35]
• New York Jets (Q4 1:22) — (1:22) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams to JAX 1 for 41 yards (6-D.Savage) [52-D.Hamilton]. [WPA +24.0% · EPA +4.27]
• New York Jets (Q1 52:10) — (7:10) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 21-A.Davis. 21-A.Davis right end to JAX 44 for 21 yards (26-A.Johnson). [WPA +6.1% · EPA +3.93]
• New York Jets (Q3 20:53) — (5:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams to JAX 8 for 43 yards (3-T.Campbell). [WPA +15.1% · EPA +3.87]

Quarterback report card

M.Jones led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Jones (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 58 dropbacks · 53.4% completion · +1.8% CPOE · +0.14 EPA/play · +8.11 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (New York Jets) · 41 dropbacks · 39.0% completion · -3.1% CPOE · +0.53 EPA/play · +21.63 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New York Jets generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.29 vs +0.14), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, +13.26 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 10 drives, +22.44 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• A. Rodgers (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 53:43 · NYJ 3 · Score 0-6
   (8:43) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short left to 7-B.Thomas for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 53:37 · NYJ 15 · Score 0-7
   39-C.Little extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
3. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 50:06 · JAX 22 · Score 6-7
   (5:06) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 5-G.Wilson for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 50:01 · JAX 15 · Score 7-7
   18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 32:44 · NYJ 10 · Score 7-10
   (2:44) 39-C.Little 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:01 · NYJ 5 · Score 7-13
   (:01) 39-C.Little 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
7. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 25:32 · JAX 25 · Score 10-13
   (10:32) 18-A.Carlson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 23:09 · NYJ 25 · Score 10-16
   (8:09) 39-C.Little 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
9. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 19:38 · JAX 1 · Score 16-16
   (4:38) 8-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: NYJ-0-B.Allen has returned to the game.
10. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 19:33 · JAX 15 · Score 17-16
    18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 11:04 · NYJ 19 · Score 17-22
    (11:04) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short middle to 7-B.Thomas for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 3:34 · JAX 71 · Score 23-22
    (3:34) (Shotgun) 8-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 17-D.Adams for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. New York Jets Safety (+2) — Q4 3:24 · JAX 2 · Score 25-22
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-A.Rodgers pass to 17-D.Adams is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 1:56 · NYJ 25 · Score 25-25
    (1:56) 39-C.Little 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
15. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 1:08 · JAX 1 · Score 31-25
    (1:08) 20-B.Hall up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
16. New York Jets TD (+7) — Q4 1:05 · JAX 15 · Score 32-25
    18-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-6-T.Morstead.