New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts: 2003 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-11-16, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 38–31 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 35 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) paced the passing game, with +17.95 total EPA.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +17.95 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+17.3% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Indianapolis Colts changed the game: (3:18) 17-H.Smith left end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Fake Field Goal

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +17.95 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +10.00 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Pennington · New York Jets · Passing · +8.19 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +7.23 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.45 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Walters · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.90 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.72 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Moss · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.78 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.93 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Carter · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.78 total EPA · 1 snaps · +5.78 EPA/play
8. 8 H. Smith · Indianapolis Colts · Rushing · +4.44 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.44 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — J. Carter (C. Pennington pass) (Q1 52:28)
• Indianapolis Colts — T. Walters (P. Manning pass) (Q1 49:09)
• Indianapolis Colts — E. James (Q2 36:44)
• Indianapolis Colts — E. James (Q2 30:12)
• New York Jets — C. Conway (C. Pennington pass) (Q3 28:47)
• Indianapolis Colts — E. James (Q3 25:25)
• New York Jets — J. Carter (Q3 25:18)
• New York Jets — S. Moss (C. Pennington pass) (Q3 22:00)
• Indianapolis Colts — H. Smith (Q3 18:18)

Field goals

• Indianapolis Colts — M. Vanderjagt (Q1 54:39)
• New York Jets — D. Brien (Q2 32:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 10–7. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the NYJ 14 (Q1 54:39) — (9:39) 13-M.Vanderjagt 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 62 (Q1 52:28) — (7:28) 10-C.Pennington pass to 84-J.Carter for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 52:20) — 6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NYJ 46 (Q1 49:09) — (4:09) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYJ-55-M.Jones, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 48:56) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 14–3. Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q2 36:44) — (6:44) 32-E.James left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 36:41) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the IND 26 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 6-D.Brien 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NYJ 4 (Q2 30:12) — (:12) 32-E.James up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 30:07) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 21–14. New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 28 (Q3 28:47) — (13:47) 10-C.Pennington pass to 81-C.Conway for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 28:41) — 6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q3 25:25) — (10:25) 32-E.James up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q3 25:18) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 30 (Q3 25:18) — 13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 60 yards from IND 30 to NYJ 10. 84-J.Carter for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 25:05) — 6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.; New York Jets found the end zone from the IND 48 (Q3 22:00) — (7:00) 10-C.Pennington pass to 83-S.Moss for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q3 21:50) — 6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the NYJ 21 (Q3 18:18) — (3:18) 17-H.Smith left end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Fake Field Goal; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q3 18:12) — 13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 18:18) — (3:18) 17-H.Smith left end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Fake Field Goal [WPA +17.3% · EPA +4.44]
• New York Jets (Q1 52:28) — (7:28) 10-C.Pennington pass to 84-J.Carter for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.6% · EPA +5.78]
• New York Jets (Q3 22:00) — (7:00) 10-C.Pennington pass to 83-S.Moss for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.5% · EPA +4.80]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q1 49:09) — (4:09) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYJ-55-M.Jones, Illegal Use of Hands, declined. [WPA +14.5% · EPA +3.96]
• New York Jets (Q3 25:18) — 13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 60 yards from IND 30 to NYJ 10. 84-J.Carter for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.1% · EPA +6.84]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q3 25:18) — 13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 60 yards from IND 30 to NYJ 10. 84-J.Carter for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.1% · EPA +6.84]
• New York Jets (Q1 52:28) — (7:28) 10-C.Pennington pass to 84-J.Carter for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.6% · EPA +5.78]
• New York Jets (Q3 22:00) — (7:00) 10-C.Pennington pass to 83-S.Moss for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.5% · EPA +4.80]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 18:18) — (3:18) 17-H.Smith left end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Fake Field Goal [WPA +17.3% · EPA +4.44]

Quarterback report card

P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Indianapolis Colts, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 39 dropbacks · 69.2% completion · +0.46 EPA/play · +17.95 total EPA
• C.Pennington (New York Jets) · 17 dropbacks · 64.7% completion · +0.48 EPA/play · +8.19 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, New York Jets generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.42 vs +0.26), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Indianapolis Colts: 11 drives, +25.94 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 11 drives, +23.68 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q1 54:39 · NYJ 14 · Score 0-3
   (9:39) 13-M.Vanderjagt 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
2. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 52:28 · IND 62 · Score 6-3
   (7:28) 10-C.Pennington pass to 84-J.Carter for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 52:20 · IND 2 · Score 7-3
   6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.
4. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 49:09 · NYJ 46 · Score 7-9
   (4:09) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on NYJ-55-M.Jones, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.
5. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 48:56 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-10
   13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
6. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 36:44 · NYJ 1 · Score 7-16
   (6:44) 32-E.James left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 36:41 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-17
   13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
8. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · IND 26 · Score 10-17
   (2:00) 6-D.Brien 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.
9. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 30:12 · NYJ 4 · Score 10-23
   (:12) 32-E.James up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 30:07 · NYJ 2 · Score 10-24
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
11. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 28:47 · IND 28 · Score 16-24
    (13:47) 10-C.Pennington pass to 81-C.Conway for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 28:41 · IND 2 · Score 17-24
    6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.
13. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 25:25 · NYJ 1 · Score 17-30
    (10:25) 32-E.James up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 25:18 · NYJ 2 · Score 17-31
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
15. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 25:18 · IND 30 · Score 23-31
    13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 60 yards from IND 30 to NYJ 10. 84-J.Carter for 90 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 25:05 · IND 2 · Score 24-31
    6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.
17. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 22:00 · IND 48 · Score 30-31
    (7:00) 10-C.Pennington pass to 83-S.Moss for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 21:50 · IND 2 · Score 31-31
    6-D.Brien extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-4-D.Stryzinski.
19. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 18:18 · NYJ 21 · Score 31-37
    (3:18) 17-H.Smith left end for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Fake Field Goal
20. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 18:12 · NYJ 2 · Score 31-38
    13-M.Vanderjagt extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.