New York Jets vs. Detroit Lions: 2010 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-11-07, the New York Jets took care of business against the Detroit Lions, pulling away with a 23–20 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with +5.17 total EPA, and -9.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, N. Burleson (Detroit Lions) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.81 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+38.2% win probability) landed in overtime when New York Jets changed the game: (14:50) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left to 10-S.Holmes to DET 16 for 52 yards (54-D.Levy).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 N. Burleson · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +8.81 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.10 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Stafford · Detroit Lions · Passing · +5.17 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Keller · New York Jets · Receiving · +4.72 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Smith · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.38 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.38 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Sanchez · New York Jets · Passing · +3.11 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Holmes · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.94 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
7. 7 S. Greene · New York Jets · Rushing · +1.42 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
8. 8 L. Tomlinson · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.40 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Detroit Lions — B. Pettigrew (M. Stafford pass) (Q1 54:20)
• New York Jets — B. Edwards (M. Sanchez pass) (Q2 31:10)
• Detroit Lions — M. Stafford (Q3 24:04)
• Detroit Lions — N. Burleson (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 11:53)
• New York Jets — M. Sanchez (Q4 3:00)

Field goals

• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q2 34:51)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q4 0:04)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (OT 12:47)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 7–0. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the NYJ 10 (Q1 54:20) — (9:20) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 84-B.Pettigrew for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 54:16) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris..

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 10–0. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the DET 13 (Q2 34:51) — (4:51) 2-N.Folk 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.; New York Jets found the end zone from the DET 74 (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left to 17-B.Edwards for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q2 31:00) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford..

The third quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 6–0. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q3 24:04) — (9:04) 9-M.Stafford right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 10–7. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the NYJ 2 (Q4 11:53) — (11:53) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 13-N.Burleson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 11:51) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.; New York Jets found the end zone from the DET 1 (Q4 3:00) — (3:00) (No Huddle) 6-M.Sanchez up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q4 2:46) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the DET 18 (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 2-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford..

Overtime: New York Jets won the period 3–0. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the DET 12 (OT 12:47) — (12:47) 2-N.Folk 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford. Penalty on DET-90-N.Suh, Leverage, declined..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (OT 14:50) — (14:50) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left to 10-S.Holmes to DET 16 for 52 yards (54-D.Levy). [WPA +38.2% · EPA +3.92]
• New York Jets (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left to 17-B.Edwards for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +26.3% · EPA +6.73]
• New York Jets (Q4 0:49) — (:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 21-L.Tomlinson pushed ob at DET 43 for 13 yards (98-J.Peterson). DET-27-A.Smith was injured during the play. PENALTY on DET-98-J.Peterson, Unn [WPA +20.0% · EPA +1.91]
• New York Jets (Q3 19:48) — (4:48) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left intended for 10-S.Holmes INTERCEPTED by 27-A.Smith at DET -1. 27-A.Smith to DET 1 for 2 yards (10-S.Holmes). [WPA -17.4% · EPA -2.70]
• New York Jets (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 2-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford. [WPA +14.7% · EPA +0.27]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left to 17-B.Edwards for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +26.3% · EPA +6.73]
• New York Jets (Q3 28:20) — (13:20) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 17-B.Edwards to NYJ 47 for 1 yard (26-L.Delmas) [93-K.Vanden Bosch]. FUMBLES (26-L.Delmas), RECOVERED by DET-26-L.Delmas at NYJ 47. 26-L.Delmas to NYJ 47 for no [WPA -11.0% · EPA -4.72]
• New York Jets (OT 14:50) — (14:50) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left to 10-S.Holmes to DET 16 for 52 yards (54-D.Levy). [WPA +38.2% · EPA +3.92]
• Detroit Lions (Q3 24:09) — (9:09) 4-J.Hanson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris. PENALTY on NYJ-93-T.Pryce, Roughing the Kicker, 2 yards, enforced at NYJ 3 - No Play. [WPA +9.4% · EPA +3.40]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 45 dropbacks · 44.4% completion · -9.1% CPOE · +0.11 EPA/play · +5.17 total EPA
• M.Sanchez (New York Jets) · 40 dropbacks · 55.0% completion · -6.4% CPOE · +0.08 EPA/play · +3.11 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (New York Jets -0.00, Detroit Lions -0.05) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Detroit Lions: 14 drives, -4.37 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 14 drives, -0.22 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• N. Burleson (Detroit Lions) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Stafford (DET) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• M. Sanchez (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 54:20 · NYJ 10 · Score 0-6
   (9:20) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 84-B.Pettigrew for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 54:16 · NYJ 2 · Score 0-7
   4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
3. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 34:51 · DET 13 · Score 3-7
   (4:51) 2-N.Folk 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.
4. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 31:10 · DET 74 · Score 9-7
   (1:10) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left to 17-B.Edwards for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 31:00 · DET 2 · Score 10-7
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.
6. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q3 24:04 · NYJ 1 · Score 10-13
   (9:04) 9-M.Stafford right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 11:53 · NYJ 2 · Score 10-19
   (11:53) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 13-N.Burleson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 11:51 · NYJ 2 · Score 10-20
   4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
9. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 3:00 · DET 1 · Score 16-20
   (3:00) (No Huddle) 6-M.Sanchez up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
10. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 2:46 · DET 2 · Score 17-20
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.
11. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 0:04 · DET 18 · Score 20-20
    (:04) 2-N.Folk 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford.
12. New York Jets FG (+3) — OT 12:47 · DET 12 · Score 23-20
    (12:47) 2-N.Folk 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-9-S.Weatherford. Penalty on DET-90-N.Suh, Leverage, declined.