Game story
In Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-12-05, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the New Orleans Saints, pulling away with a 17–16 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 23 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +2.51 total EPA, and -2.0% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, R. Shaheed (New Orleans Saints) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.68 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+41.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 29-R.White for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints | 0 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 R. Shaheed · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +5.68 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.42 EPA/play
- 2 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.35 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play
- 3 A. Dalton · New Orleans Saints · Passing · +4.98 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
- 4 C. Olave · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +3.40 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
- 5 T. Brady · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +2.51 total EPA · 59 snaps · +0.04 EPA/play
- 6 T. Hill · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +1.83 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
- 7 T. Hill · New Orleans Saints · Passing · +1.51 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.51 EPA/play
- 8 A. Trautman · New Orleans Saints · Receiving · +1.50 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
R. Shaheed — NO · Receiving
R. Shaheed posted the highest total EPA (+5.68) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New Orleans Saints's efficiency. Across 4 counted snaps, they averaged +1.42 EPA per play.
The signature play (-4.58 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (1:32) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 14-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 56-D.Davis at NO 47. 56-D.Davis to TB 49 for 4 yards (17-R.Gage).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- New Orleans Saints — T. Hill (A. Dalton pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Otton (T. Brady pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. White (T. Brady pass)
Field goals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop
- New Orleans Saints — W. Lutz
- New Orleans Saints — W. Lutz
- New Orleans Saints — W. Lutz
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the NO 3 (Q1 51:29) — (6:29) 3-R.Succop 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..
The second quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 10–0. New Orleans Saints found the end zone from the TB 30 (Q2 37:41) — (7:41) 70-T.Penning reported in as eligible. 14-A.Dalton pass deep left to 7-T.Hill for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [59-G.Avery].; New Orleans Saints added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 37:33) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin.; New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the TB 19 (Q2 30:25) — (:25) 3-W.Lutz 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin..
The third quarter: New Orleans Saints won the period 3–0. New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the TB 3 (Q3 17:49) — (2:49) 3-W.Lutz 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin..
The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 20–3. New Orleans Saints connected on a field goal from the TB 11 (Q4 8:06) — (8:06) 3-W.Lutz 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NO 1 (Q4 3:03) — (3:03) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 88-C.Otton for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the NO 15 (Q4 3:00) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NO 6 (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 29-R.White for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the NO 15 (Q4 0:03).
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 29-R.White for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- New Orleans Saints (Q4 0:03) — (:03) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right to 89-R.Shaheed to NO 34 for 9 yards. FUMBLES, touched at NO 29, recovered by NO-5-J.Landry at NO 29. 5-J.Landry to NO 31 for 2 yards. FUMBLES, recovered b
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 31:32) — (1:32) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 14-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 56-D.Davis at NO 47. 56-D.Davis to TB 49 for 4 yards (17-R.Gage).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:19) — (:19) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 14-C.Godwin for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on TB-76-D.Smith, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at NO 5 - No Play.
- New Orleans Saints (Q1 46:50) — (1:50) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep left to 89-R.Shaheed to TB 47 for 40 yards (35-J.Dean).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 31:32) — (1:32) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 14-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 56-D.Davis at NO 47. 56-D.Davis to TB 49 for 4 yards (17-R.Gage).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:10) — (3:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep middle to 13-M.Evans [91-K.Street]. PENALTY on NO-29-P.Adebo, Defensive Pass Interference, 44 yards, enforced at NO 45 - No Play.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 29-R.White for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- New Orleans Saints (Q2 37:41) — (7:41) 70-T.Penning reported in as eligible. 14-A.Dalton pass deep left to 7-T.Hill for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [59-G.Avery].
Quarterback report card
T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 59 dropbacks · 61.0% completion · -2.0% CPOE · +0.04 EPA/play · +2.51 total EPA
- A.Dalton (New Orleans Saints) · 32 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +8.8% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +4.98 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | New Orleans Saints | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.029 | -0.037 |
| Offensive success rate | 40.0% | 43.6% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.197 | +0.043 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.294 | -0.099 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.037 | +0.029 |
| Defensive success rate | 56.4% | 60.0% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (New Orleans Saints -0.03, Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- New Orleans Saints: 11 drives, -2.20 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, -3.49 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- R. Shaheed (New Orleans Saints) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- A. Dalton (NO) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 51:29 · NO 3 · Score 0-3
(6:29) 3-R.Succop 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - New Orleans Saints TD (+6) — Q2 37:41 · TB 30 · Score 6-3
(7:41) 70-T.Penning reported in as eligible. 14-A.Dalton pass deep left to 7-T.Hill for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [59-G.Avery]. - New Orleans Saints XP (+1) — Q2 37:33 · TB 15 · Score 7-3
3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin. - New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q2 30:25 · TB 19 · Score 10-3
(:25) 3-W.Lutz 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin. - New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q3 17:49 · TB 3 · Score 13-3
(2:49) 3-W.Lutz 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin. - New Orleans Saints FG (+3) — Q4 8:06 · TB 11 · Score 16-3
(8:06) 3-W.Lutz 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-4-B.Gillikin. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 3:03 · NO 1 · Score 16-9
(3:03) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 88-C.Otton for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 3:00 · NO 15 · Score 16-10
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 0:08 · NO 6 · Score 16-16
(:08) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 29-R.White for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+7) — Q4 0:03 · NO 15 · Score 16-17
3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. PENALTY on NO-90-T.Kpassagnon, Leverage, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Frequently asked questions
Who won New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the New Orleans Saints 17-16 in Week 13, 2022 on 2022-12-05.
What was the final score of New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was New Orleans Saints 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17 (NO 16-17 TB) in Week 13, 2022 on 2022-12-05.
What was the score by quarter in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: New Orleans Saints 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q2: New Orleans Saints 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q3: New Orleans Saints 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q4: New Orleans Saints 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20; Final: New Orleans Saints 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
New Orleans Saints touchdown — T. Hill (A. Dalton pass) (Q2 37:41) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Otton (T. Brady pass) (Q4 3:03) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. White (T. Brady pass) (Q4 0:08) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Succop (Q1 51:29, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — W. Lutz (Q2 30:25, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — W. Lutz (Q3 17:49, 3 pts) New Orleans Saints field goal — W. Lutz (Q4 8:06, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 61.0% completion, -2.0% CPOE, +0.04 EPA per dropback, +2.51 total passing EPA. A. Dalton (New Orleans Saints), 62.5% completion, +8.8% CPOE, +0.16 EPA per dropback, +4.98 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
R. Shaheed (New Orleans Saints) led the game in total EPA with +5.68 on receiving plays. across 4 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.58 EPA): (1:32) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 14-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 56-D.Davis at NO 47. 56-D.Davis to TB 49 for 4 yards (17-R.Gage).. The biggest win-probability swing was +41.3%.
Was New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 1 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 17-16 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
New Orleans Saints
Entered 4-8 Now 4-9 L
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 5-6 Now 6-6 W
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